Sanjeev Sanyal Profile picture
Writer, economist & collector of old maps. This twitter handle belongs primarily to the writer, and only occasionally to the economist. RTs are not endorsements
প্রদীপ্ত মৈত্র (Pradipto Moitra) Profile picture Umed Mehta #Modi Ka Pariwaar 🇮🇳 Profile picture भवानि अमरा భవాని అమరా Profile picture Suraj Dash Profile picture R K Chari Profile picture 35 subscribed
Apr 6 5 tweets 3 min read
The new ASI dig at Rakhigarhi is throwing up some amazing finds from early, mature and late Harappan periods. Some are multi-storey buildings. These are just from a small area; there still are huge unexplored mounds. 1/n

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Sanjay Manjul and his team have also found evidence of a “stadium” with layered seating on both sides. Also piles of terracotta balls near the gates. Were these used for slings against attackers? 2/n
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Mar 12 6 tweets 2 min read
What happens in US universities if you do not follow the official line. This "cleansing" first happened in humanities and social sciences, now STEM. The spectacular decline of these institutions could not have faster. 1/n My family is well known for its opposition (often armed) to Western hegemony but we always had great respect for their universities. My great grandfather Nalinaksha, a revolutionary, won a scholarship to LSE in 1920s. Despite writing part of his thesis in a London prison.... 2/n
Mar 10 8 tweets 3 min read
Now that India's strong growth performance is no longer in doubt, let me deal with some common questions raised about India's economic performance: "FDI is going to Vietnam and not coming to India"; "Bangladesh now has a higher per capita income" and so on. 1/n At the onset,let it be clear that B'desh and Vietnam are friendly countries & we do not grudge them their good fortune. Nonetheless, as shown below, India consistently gets far more FDI than Vietnam and the gap, if anything, is widening in the long run. (World Bank data) 2/n Image
Nov 1, 2023 7 tweets 2 min read
I am just making a common-sense point on the Apple alert issue. Just read the language of the notification. It is full of loaded language like "because of who you are or what you do" - hardly a technical alert. Also odd how it states "state-sponsored" without any proof 1/n Image Email version of the alert mentions that some unnamed "experts" would be needed to help the supposed target of this "state-sponsored" cyber attack/hack. This is suspicious; surely Apple, the world's largest company, would be recommending its own support team and not "experts" 2/n Image
Oct 29, 2023 4 tweets 2 min read
Spent my Sunday retracing on foot part of the trail that INA and Japanese troops had followed on the Kohima campaign of 1944. Beautiful place but must have been very tough in monsoon conditions 1/n
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I have trekked in many places, but this trail is very special as Netaji personally used this route into India. Even in dry conditions, sections can be very slippery because of the kind of soil. 2/n

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Oct 26, 2023 5 tweets 2 min read
Income tax return statistics were recently used by some commentators to suggest that India's income inequality worsened between 2013-14 & 2021-22, & that gross income of lowest 25% of taxpayers actually declined. This is inaccurate interpretation of the data on several counts 1/n At onset, note that dataset relates to tax payers, not a survey of general population; extrapolating to income distribution is tricky. Rising pool of high-income taxpayers, for instance, reflects many factors from better compliance to middle-class moving up; both good things 2/n
Aug 31, 2023 5 tweets 2 min read
Now that data unequivocally endorses India's economic strategy during Covid, here is the theory of why heuristic based decisions under Uncertainty are fundamentally superior the usual Risk-tree strategies taught in universities 1/n
At that time, when I explained decision making in an uncertain, complex world using the "dog-and-frisbee" analogy, some people mocked this. I hope they will now recognise that the heuristic of iteration & flexibility is vastly superior to "predictive modelling" 2/n
Apr 19, 2023 14 tweets 2 min read
Am starting a series on impossible-to-translate Bengali words. Am writing in Roman script so that non-Bongs can enjoy the fun and have a shot at giving translations in other languages. Also open to suggestions on words for future postings

Today's word: Kebla Word of the day (on popular demand): Nyaka

....... even better, its variant: Nyaka-chandi
Dec 25, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
What is unsaid is that these are the descendants of language, sociology and anthropology departments that were used by colonial powers to deconstruct and delegitimise indigenous cultures of the colonised peoples The so-called progressive intellectual tradition is deeply steeped in the justification of colonialism in garb of “liberating” indigenous people from “superstition”. Marx, the Mills, even Keynes were enthusiastic supporters of colonial occupation of India
Nov 26, 2022 4 tweets 1 min read
Facebook has just informed me that my post on 26/11 Mumbai attacks is against their "Community Standards" on spam........ really??? And how is it spam? or "false advertising"? Evidently Indians are not allowed to even remember atrocities inflicted on us.
Nov 22, 2022 6 tweets 2 min read
My working paper on why opinion-based global indices on issues like democracy & freedom have reduced India's rankings/scores since 2014. The paper investigates three well-known Western think-tanks and found laughably shallow, opaque methodologies 1/n

