OSINT Intuit™ Profile picture
OSINT analysis of the war in Ukraine with a strong focus on combating Russian disinformation. Democracy and civil liberty exist where there is free speech.
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Oct 30 9 tweets 2 min read
Prokrovsk SITREP (2025-10-30)

Fighting continues in Pokrovsk, but Russian claims of “occupation” remain premature. Verified footage shows small recon groups, not an occupying force, operating inside the city, which remains contested and under Ukrainian control.

Map: @Majakovsk73

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1/9Image Ukrainian drone footage confirms that most Russian activity inside the city consists of diversionary reconnaissance groups (DRG). They probe defenses, adjust fire, and withdraw before counterstrikes. These are not occupation units but transient formations exploiting gaps in surveillance.

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2/9
Oct 23 4 tweets 1 min read
Bloomberg reports that Russian oil supplies to India will drop to almost zero following new U.S. sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil. It’s the first major ripple from Washington’s renewed pressure on Moscow’s energy sector. For nearly two years, India has been the Kremlin’s economic ...

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1/4Image ... lifeline—buying discounted crude, refining it, and re-exporting the products worldwide. That loop helped Russia skirt earlier sanctions and keep wartime revenues flowing.

Targeting Rosneft and Lukoil cuts straight into that workaround. Without those firms’ crude and logistics networks ...
2/4
Sep 18 5 tweets 1 min read
Good news about AFU combat operations from Pres. Zelensky:

"We are currently conducting one of our counteroffensive operations – the guys are doing great – in the Donetsk direction, in the area of Pokrovsk, in the area of Dobropillia. Fierce battles, but we managed ...

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1/5Image ... to inflict significant losses on the Russians. Today was the first report from Commander Syrskyi on the results. Since the beginning of the operation, our warriors have already liberated 160 square kilometers, and more than 170 square kilometers have been cleared of the occupiers.
2/5
Aug 19 12 tweets 2 min read
There are some positive outcomes from the White House meeting with Ukrainian and European leaders yesterday being reported by Pres. Zelensky on his TG social media account and the foreign press:

🔹I am ready to meet with Putin;

#OSINT @threadreaderapp unroll @threadreaderapp 🔹There is an agreement with the USA for Ukraine to purchase weapons worth $90 billion (Ed; This may include purchase of up to 10 Patriot air defense batteries);
🔹Security guarantees are the starting point for ending the war.
Jul 31 8 tweets 2 min read
Opinion:

"...everyone wants Russia to STOP THE KILLING IN UKRAINE -- ALL THINGS NOT GOOD."

In the below post from yesterday, the President expresses the above which I find to be very telling in terms of how he now views the conflict in Ukraine.

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1/7 Image First, it is the only time I can recall that he did not try to assuage his criticism of Russia (or Putin) by adding the caveat that he was equally disappointed with Ukraine (or Zelensky).
2/7
Oct 29, 2022 4 tweets 6 min read
Unconfirmed: Reported to be APU USV drone footage of attacks on multiple RUS Navy ships including a Project 11356 Grigorovich-class missile frigate. BREAKING (1/2)

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#UkraineRussiaWar #Sevastopol Unconfirmed: Reported to be APU USV drone footage of attacks on multiple RUS Navy ships including a Project 11356 Grigorovich-class missile frigate. BREAKING (2/2)

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#UkraineRussiaWar #Sevastopol @CovertShores @Gepard_36
Oct 9, 2022 5 tweets 4 min read
1/2: RUS officials say a truck bomb is the source of the explosion on the Kerch Bridge. Because the RUS "National Anti-Terrorism Committee" is involved and not MoD, the bombing appears to be Putin plan to expand powers.

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#UkraineRussiaWar
#NAFO

marketwatch.com/story/russia-s… 2/2: RUS members of the State Duma are also working on drafting a declaration for a Counter-Terrorism Operation in Ukraine. This will allow Putin to broaden powers, ban rallies, tighten censorship, restrict travel and expand the "Partial" mobilization.
Oct 8, 2022 4 tweets 4 min read
1/3: Large fire and secondary explosions at the Karan' railroad station Andriivka, Donestk Oblast.

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#UkraineRussiaWar
#NAFO 2/3:

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#UkraineRussiaWar
#NAFO
Oct 8, 2022 5 tweets 5 min read
My preliminary assessment of the cause of the explosion on the Crimea/Kerch Bridge. This analysis is reliant on limited preliminary data and may change as more facts become available.

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#UkraineRussiaWar
#NAFO @DefMon3 @Gepard_36 @CovertShores
Sep 24, 2022 5 tweets 7 min read
My guess is that the Iranian drones delivered to Moscow recently are on their way to Crimea where they will be launched against Odesa, Mykolaiv, Kryvyi Rih, etc...

#UkraineRussiaWar
#OSINT
#Fellas #NAFO Image Update: This RUS IL-76MD (RA-78816) actually went to Iran, picked up a load of drones, and is now headed to Crimea.

#UkraineRussiaWar
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#Fellas #NAFO ImageImageImage