Professional football enjoyer, Stealing Signals, Stealing Bananas, Ship Chasing
Sep 18 • 16 tweets • 3 min read
Everyone trying to find what's wrong with offenses thinking they'll find it in the numbers needs to account for defenses showing one look and changing to others. It's not as simple as "success vs. [look]."
🧵 (from someone who doesn't know anything)
Stats vs. two high are going to tell you about plays that finished two high, but are not going to account for plays where two high was shown pre-snap and the defense rotated post-snap (this is why the popular term is "two-high shell" bc they can rotate out of it).
Mar 8, 2022 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
Man how did it get here for Seattle?
The price of winning a SB on the back of a late-round draft pick bonanza in one small window that created insane surplus value on one roster was... 1. The hubris to believe the regime just knew better about talent than anyone, and siphon off value in every deal
Jul 30, 2020 • 14 tweets • 4 min read
YPRR is not the stat you think it is. Thanks for coming to my TED talk.
YPRR is just YPT and targets/route run (TPRR). It's the cool thing now to hate on YPT since YPRR is such a better "efficiency" stat.
I'd argue TPRR is also an efficiency stat, but not in the way we usually refer to efficiency.
But YPRR is just TPRR plus noise.
Aug 17, 2018 • 33 tweets • 12 min read
This morning, I called this my favorite stat this year. But then I thought that was an exaggeration. It's my favorite stat for the #Cardinals.
Here's my favorite stat for every other team. #Thread
