Latest Twitter Threads by @thereal_truther on Thread Reader App

Sep 21 • 6 tweets • 3 min read

If the rumors are true RFK Jr. will announce tomorrow that Tylenol taken during pregnancy is linked to autism.

This claim is likely based on the flawed Andrea Baccarelli 2025 paper where he cherry-picked weaker studies & ignored larger quality sibling studies, for example a large population-based 2024 Swedish study on 2.5 million children which rejected the Tylenol association.

Andrea Baccarelli had previously served as a paid expert witness for plaintiffs in lawsuits alleging a causal link between prenatal Tylenol use and autism.

However, in federal multidistrict litigation in the Southern District of New York, Judge Denise Cote excluded Baccarelli and four other plaintiff experts from testifying under the Daubert standard.

The judge found serious methodological flaws in their scientific analyses and concluded their testimony lacked sufficient reliability and scientific merit to establish causation in court.

This ruling effectively barred the use of Baccarelli's opinion as expert evidence in federal court.

So who will be satisfied with this "reveal" tomorrow?

The pro-science community certainly won't as these claims lack credible evidence.

The anti-vaccine community certainly won't as they believe the cause is vaccines given after birth.

Reports claim a dozen working groups are still reviewing 30 hypotheses about potential causes which include vaccines so that will likely come at a future date.

A recent Annenberg Public Policy Center poll released last week showed that only 39% of Americans have confidence that RFK Jr. is providing the public with trustworthy information regarding public health.

As public confidence in RFK & MAHA continues to drop this announcement tomorrow seems ill-conceived as it's unlikely to please supporters or opponents of RFK Jr.

Instead it's symbolic of how RFK Jr. continues to fail as the head of public health in America.

MAHA promised science over narratives but continues to deliver the opposite. Andrea Baccarelli 2025 paper:
ehjournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11…

Sweden 2024 paper:
jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/…

Andrea Baccarelli as expert witness:
schachtmanlaw.com/2025/09/09/ace…

Annenberg Public Policy Center (APPC) poll:
cidrap.umn.edu/public-health/…

Jul 7 • 4 tweets • 2 min read

🚨New peer-reviewed study on New Zealand excess mortality destroys multiple COVID myths!

Key points:

✅New Zealand had negative excess mortality in 2020 due to suppression of COVID-19 & the reduction in other respiratory diseases including influenza.

Claims that "Covid deaths replaced flu deaths" are refuted by New Zealand which had only 52 COVID deaths before 2022.

Claims that "Covid deaths only rose when testing, panic & lockdowns started" are refuted by New Zealand which had historic negative excess in 2020.

Claims that "Viruses don't exist" are refuted by New Zealand which only saw a reduction in mortality when the country closed borders leading to lab confirmed eradication of multiple diseases.

✅ New Zealand had negative excess mortality in 2021. During this time more than 10 million vaccine doses were distributed.

Claims that the "Covid vaccine caused excess mortality" are refuted by New Zealand where excess timing had no correlation to vaccination.

✅ Mortality rose in New Zealand in 2022 & 2023 after they ended their elimination strategy & the Omicron variant became established.

"The magnitude, timing & age-distribution of the excess closely matched those of Covid-19-attributed deaths.

This suggests that the bulk of the excess in 2022–23 was directly attributable to Covid-19, either as an underlying or a contributory cause of death."

Claims that "Covid doesn't exist or "Covid was not the main driver of excess" during the pandemic are refuted by New Zealand where excess only rose when Covid surged in the country during 2022.

Conclusion:

"Negative excess mortality in 2020–21 reflects very low levels of Covid-19 and major reductions in seasonal respiratory diseases during this period.

In 2022–23, Covid-19 deaths were the main contributor to excess mortality & there was little or no net non-Covid-19 excess.

Overall, New Zealand experienced one of the lowest rates of pandemic excess mortality in the world."

Paper here: 👇

academic.oup.com/ije/article/54…

Jun 1 • 7 tweets • 3 min read

Since 2023 most countries in the world have had no excess mortality.

