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Trump Critic
@TrumpCritic
Watching the Omicron variant. 6.9-pt atheist on @RichardDawkins' 7-pt scale.
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Dec 20, 2021
•
12 tweets
•
7 min read
I made some more calculations.
This time comparing the death rates between
#Delta
and
#Omicron
in South Africa.
TL;DR: Death rates so far are fully consistent with a wave of similar (or even higher) severity as Delta.
(1/x) Studies suggest that patients tend to pass away about 18 days after hospitalization.
thelancet.com/journals/lance…
Since South Africa publishes data on a weekly basis, a 3-week time lag between positive tests and fatalities seems most appropriate.
(2/x)
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Dec 19, 2021
•
19 tweets
•
10 min read
South Africa: I have made some calculation about the ratio of hospitalizations to cases in the
#Omicron
and
#Delta
waves.
TL;DR: The ratio is dependent on the pace of the spread and Omicron is so far just a little lower than Delta.
(1/x) I am using these data sets here:
Cases:
nicd.ac.za/wp-content/upl…
Hospitalizations Delta:
nicd.ac.za/wp-content/upl…
Hospitalizations Omicron:
nicd.ac.za/wp-content/upl…
(2/x)
