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Jul 10
1/ Heavy drones, which the Russians largely lack, are providing a significant advantage for Ukrainian infantry logistics on the battlefield. Meanwhile, says a Russian source, the Russian infantry face a "reverse evolution" of their equipment under harsh battlefield conditions. ⬇️ Image
2/ Recently reported Ukrainian advances are likely to have been made possible by innovations in drone-supported logistics, with heavy drones now being used to transport large quantities of equipment, supplies, and weapons.
3/ Ukraine's heavy drones such as the Vampire drone bomber (called 'Baba Yaga' by the Russians) are a capability that Russia has consistently failed to replicate. Instead, Russian soldiers seek out downed Ukrainian heavy drones and repair them for reuse.
Read 29 tweets
Jul 10
The @opcw has failed to resolve serious flaws regarding its investigation of the alleged chemical weapons in Douma, Syria 2018. Former DG José Bustani (BG21) & the Brazilian government have, once again, demanded a response from the OPCW. #EC112 berlingroup21.org/communication-… x.com/OPCW/status/20…Image
a) National Statement from Brazil to the OPCW Executive Council: Image
b) Most importantly, it is confirmed that the OPCW censored critical expert toxicology opinion which demonstrated that the victims in Douma were not killed by chlorine gas. thegrayzone.com/2026/05/07/opc…Image
Read 4 tweets
Jul 10
On the other hand, you could have asked "who will control nuclear weapons?"

To THAT question, there is a quite specific answer, and that answer is critical to the geopolitical power distribution.

In addition to some centralizing economies of scale in enriching uranium, the nuclear powers work hard to maintain the exclusivity of the nuclear club, and with good reason.

(Note that this is still true even though nuclear *power* is the kind technology that does make sense to commodify and to use as an input throughout the economy.)

Whether it's sensible to ask who will control a given transformative technology depends on the strategic and economic profile of that technology. There's not a universal rule that important technologies defuse widely.

We gotta look into the details.
Two relevant sub questions are:

1) Is it feasible to defend a monopoly or near-monopoly on the control of this technology?

2) Is it overall economically or strategically worth it to maintain a monopoly or near-monopoly?

In the case of nukes, making them is difficult enough, and requires scarce enough resources that it turns out to be pretty feasible to make it illegal for almost anyone to build a nuclear weapon, and to enforce that domestically and internationally.

The specifics of nuclear physics means enriching uranium is kind of a slog, and projects to do so can be disrupted with eg Stuxnet.

And also, it's obviously worth it for the nuclear powers to limit who else gets nukes, both nuclear powers have bargaining power over non-nuclear powers, and because they are overall safer with fewer Nukes (controlled by others) on planet earth.

In the case of AI, if the dynamics of recursive self improvement are such that one project or one country can get a substantial lead on their competitors, it might be very easy kneecap all those competitors, so that the leading project is the only entity in the world with some powerful/ Superintelligent AI capabilities.

Note that whether or not this is true depends on the growth curves of AI development, the range of possible attacks on other AI projects / AI nations and the offense-defense balance of those attacks, and more complicated factors like alignment and controllability.

It's not a foregone conclusion, but it seems likely that there's at least an opportunity for winner-take-all dynamics in AI races.

And with regard to whether it's economically or strategically worth it to try to maintain a monopoly on powerful/ Superintelligent AI...it seems like if you could develop a technology that allows you to soundly defang your competitors, that's alone is a pretty good reason to try to keep it to yourself.

There's a separate question of whether an entity that has developed powerful / Superintelligent AI capabilities would end up overall richer in absolute terms if they kept their capabilities to themselves or if they let them defuse.

If there are necessary human (or capital) inputs to the process, then you might end up better off letting your advantage defuse, because then you can benefit (via trade) from the uplift of the whole economy, rather than the much much smaller uplift to just your own project.

But if you're able to substitute for the human factors and capital factors of production, and just automate everything, then you maybe just get richer in absolute terms by running your own self-contained economy of AIs, factories, and robots, and just out-growing the rest of the world, or seizing the resources of rest of the world by force.

Of course "which course of action is most economically rational, in that it gives me the highest absolute wealth, without regard for other factors", is probably not how the decision will be made, if humans are making the decision. They care about a bunch of messier things, including relative standing and moral ideals, which complicate the picture.