The anti-vaccine narrative is officially dead.

Thanks @USMortality for proving the doomsday claims were false! 🙏

Citation:
mortality.watch/ranking?bm=mea…

Mar 3 • 12 tweets • 4 min read

Anti-vaxxers lose their minds after RFK Jr. recommends the measles vaccine.

Grab some 🍿 & enjoy the meltdowns!

A 🧵

Social media influencer @IanCarrollShow takes time off from blaming Jews for things to cry about RFK Jr.'s article!

Feb 14 • 9 tweets • 3 min read

When you cook a Nazi so hard they threaten to murder you

He deleted the tweet but the screenshots last forever

https://x.com/HolaBackupFiJC/status/1890401890761863616

Dec 23, 2024 • 5 tweets • 3 min read

More bad news for the "vaccines are killing millions" crowd!

Researchers at the Norwegian Institute of Public Health conducted a comprehensive registry study examining all-cause mortality between vaccinated & unvaccinated from the entire population in Norway, over 4.6 million people.

In all age groups, the rate of death was lowest among those were fully vaccinated & highest among those that were unvaccinated.

All-cause mortality was 24–30% lower for those who had received at least three doses compared to those who had not received a single dose.

Each individual was counted as vaccinated from the date of vaccination. Unvaccinated only includes those who never received a single dose.

Link to the study & the report from the Norwegian Institute of Public Health:

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…

fhi.no/nyheter/2024/l…

Dec 5, 2024 • 5 tweets • 14 min read

RFK, Jr. has spent the last 20 years speaking out against vaccines.

But he claims he's not anti-vax.

Is he right?

Watch THE TRUTH ABOUT RFK JR.

Citations - Part 1

John Stossel Interview w/ RFK Jr.
reason.com/2024/08/28/joh…
Interview Fact Check
stopantivaxpropaganda.substack.com/p/rfk-jr-says-…

Measles:

nejm.org/doi/full/10.10…
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10…
cdc.gov/measles/about/…

Measles-Associated CNS Complications
thieme-connect.com/products/ejour…

Measles, Mumps, and Sensorineural Hearing Loss
nyaspubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.111…

Subacute Sclerosing Panencephalitis
academic.oup.com/cid/article/65…
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC60…

The Resurgence of Measles in the United States, 1989-1990
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/1580601

How Public Health Outreach Ended A 1990s Measles Outbreak And What’s Different Now
npr.org/sections/healt…

Do You Remember the Measles Outbreak of 1989
chicagomag.com/city-life/febr…

Immune Amnesia

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25954009/
science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…

Rapid Identification of Measles Virus Vaccine Genotype by Real-Time PCR

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/27852670/

WHO Measles Fact Sheets
who.int/news-room/fact…

Samoa:
virologydownunder.com/measles-in-sam…
samoaobserver.ws/category/samoa…
who.int/docs/default-s…
health.gov.ws/wp-content/upl…
unicef.org/eap/press-rele…
cfe-dmha.org/LinkClick.aspx…
who.int/docs/default-s…
who.int/docs/default-s…
unicef.org/press-releases…

Jan 29, 2024 • 4 tweets • 6 min read

Let's talk about measles & vaccination!

Pre-vaccination, each year in the USA measles led to:

• 400-500 deaths
• 48,000 hospitalizations
• 1,000 cases of encephalitis (swelling of the brain)

And other long-term complications like deafness, immune amnesia & some even died from SSPE years later.

Before 1963, approximately 500,000 cases were reported annually, with epidemic cycles every 2–3 years.

In the years following licensure of vaccine in 1963, the incidence of measles decreased by more than 95%, and 2–3-year epidemic cycles no longer occurred.

Because of this success, a 1978 Measles Elimination Program set a goal to eliminate indigenous measles by October 1, 1982 (26,871 cases were reported in 1978).

