It can be easy to treat the current outbreak in VIC as a single cluster, and compare it to how we expect others to progress. A simple chart like this tells a concerning story of growth:
This thread shows why this outbreak is different 🔽
Transmission is driven by "wild" cases - cases found that were out in the community during some or all of their infectious period. So let's take a look at case isolation status over the outbreak.
It looked like it was going well until the 20th August - what happened?
The answer - new clusters were found (MyCenter child care and Shepparton). And just like at the beginning of the outbreak, there was an initial large jump in cases, and new related cases were not isolating. The Wyndham cluster was also later found.
8 under investigation case moved to unknown source:
🔴Moonee Valley, 18th
🔴Unknown LGA, 19th
🔴Greater Dandenong, 20th
🔴Hobsons Bay, 20th
🔴Greater Shepparton, 21st
🧵NSW Outbreak national impact
As at 19th August 2021 #COVID19Aus
The outbreak in NSW has caused local cases in every state and territory except NT, and caused lockdowns in all but QLD and TAS. It has also caused an outbreak in NZ.
This thread outlines the scope of the impact🔽
There have been a total of 10,602 cases nationally linked to the outbreak.
- This is 98% of local cases in Australia in that time
- 77% of local cases outside NSW.
- A further 21 cases have been detected in New Zealand
There are 61 related deaths to this outbreak.
7 lockdowns have resulted from clusters linked to this outbreak in Australia and NZ.
- Australians have spent an average of 18.9 days (30% of time) under lockdown during this time as a result.
• 1 reported on 15th: One of the two cases related to the engagement party
• 1 reported on 16th: Second Greater Dandenong case
• 2 reported on 17th: 2 cases in the data from yesterday which were already linked before announcement
The case from the Brunswick household has been changed from "under investigation" to "Acquired in Australia, unknown source"