Bernard L. Fraga Profile picture
Associate Professor of Political Science at Emory University. Author of The Turnout Gap https://t.co/yXbIGO4Y2B. Chicano 🇲🇽🇺🇸 Belgian 🇧🇪.
Apr 29, 2021 4 tweets 2 min read
Now available: 2020 turnout estimates from the @uscensusbureau's Current Population Survey. Here is a chart of self-reported turnout rates from 1948-2020 by race/ethnicity. CPS reports big⬆️in Asian turnout and above avg increase for Latinxs. (1/3) BUT, as I show in a new paper with @b_schaffner and Steve Ansolabehere, the CPS systematically overestimates minority voter turnout despite getting white turnout mostly right. The CPS thus understates the amount of racial inequality in who votes. (2/3) dropbox.com/s/qwirgejfcacs…
Jan 17, 2021 5 tweets 5 min read
#GASenateRunoff (most) Election Day vote history is here! Final-ish turnout in runoff, as percent of general turnout:

Total: 89.6%
White: 89.5%
Black: 91.8%
Latino: 78.1%
Asian: 84.1%

🚨At least 226,462 new voters in runoff, 50%+ non-white. 91k+ Black, 10k+ Latino, 9k+ Asian.🚨 All of these figures are records for a runoff: turnout pct, turnout #, (low) drop-off, minority share and # of voters + new voters.

h/t to @elium2 for his tweets noting the updated runoff vote history data. @fairfightaction @BlackVotersMtr @staceyabrams @GAConGANas @ConMijente
Jan 5, 2021 5 tweets 2 min read
Merging general results, the voter file, and vote history data, it's clear drop-off among white Republicans drives the racial differences in #GASenateRunoff turnout I've identified throughout early voting. (1/x) #gapol First, everyone needs to exit the coastal mindset re: white voters. In GA, there are only 44 precincts where whites are more than 80% of the voters and Perdue got less than 40% of the vote, for a grand total of about 85,000 white voters concentrated in DeKalb and Fulton. (2/x)