@tom_belger 1. @YoungLabourUK Chair election 68% vote share 4 @Organise24 to 32% for @socialist_yl was broadly comparable 2 the 76%-24% mainly CLP noms & does signal poss future swing 2 @labtowin/@Lab_first in #LabNEC2024 whilst @CLGALabour/@PeoplesMomentum/@CLPD_Labour seek to defnd 4 seats @tom_belger @YoungLabourUK @Organise24 @socialist_yl @labtowin @lab_first @CLGALabour @PeoplesMomentum @CLPD_Labour 2. For furthr comparison the slightly incomplete young member only ballot for NPF places in 2022 was around 1,570 votes and the score sample then was @labtowin 47% & @PeoplesMomentum 46% so an approx 17.5% swing there. All member voting in other NPF elections then was 60% to 38%

Estimatd #Lab21 CLP faction wash-up frm NCC/card votes: @labtowin 47% (+26%) @PeoplesMomentum/@CLPD_Labour 35% (-27%), Ind Left/Soft Left/Oth 18% (+1%) - no clear @OpenLabour vote in that. Overall Left vote down frm 70% to 49% in NCC vote. Swing 26.5% to @labtowin since last conf Just 2 add single parl candidate election card vote leadrship lost at #lab21 looks like a 1-off outlier 2 a pretty consistnt othr set of results. Howevr if u adjustd all oth result 4 that the result wd b @labtowin 39%, @PeoplesMomentum/@CLPD_Labour 35%, Ind Left/Soft Left/Oth 26%

@AaronBastani @Keir_Starmer I can't see him beating a range of strong women candidates next time. Not even sure he will do that well in any new PLP 3rd of the vote ballot as a lot of past Tweets will come back to haunt him. Looks like a 10-20% candidate so far. Surely more hoping for a Deputy opportunity? @AaronBastani @Keir_Starmer What every1 (esp Lord Mandelson) is not realising is opening a ballot to 2m levy payers with a likely 8% t/o (ie 160k) is in the self-organising social media age it will see up to 20k to 80k angry ex-members signing up via TUs (mainly Unite) & voting "against" candidates.

It is quite remarkable to watch over 41 years how OMOV has gone frm a demand of the Campaign for Labour Victory (CLV) which ended up in the SDP to then migrate across the Party spectrum to now a likely long-term demand of the other wing now

https://twitter.com/PeoplesMomentum/status/1440992397178122243

OMOV was in the past seen as a party reform tool by Leaderships. Now it is clearly a more insurgent policy position, but all experience shows it tends to win in the long-term as that is what a membership left or right now expects for its payment

@davidjrosenberg We can't say that for sure. in the last elections the "Blank and Invalid" section was separate if you see here labour.org.uk/activist-hub/g… @davidjrosenberg In the current report the two sections are merged. labour.org.uk/wp-content/upl…

@LabourList @MattWrack @ForwardMmtm This poses big question of wd @Open_Selection have won at 2018 conf. Looking at CV8 there was a pretty solid 45% in favour of compromise with definite 35% which wanted OS. In effect it was down to @UnitePolitics 20% to decide. However the reasons for their vote r not covered here @LabourList @MattWrack @ForwardMmtm @Open_Selection @UnitePolitics If @UnitePolitics had chosen to vote down CV8 in 2018 then other options wd have come into play. As they did not, perhaps they need to be asked first b4 anyone else?