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James Baird Profile picture
James Baird
@james_d_baird
PCA pastor | formerly @westminsterts @ligonier | book: "King of Kings" | #LiveLikeCharlie
5 subscribers
Nov 27, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
elon uses business to make the future

buffett uses business to make money if you want to speculate on the future, go long tesla

if you want to invest for a reasonable return, go long berkshire
May 23, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
I spent the weekend with a CIA operative and bomb-disposal expert.

Here’s what I learned 💡

1. Obsession > Intelligence

People who care orders of magnitude more than their peers outperform their smarter colleagues every day of the week—and by exceptional margins. 2. Risk > Ass Covering

You might get a nice watch after 40 years if you’re good at covering your ass.

But you won’t have much fun—and you definitely won’t move the needle for the agency or the nation.
May 23, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
if decision science has proven anything over the past fifty years it’s this:

1) the future is unpredictable; but
2) human behavior is not

bezos mastered these truths 👇🏼 “I very frequently get the question: 'What's going to change in the next 10 years?'

I almost never get the question: 'What's not going to change in the next 10 years?'

And I submit to you that that second question is actually the more important of the two.
May 16, 2021 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
Tonight’s tweet storm by @naval in one place: 1
May 2, 2021 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
Six threads on investing better than a Berkshire shareholder meeting: 1
May 1, 2021 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Confused by society and politics? Not sure how we got here? Or what “side” to take?

These books help: World Order amazon.com/dp/0143127713/…
May 1, 2021 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
On making, selling, and skin in the game: 1
Apr 29, 2021 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
How to succeed as a creator: 1
Apr 21, 2021 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
Six threads on #Bitcoin to help you hodl to the moon: 1.
Apr 18, 2021 • 13 tweets • 3 min read
12 vibes for life: 1
Apr 17, 2021 • 21 tweets • 4 min read
How Not to Die

Survival sounds trivial, but as the #1 predictor of success, it's underrated. Let's break it down!

In a nutshell, it means:

1. Reducing risk
2. Building strength
3. Navigating crises Image But why think survival is important?

It's a question worth considering from first principles.

"Deciding whether or not life is worth living is to answer the fundamental question in philosophy.” —Albert Camus
Apr 15, 2021 • 25 tweets • 10 min read
How to Thrive as a Hunter-Gatherer

A lifestyle advocated by @naval, @balajis, @dvassallo, & more. Let's break it down!

In a nutshell, this means:

1. low risk, high volatility
2. less certainty, more control
3. more adversity, greater strength
4. lots of intensity + leisure Most career tracks are fragile. One small thing goes wrong and you're jobless. Dangers include:

• AI/robotics
• outsourcing
• pandemics

Things are different for us than our parents.
Apr 12, 2021 • 23 tweets • 6 min read
Good explanations—the key to infinite knowledge.

@DavidDeutschOxf formalized the idea. @naval is a fan. Let’s break it down!

In a nutshell, good explanations are:

1. testable
2. hard to vary
3. extendable
4. creative Deutsch's model explains why knowledge has compounded since the Enlightenment.

Think about this:

• Knowledge use to double every 500 years
• In 1900, it doubled every 100 years
• Now IBM predicts it doubles every 11-12 hrs 🤯

Why? What changed? Will it keep compounding? Image
Apr 11, 2021 • 16 tweets • 4 min read
The Barbell Strategy

@nntaleb pioneered and popularized this approach to investing. Let's break it down!

In a nutshell:

1. put 90% of your money in risk-free assets, protecting your downside.

2. bet 10% on super-risky opportunities, giving you the chance for a big windfall. In the end, your portfolio looks like an unbalanced barbell 👆🏼

This strategy breaks with the traditional method, which says:

• diversify your investments across industries and pick options that are neither super risky nor super safe.

It looks smart and measured...but...
Apr 9, 2021 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
Six threads on how to explode on Twitter: 1.
Apr 8, 2021 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
How to learn business: Study successes
Apr 6, 2021 • 11 tweets • 5 min read
The best personal blogs on the internet: 1. @balajis balajis.com
Apr 5, 2021 • 18 tweets • 5 min read
The ultimate meta thread on thinking: 1.
Apr 3, 2021 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
Seven of @naval’s favorite books: 1. The Beginning of Infinity amazon.com/dp/0143121359/…
Apr 2, 2021 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
Seven new ways to get educated: 1. @QuanticSchool quantic.edu
Apr 1, 2021 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
Have you heard of Bitclout? 🚨

It is a new platform for buying “shares” of influencers.

The more popular they get, the more money you make (in theory).

The idea is cool, but the platform is dangerous.

Let’s curate some sanity👇🏼 For thoughtful takes, follow
@nateliason and @stephsmithio.

Also, read and share Steph’s breakdown of the problems with Bitclout: docs.google.com/document/u/1/d…