Occasionally irreverent analysis of global conflicts. USAF Veteran, retired engineer, USCG Master Captain, 2% Neanderthal. Pronouns: "skipper" & "me matey".
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Sep 18 โข 5 tweets โข 1 min read
Good news about AFU combat operations from Pres. Zelensky:
"We are currently conducting one of our counteroffensive operations โ the guys are doing great โ in the Donetsk direction, in the area of Pokrovsk, in the area of Dobropillia. Fierce battles, but we managed ...
#OSINT
1/5
... to inflict significant losses on the Russians. Today was the first report from Commander Syrskyi on the results. Since the beginning of the operation, our warriors have already liberated 160 square kilometers, and more than 170 square kilometers have been cleared of the occupiers.
2/5
Aug 19 โข 12 tweets โข 2 min read
There are some positive outcomes from the White House meeting with Ukrainian and European leaders yesterday being reported by Pres. Zelensky on his TG social media account and the foreign press:
๐นI am ready to meet with Putin;
#OSINT @threadreaderapp unroll
@threadreaderapp ๐นThere is an agreement with the USA for Ukraine to purchase weapons worth $90 billion (Ed; This may include purchase of up to 10 Patriot air defense batteries);
๐นSecurity guarantees are the starting point for ending the war.
Jul 31 โข 8 tweets โข 2 min read
Opinion:
"...everyone wants Russia to STOP THE KILLING IN UKRAINE -- ALL THINGS NOT GOOD."
In the below post from yesterday, the President expresses the above which I find to be very telling in terms of how he now views the conflict in Ukraine.
#OSINT 1/7
First, it is the only time I can recall that he did not try to assuage his criticism of Russia (or Putin) by adding the caveat that he was equally disappointed with Ukraine (or Zelensky).
2/7
Oct 29, 2022 โข 4 tweets โข 6 min read
Unconfirmed: Reported to be APU USV drone footage of attacks on multiple RUS Navy ships including a Project 11356 Grigorovich-class missile frigate. BREAKING (1/2)
#OSINT #UkraineRussiaWar#Sevastopol
Unconfirmed: Reported to be APU USV drone footage of attacks on multiple RUS Navy ships including a Project 11356 Grigorovich-class missile frigate. BREAKING (2/2)
1/2: RUS officials say a truck bomb is the source of the explosion on the Kerch Bridge. Because the RUS "National Anti-Terrorism Committee" is involved and not MoD, the bombing appears to be Putin plan to expand powers.
marketwatch.com/story/russia-sโฆ
2/2: RUS members of the State Duma are also working on drafting a declaration for a Counter-Terrorism Operation in Ukraine. This will allow Putin to broaden powers, ban rallies, tighten censorship, restrict travel and expand the "Partial" mobilization.
Oct 8, 2022 โข 4 tweets โข 4 min read
1/3: Large fire and secondary explosions at the Karan' railroad station Andriivka, Donestk Oblast.
My preliminary assessment of the cause of the explosion on the Crimea/Kerch Bridge. This analysis is reliant on limited preliminary data and may change as more facts become available.
My guess is that the Iranian drones delivered to Moscow recently are on their way to Crimea where they will be launched against Odesa, Mykolaiv, Kryvyi Rih, etc...
#UkraineRussiaWar #OSINT #Fellas#NAFO
Update: This RUS IL-76MD (RA-78816) actually went to Iran, picked up a load of drones, and is now headed to Crimea.