Across the world, people are already using migration as a way of coping with climate change. Climate change is supercharging disasters like droughts, and people are moving as a way of protecting their lives and livelihoods.

[Thread] 2. In a new report, we outline some of the ways that migration can be used to build climate change resilience. We argue that migration needs to be safer for everyone. By making it safer and easier, more people can use it to survive climate change.

climatemigration.org.uk/resilience-on-…

This week António Guterres the secretary general of the United Nations said that climate change would create “a mass exodus” on a “biblical scale” and that this migration could unleash a “torrent of trouble”.

[Thread]

theguardian.com/environment/20… 2. Climate change does have the power to reshape patterns of human movement across the world.

It already is.

Rising temperatures are already driving more extreme disasters, which are leading to new patterns of movement.

This week António Guterres the secretary general of the United Nations said that change change would create “a mass exodus” on a “biblical scale” and that this migration could unleash a “torrent of trouble”.

[Thread]

theguardian.com/environment/20… 2. Climate change does have the power to reshape patterns of human movement across the world.

It already is.

Rising temperatures are already driving more extreme disasters, which are leading to new patterns of movement.

[Thread] 1. Climate change has the power to trap people, as well as forcing them to move.

Two papers in Nature released last week showed how climate change can actually stop people from migrating.

nature.com/articles/s4155…

nature.com/articles/s4301… 2. Most of the media coverage about climate change and migration focuses on people fleeing storms, floods and drought.

Very little focuses on people who want to move to escape climate change - but find themselves trapped by the very disasters they are fleeing.

One question dominates discussion about the connection between climate change and migration: how many “climate refugees” will there be?

Unfortunately there is no crystal ball that allows us to see into the future on this.

Here’s why…

[Thread] 2. There is now a significant research literature that aims to predict future patterns of climate-linked migration.

It’s outputs hope to estimate future numbers of people on the move and even estimates about dates and locations under different climate scenarios

Here is some more on what this week's IPCC report has said about the connections between climate change and migration. On Monday I pointed to a couple of key topics. But it’s worth highlighting more of the main findings on climate and migration [thread] Yes, this is quite a long Twitter thread - but the whole report is 3000 pages long and the references to migration are throughout. So this is as short as I can make it!

Here are the key points ....

Here’s the big thing you need to know about the IPCC report when it comes to climate change and migration. This iteration of the report recognises the limits of adapting to climate change while staying put. [Thread] 2. Evidence points towards migration becoming a form of climate adaptation. In-situ resilience-building is reaching limits. Adaptation will need to embrace migration as a key strategy for people to survive climate change.

Well, it was only so long before someone said this is the run up to #COP26. So here is a quick summary of why climate change isn’t going to lead to mass migration. (But why climate and migration are deeply connected)

theguardian.com/environment/20… So, climate change is already reshaping patterns of migration and displacement. When sudden disasters like floods and typhoons strike, people flee

Ok, here’s what you need to know about the new @WorldBank report on climate and migration. First up - no, this isn’t an estimate of the number of “climate refugees” there are going to be. This is a report about *internal* migration [Thread]
worldbank.org/en/news/featur… 2/ The overwhelming majority of migration and displacement linked to climate impacts is internal. People move within their own country, rather than crossing a border. Even as impacts grow, people will still look to move internally first.

We need to stop "myth busting" on climate - linked migration. You know the stuff I mean. Twitter threads and articles that innumerate the reasons that climate change isn't a driver of migration [Thread 1/ ] Before you jump all over me, I've probably done more of this myth busting than many, so this is as much self criticism as it is criticism of anyone else.

This is I hope a (respectful) critique of @MLiebreich 's thread about XR. It is in no way a defence of Roger Hallam, but it is an examination of XR’s politics and how they fit into the wider landscape of political action on climate change

https://twitter.com/MLiebreich/status/1183008932333309954

First up I agree that Roger Hallam plays fast and loose with climate science. I agree that this is a problem. And that it does more harm than good. However I don't think that it’s Hallam's inaccurate doom mongering that has brought people out onto the streets for XR

Thread: So Trump has said he will cut aid and development funding to central American countries. Bad news of course. But the reaction of many liberal commentators to this is extremely worrying. [1/22] Their response has been roughly: “without that aid money there will be even more migration from central America into the United States” [2/22]

Oh so *now* everyone wants to know about climate-linked migration. Now that we've had a record breaking summer, you're all thinking "wait, with this happening all over the world there are going to be some impacts on migration - right?" Yes, right But here's the thing. They may not be the changes you think. The way climate change alter s patterns of migration isn't ways straightforward. And you can't get your head around it without first understanding some basics...