Mathematician working on human, animal and plant diseases. Likes reading, writing and music. I am on Bluskye at https://t.co/NduVL7lKhZ
Nov 9, 2021 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
@andrew_lilico Thanks for the clarification. Quite a restrictive definition. Even if we manage to keep R=1 from now on (with reduced restrictions and vaccine waning) England is not in the best situation with 10s of thousands cases EVERY DAY.
@andrew_lilico But I don't believe that. I think we will see swings of cases with high numbers in winter and smaller in summer.
Just like Denmark now.
Oct 13, 2021 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
Some thoughts on the current #COVID situation in #Scotland - thanks to @HMcArdleHT@TigressEllie for the prompt.
I think the last couple of months - and especially the last week or so - teach us a lot about the virus spread in highly vaccinated populations.
The results of the UK parliamentary inquiry into the March 2020 response to the pandemic are out this morning. It will take a while to read, analyse, and properly respond to it, but I want to make one quick point.
2/ Although there were clearly mistakes made in early 2020 and I did not at the time agree with what Her Majesty Government was doing, I can give them the benefit of doubt for this part of the pandemic.
