1/9 Out of hope for peace and genuine fear of the Pretoria accord's collapse, some people ask why aid is not allowed to pour in and why the war itself is not showing signs of abating. Well, look closely at the provisions in the cessation of hostilities document. 2/9 It prioritizes disarmament and demobilization over humanitarian concerns, which is what the Addis Ababa-Bahirdar axis is celebrating. People were confused because they seemed to have considered the cessation of hostilities as the end of the Tigray war and the 2-year-old

1/17 We now have the signed version of the Tigray-Ethiopia 'Agreement for Lasting Peace' released to the public, and it's time to reflect on it. While wishing peace to the country and the Horn of Africa (HoA) region, it's incumbent on us, the analysts, to call out flaws that 2/17 threaten the agreement's success. Here are key points of my take:
(1) While art. 3/5 imposes 'to restore the presence of federal authority' in Tigray's capital city, Mekelle, provisions under art 6 forcefully empower the #ENDF and rule terms of DDR for the #TDF.

1/5 We just watched the public statement about the negotiation between representatives of Tigray state and Abiy Ahmed’s regime. The 10-day negotiation, we are told, achieved a deal to effect cessation of hostilities, allow unfettered aid into Tigray and restore 2/5 public services. A process for demobilisation of the Tigray Defence Force (TDF) & its integration into the ENDF will be triggered. Some quick thoughts:
(1) What mechanism and ability does the AU, the US & other mediators have to implement and monitor the terms