But if the leading project is overtly or covertly controlled by an AI or an AI coalition, then it seems likely that the decision will be made on the basis of what generates the most absolute wealth.

None of this is intended as a definitive answer to the question "who will control AI?"

But I think this analysis should at least suggest that who will end up controlling AI is at least a non-obvious question, worth considering.
@jasoncrawford @threadreaderapp @Twtextapp @unrollthread unroll @threader_app compile
Read 3 tweets
Jul 10
Hey male cops let me do this regularly please 😜👍👍

#SurreyRCMP #surreyps #LangleyRCMP #BCRCMP #RCMP #Police #Cops #Canada #BC #BritishColumbia #Langley #LangleyBC #Surrey #SurreyBC #GAWDIWANTAMALECOPSEXUALLY🤤 Image
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@SurreyRCMP @surreyps @LangleyRCMP

@ChrisPentecos @Donaldnnicm @LangleyResident @BarbaraDoduk @RegretlessBee @Cdnwatcher @Istandtoreason @facepalmchris @trustednerd @felixcruggins @CultureGuard @WaxMyBallsShow @FranLa9 @kfurneaux20 @VernThurston @JonYaniv @JNonsense46242
@SurreyRCMP @surreyps @LangleyRCMP @ChrisPentecos @Donaldnnicm @LangleyResident @BarbaraDoduk @RegretlessBee @Cdnwatcher @Istandtoreason @facepalmchris @trustednerd @felixcruggins @CultureGuard @WaxMyBallsShow @FranLa9 @kfurneaux20 @VernThurston @JonYaniv @JNonsense46242 @threadreaderapp unroll
Read 3 tweets
Jul 10
Hey male cops let me do this regularly please 😜👍👍

#SurreyRCMP #surreyps #LangleyRCMP #BCRCMP #RCMP #Police #Cops #Canada #BC #BritishColumbia #Langley #LangleyBC #Surrey #SurreyBC #GAWDIWANTAMALECOPSEXUALLY🤤 Image
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@SurreyRCMP @surreyps @LangleyRCMP

@ChrisPentecos @Donaldnnicm @LangleyResident @BarbaraDoduk @RegretlessBee @Cdnwatcher @Istandtoreason @facepalmchris @trustednerd @felixcruggins @CultureGuard @WaxMyBallsShow @FranLa9 @kfurneaux20 @VernThurston @JonYaniv @JNonsense46242
@SurreyRCMP @surreyps @LangleyRCMP @ChrisPentecos @Donaldnnicm @LangleyResident @BarbaraDoduk @RegretlessBee @Cdnwatcher @Istandtoreason @facepalmchris @trustednerd @felixcruggins @CultureGuard @WaxMyBallsShow @FranLa9 @kfurneaux20 @VernThurston @JonYaniv @JNonsense46242 @threadreaderapp unroll
Read 3 tweets
Jul 10
arguing with google ai, lemme know what I got wrong!
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"Instead of placing a person into a single box, an admixture model describes an individual as ... (e.g., 62% Ancestral West Eurasian, 28% Ancestral East Asian, 10% Siberian)"
"...allows [x] to make highly accurate predictions"

Except race denialists aren't accurately predicting.
my experience with google search results ai chat, very circular, very obsequious yet sticks to the ethics dogma of the regime no matter what, if pressured insists on a "both sides are valid" hand-waving.
Read 7 tweets
Jul 10
Order is a beautiful lie we tell ourselves when the world gets too loud... We trace its lines on a map and mistake the boundary for a home... But true structure doesn't come from a boot on the neck; it begins when we refuse to let our internal compass be rewritten.
🧵 Image
We handed over our sovereignty in broad daylight, piece by piece, trading the wild expanse of autonomy for the neat, predictable corners of a cage... We called it security...We called it peace... But a cage, no matter how gilded, remains an admission of defeat.
Tyranny is rarely an overnight invasion, It's a slow, creeping fog that we invite in because we are too tired to keep watch. It feeds on the collective sigh of a populace that prefers the quiet comfort of obedience to the exhausting duty of vigilance.
Read 24 tweets
Jul 10
Modern governance does not rely on a single abstraction. It relies on a stack: money, time, property, borders, and symbolic identity operating as mutually reinforcing coordination surrogates.
1/ Each layer compensates for the weaknesses of the others. Each also amplifies the extractive capacity of the stack as a whole. Stability does not come from any one abstraction working well. It comes from cross-reinforcement, where failure in one layer is masked or deferred by the others.
2/ This architecture is powerful, scalable, and fragile.