eacpm.gov.in/wp-content/upl… Problem is that these opinions find their way into concrete things into sovereign ratings through the World Bank's WGI index.The growing calls for ESG scores in investment/trade decisions will give opinion-based indices even greater currency. It is time to demand transparency 2/n
Oct 19, 2022 5 tweets 3 min read
Just finished an amazing trip to Mumbai. Some incredible infrastructure being built - much of it to be finished in 24months. 13 metro lines, coastal road, new international airport, transharbour bridge to name a few. The city will be transformed within 2-3 years 1/n Image Metro line 3 will run from Cuffe Parade to Goregaon and will alone transform Mumbai. Built in a busy running city, underneath world heritage sites, Mithi river, bridges, it is an engineering marvel. See how close the Hutatma Chowk stn is to existing buildings 2/n ImageImage
Sep 22, 2022 7 tweets 2 min read
An important way that bureaucracies perpetuate their power is the system of small favours. A small wrinkle in the rule book forces the common citizen to ask for a minor favour (a permission, a signature, etc). It is dispensed freely, but sets up a patron-client relationship 1/n A good example of this is the colonial era Kursi Nashin that allowed chosen Indians to sit in the presence of a British official. It was not difficult for elite Indians to get it as long as he "behaved" - but it immediately created a favour 2/n
Sep 13, 2022 4 tweets 1 min read
An excellent dissection of how India's "intellectual" class have systematically tried to tilt the narrative against India to score political points. However, it is more than just a case of ideology 1/n

quadrant.org.au/opinion/qed/20… India's intellectual class is disproportionately descendants of the class who collaborated with the British occupation (my own informal research on families of present day "intellectuals" almost always leads there). 2/n
Jul 14, 2022 4 tweets 1 min read
The Rupee hit 80/US$ today. However, it is appreciating against other majors: 80.2/EUR vs 88 a year ago; 0.58/JPY vs 0.68; 94.3/GBP vs 103.2; and broadly flat to 11.8/CNY vs 11.5 a year ago. RBI is using reserves to smoothen move but correctly allowing mkt adjustment 1/n The Macro vitals of the economy in good shape: latest industrial growth reading is 19.6% yoy; bank credit at 13.2%; PMI for services at 59.2; both direct & indirect tax revenues buoyant 2/n
Mar 22, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
The US is still seeing 30-40k Covid cases/day and averaging 1200 deaths a day. This makes no sense after 2 years of vaccination and very high infection rates. Germany has 200k & SKorea 380k cases/day. Image Here is what is happening in New Zealand.... the country we were told did everything right. Now, the country with just 4.5mn population has almost 20k cases/day and deaths rising. Meanwhile Bangladesh has 150 cases/day - even allowing for poor data, it is astounding difference Image
Feb 13, 2022 6 tweets 2 min read
As many of you are aware, @vikramsampath is constantly attacked personally by the Left cabal for the crime of writing a book about Savarkar. The latest is that he is accused of plagerism. The evidence is very weak as explained below 1/n First, the evidence doesn't relate to any of Sampath's major works but the transcript of a speech he did at India Foundation in 2017. I also spoke at the event, and remember Vikram speaking mostly extempore with a few short passages read out. See link 2/n
indiatoday.in/magazine/up-fr…
Jan 31, 2022 16 tweets 23 min read
The #EconomicSurvey2022 has just been presented in Parliament. It comes in 2 volumes- the first looks at overall macroeconomic and sectoral developments, and the second is a revamped statistical appendix #EconomicSurvey (1/16) @FinMinIndia @PIB_India @nsitharamanoffc Indian Economy is estimated to have crossed the pre-pandemic level in 2021-22 with 9.2% growth (AE). Contact intensive services still impacted. #EconomicSurvey2022 #EconomicSurvey (2/16) @FinMinIndia @PIB_India @nsitharamanoffc
Nov 11, 2021 4 tweets 2 min read
Covid is seeing a big resurgence in Europe. Germany just recorded 51k cases in a day. Deaths are still low but that rises only after a lag. So, we do not know yet if the vaccine will prevent a spike in deaths. Same story in Netherlands where cases are back at peak with 12k cases/day - very high for its population size
Nov 4, 2021 4 tweets 1 min read
A beautiful depiction of the idea of #KALI - Time - beautiful and energetic driver of universe, destructive & regenerative - held back (just about) by her love of Shiva (consciousness) 1/n

In the Shakta tradition, therefore, the somewhat anarchic nature of the universe is embodied in Kali/Bhawani - whereas the same idea in the Shaiva tradition is embodied in Shiva himself, just about held in check by Vishnu or Parvati 2/n
Sep 7, 2021 5 tweets 2 min read
Two months, shifted from @ViCustomerCare to another provider. Have paid all outstandings but am hounded daily for random new charges. This is harassment & I intent to take this up with @TRAI and Telecom Ministry. Is this common? Is it only with Voda-Idea or a general problem? I want to get a sense of the scale of the problem - and the tactics use - before I take up the issue. So hope to get some feedback from general public.