The 1982 elimination goal was not met, but in 1983, only 1,497 cases were reported (0.6 cases per 100,000 population), the lowest annual total ever reported up to that time

Some facts about measles:

1⃣ Ear infections occur in about one out of every 10 children with measles and can result in permanent hearing loss.

2⃣ As many as 1 out of every 20 children with measles gets pneumonia, the most common cause of death from measles in young children.

3⃣ About one child out of every 1,000 who get measles will develop encephalitis (swelling of the brain) that can lead to convulsions and can leave the child deaf or with intellectual disability.

4⃣ For every 1,000 children who get measles, one or two will die from it.

5⃣ Subacute sclerosing panencephalitis (SSPE) is a very rare, but fatal disease of the central nervous system that results from a measles virus infection acquired earlier in life.

SSPE generally develops 7 to 10 years after a person has measles, even though the person seems to have fully recovered from the illness.

6⃣ Immune amnesia. Measles can weaken immunity vs other infections for years after illness.

What about the death rate?

The measles death rate has always been about 1 in 1,000.

In the last big US outbreaks between 1989-1992 there were 57,859 cases of measles during this time, and 127 deaths, working out to almost exactly 2 deaths per 1000 cases of measles.

Europe in 2011: 26,000 cases and a death rate of around 1 per 3000, but varied highly by country. France bore the brunt with a death rate of around 1 per 2300.

Europe in 2017: Around one death per 1200 cases in Italy, and one death per four hundred cases throughout the European Union.

Europe 2018-19: Over 100,000 cases and 90 deaths in 47 of 53 countries.

Samoa in 2019: 83 deaths, all children & babies.

More on the death rates of measles:

Before the introduction of measles vaccine in 1963 major epidemics occurred approximately every two to three years around the world and caused an estimated 2.6 million deaths each year.

Accelerated immunization activities successfully prevented millions of deaths between 2000–2021.

Vaccination decreased measles deaths from 761,000 in 2000 to 128,000 in 2021.

However an estimated 128,000 people still died from measles in 2021 – mostly children under the age of five years, despite the availability of a safe and cost-effective vaccine.

Those against vaccines love to show MORTALITY rates of diseases in the USA before vaccines came along while intentionally hiding MORBIDITY rates.

Death is not the only consequence of being infected with a preventable disease like measles.

And cases did not go down & STAY DOWN until vaccines arrived.

#vaccinesworkprinceton.edu/news/2015/05/0…
npr.org/sections/healt…
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
ecdc.europa.eu/en/publication…
euobserver.com/tickers/144858
thelancet.com/journals/lanin…
unitypoint.org/news-and-artic…
who.int/news-room/fact…

When you look at the risks of the disease vs the vaccine it's a no-brainer.

nejm.org/doi/full/10.10…

Jan 14, 2024 • 7 tweets • 3 min read

Alex Berenson debunks the claim that COVID vaccines are causing excess deaths

“I don’t believe that this entire regulatory apparatus would ignore screaming danger signs. And I don’t believe doctors would.”

@AlexBerenson uses the military database for evidence.

I tweeted about this in September of 2023.

https://twitter.com/thereal_truther/status/1701631888459550970

Dec 1, 2023 • 10 tweets • 6 min read

🚨 Steve Kirsch PROVES the Covid vaccines aren't killing people!

Last night at MIT @stkirsch gave a presentation using illegally acquired "record level data" from New Zealand.

While Steve claimed the data "proves" the vaccines are "killing" at high rates in reality the data is reassuring & strong evidence the vaccines are NOT causing mortality.

Let's break it down!

We'll start by comparing highly vaccinated Sweden to highly vaccinated New Zealand.

In 2020 Sweden had ~7% excess mortality largely driven by Covid.

In 2020 New Zealand had ~ 7% NEGATIVE excess mortality largely driven by keeping all infectious diseases out of the country, including Covid.

In 2021 Sweden vaccinated 86% of their 18+ population & had no excess mortality.

In fact, their younger ages (20-44) have had negative excess in every year since 2021.