Its core risk is not failure at a single layer. It is simultaneous reclassification across layers, which produces cascading legitimacy loss without immediate enforcement collapse.
Read 31 tweets
Jul 10
Given the massive Ukrainian victory in the "Battle of the Azov Sea."

We can say Ukraine has achieved “Usable Drone Air Superiority" over the Sea of Azov in exactly the way the Chinese would in the waters around, & air over, Taiwan when it invades.
🧵

1/
united24media.com/war-in-ukraine…
The "Battle of the Azov Sea" shares a lot of historical elements of both the WW2 "Battle of the Bismarck Sea" and the slaughter of Allied oil tankers in 1942 during Operation Drumbeat (Paukenschlag) and Operation Neuland.

2/ Image
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The Battle of the Bismarck Sea was the slaughter of 12 ships of a 16 ship Imperial Japanese convoy of eight IJA freighters and eight IJN destroyers moving 6,900 IJA troops.

Tipped off by IJN seaplane deployments & radio intercepts, only 2,700 IJA troops arrived w/o weapons or ammo.
3/Image
Read 12 tweets
Jul 10
Another gif I created lmfao 😁👍👍

#grok #chatgpt #aigenerated #gif #gifs #SurreyRCMP #surreyps #LangleyRCMP #BCRCMP #RCMP #Police #Cops #Canada #BC #BritishColumbia #Langley #LangleyBC #Surrey #SurreyBC #GAWDIWANTAMALECOPSEXUALLY🤤
@SurreyRCMP @surreyps @LangleyRCMP

@ChrisPentecos @Donaldnnicm @LangleyResident @BarbaraDoduk @RegretlessBee @Cdnwatcher @Istandtoreason @facepalmchris @trustednerd @felixcruggins @CultureGuard @WaxMyBallsShow @FranLa9 @kfurneaux20 @VernThurston @JonYaniv @JNonsense46242
@SurreyRCMP @surreyps @LangleyRCMP @ChrisPentecos @Donaldnnicm @LangleyResident @BarbaraDoduk @RegretlessBee @Cdnwatcher @Istandtoreason @facepalmchris @trustednerd @felixcruggins @CultureGuard @WaxMyBallsShow @FranLa9 @kfurneaux20 @VernThurston @JonYaniv @JNonsense46242 @threadreaderapp unroll @xdownloaderbot
Read 3 tweets
Jul 10
Another gif I created lmfao 😁👍👍

#grok #chatgpt #aigenerated #gif #gifs #SurreyRCMP #surreyps #LangleyRCMP #BCRCMP #RCMP #Police #Cops #Canada #BC #BritishColumbia #Langley #LangleyBC #Surrey #SurreyBC #GAWDIWANTAMALECOPSEXUALLY🤤
@SurreyRCMP @surreyps @LangleyRCMP

@ChrisPentecos @Donaldnnicm @LangleyResident @BarbaraDoduk @RegretlessBee @Cdnwatcher @Istandtoreason @facepalmchris @trustednerd @felixcruggins @CultureGuard @WaxMyBallsShow @FranLa9 @kfurneaux20 @VernThurston @JonYaniv @JNonsense46242
@SurreyRCMP @surreyps @LangleyRCMP @ChrisPentecos @Donaldnnicm @LangleyResident @BarbaraDoduk @RegretlessBee @Cdnwatcher @Istandtoreason @facepalmchris @trustednerd @felixcruggins @CultureGuard @WaxMyBallsShow @FranLa9 @kfurneaux20 @VernThurston @JonYaniv @JNonsense46242 @threadreaderapp unroll @xdownloaderbot
Read 3 tweets
Jul 10
A hospital moved its helipad, and nearby homeowners sued to abate the noise. They lost a motion for a permanent injunction at summary judgment and appealed. Can they? No, per Judge Duncan. While jurisdiction exists to appeal non final preliminary injunctions, this doesn't qualify Image
Interestingly, the question of appellate jurisdiction related to interlocutory denials of permanent injunctions is subject to a circuit split. Here, the Fifth Circuit stuck to its guns and dismissed the appeal. Image
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Read the opinion here: ca5.uscourts.gov/opinions/pub/2…
Read 3 tweets

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