In 2021 New Zealand vaccinated over 90% of their 12+ population & continued to have negative excess mortality.

Vaccination did not lead to increased mortality in either country.

Steve's record level data confirms what we already knew.

Vaccines do not correlate to increased mortality in the weeks after vaccination.

Steve's own data shows death rates lower than baseline death rates in the weeks following vaccination.

Thanks, Steve!

How about months after for younger ages?

After everyone under the age of 60 received an average of 1 vaccine dose in New Zealand the death rate didn't move in every year since, even during COVID waves.

Steve's own data shows any "increase" months after vaccination is only seen in older age-groups. As @jsm2334 notes he hides this by only presenting charts of older ages and all ages combined.

Steve claims the vaccines are killing at rates of 1 person per 1,000 doses.

Highly vaccinated younger age-groups in New Zealand don't even have a mortality rate of 1/1000 for ALL CAUSES COMBINED, meaning his claim is mathematically impossible for those ages.

How about months after for older ages?

With New Zealand having historic negative excess mortality in 2020-2021 when they opened the borders & Covid along with other infectious diseases returned mortality was always going to return to baseline. This was inevitable regardless of whether they vaccinated a single person.

The vaccinated stay BELOW baseline when the first doses are given which implies a strong & long HVE effect, despite Steve claiming otherwise.

But according to the central value theorem if there is a time period below baseline, then later times must be above baseline in order for that baseline to hold over time.

Which means any increased mortality is not "excess mortality" or "vaccine deaths" but simply a return to baseline.

Steve exploits this inevitable "rise" to trick his followers into believing this proves the vaccines are "killing."

Again, Steve assumes, without any evidence, that any increase after 30 days are "vaccine deaths" but he completely ignores the fact that even after 30 days the death rate for the vaccinated is still FAR below the population baseline rate!

In 2017 the death rate for 70-79 year-olds in the New Zealand population was just over 20 per 1000 person-years, which shows that they are FAR below baseline for the first 3-4 months & don't reach baseline until about 6 months. Once again, this rise is NOT "vaccine deaths" but a return to baseline.

What does the mortality rise in 2022 correlate to?

Covid!

The periods of increased mortality in 2022 correspond directly to the two Covid waves New Zealand experienced.

For example in the 80 year-old group the median time of the 1st dose was August 10, 2021.

Looking at his data you see spikes of 2 dose and to a smaller degree 1 dose between Week 30 & 35, and again between week 50 & 55.

This corresponds directly to March and April 2022 in the first wave of Covid deaths, and then July to August 2022 in the second wave of Covid deaths.

Steve completely neglected to mention COVID in his presentation. I wonder why?

What about comparing to unvaccinated?

The biggest limitation in Steve's data is that he doesn't have an unvaccinated control group to compare to.

Which means he can't prove any rise 4-6 months after vaccination is higher in vaccinated vs unvaccinated.

Of course actual studies using record level data have shown the unvaccinated dying at higher rates!

What about comparing death rates pre-covid to post-vaccination?

@Thoughtfulnz has compiled great data on this.

Every age group in New Zealand has lower death rates post-vaccination (Feb 21 - Sep 23) compared to pre-Covid. (Feb 17 - Sep 19.)

Every. Single. One.

Age: Post-Vax | Pre-Covid
Under 60s: 23.1 | 23.6
60-79: 262.8 | 269.0
80 and over 1850.7 | 1933.9

If vaccines were killing people at significant rates this would not be possible.

In conclusion as @Thoughtfulnz shows below using the proper age-standardized death rate you'll see while New Zealand has seen an increase in raw deaths this is simply because there are a lot more older people.

Deaths are up but death RATES are down.

And vaccination didn't lead to any increase.

Those who claim otherwise are ignoring the historic drop in 2020 in mortality and the older population rise.

Following a significant drop in 2020 & 2021 in New Zealand mortality simply returned to baseline.

End of story.

Once again, @stkirsch got it wrong.

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