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For 2025, the societal cost of Long COVID and ME/CFS in Germany is estimated at €64.4 billion - about 1.44% of GDP.
For Czechia, this would roughly translate to around CZK 120 billion per year if we apply the same share of GDP - 1.44% of the Czech economy.
A simple population-based conversion would produce a higher number (200 billion), but that is an overestimate.
A simple population-based conversion would produce a higher number (200 billion), but that is an overestimate.
This should matter to you, @strakovka.
Because this is what poor public health policy costs. Ignoring prevention, ventilation, surveillance, post-COVID care, and the long-term damage caused by repeated infections.
Because this is what poor public health policy costs. Ignoring prevention, ventilation, surveillance, post-COVID care, and the long-term damage caused by repeated infections.
On Friday afternoon, every member of the National Science Board received the same email.
It was sent by Mary Sprowls of the Presidential Personnel Office. It was one sentence long.
"On behalf of President Donald J. Trump, I am writing to inform you that your position as a member of the National Science Board is terminated, effective immediately."
Twenty-four scientists. One email. Effective immediately.
Here is what the National Science Board does.🧵
It was sent by Mary Sprowls of the Presidential Personnel Office. It was one sentence long.
"On behalf of President Donald J. Trump, I am writing to inform you that your position as a member of the National Science Board is terminated, effective immediately."
Twenty-four scientists. One email. Effective immediately.
Here is what the National Science Board does.🧵
Congress created it in 1950. It is the body that oversees the National Science Foundation. The Foundation funds about a quarter of all basic scientific research in America. The Board approves the big spending decisions. The Board sets the rules for grants. The Board reports to Congress and to the President on the state of American science.
Members serve six-year terms. Their terms are staggered on purpose. The design was meant to ensure the Board would always have experts whose service spanned across administrations. So that science policy would never depend on which party held the White House.
The Board is also required by law. It cannot be dissolved by an executive order. Only Congress can dissolve it.
Members serve six-year terms. Their terms are staggered on purpose. The design was meant to ensure the Board would always have experts whose service spanned across administrations. So that science policy would never depend on which party held the White House.
The Board is also required by law. It cannot be dissolved by an executive order. Only Congress can dissolve it.
The President fired the people on it anyway.
Here is what else has happened to American science under this administration.
Here is what else has happened to American science under this administration.
BJP's Vision for "Sonar Bangla" 🌅
The BJP’s 2026 manifesto isn't just a list of promises; it’s a roadmap to reclaim Bengal’s lost economic & cultural leadership. After decades of industrial stagnation, the focus is on a "Double Engine" model
🧵 (1/10)
The BJP’s 2026 manifesto isn't just a list of promises; it’s a roadmap to reclaim Bengal’s lost economic & cultural leadership. After decades of industrial stagnation, the focus is on a "Double Engine" model
🧵 (1/10)
Empowering the Household (The Welfare Pillar) 🏠
A key highlight is the promise of ₹3,000 monthly support for women & unemployed youth.This effectively doubles the current state doles,aims to provide immediate financial dignity while the party works on job creation
🧵(2/10)
A key highlight is the promise of ₹3,000 monthly support for women & unemployed youth.This effectively doubles the current state doles,aims to provide immediate financial dignity while the party works on job creation
🧵(2/10)
Justice for State Employees ⚖️
For years, WB’s government employees have highlighted the gap in Dearness Allowance (DA). The BJP has pledged the immediate implementation of the 7th Pay Commission and the clearance of all outstanding DA dues at par with central rates
🧵 (3/10)
For years, WB’s government employees have highlighted the gap in Dearness Allowance (DA). The BJP has pledged the immediate implementation of the 7th Pay Commission and the clearance of all outstanding DA dues at par with central rates
🧵 (3/10)
On Budanov’s desk sits notebook labeled “List of Assholes 2026.”
He is a Hero of Ukraine, former head of military intelligence, now head of the Presidential Office. Babel tells his story. 1/
He is a Hero of Ukraine, former head of military intelligence, now head of the Presidential Office. Babel tells his story. 1/
Born in Darnytsia, raised in an ordinary family. His father engineered parts for the Soviet space program at the Kyiv Radio Plant. He studied at a school with Jewish classes funded by the Jewish community. He learned Hebrew and still keeps ties with Ukraine’s chief rabbi. 2/
He dreamed of being a soldier from childhood — his grandfather told family legends about intelligence officers. He trained in Crimea every summer, hiking 30-40 km with a backpack and climbing cliffs. That passion would later save his life. 3/
Probably the most common question I get from younger guys is “How would you do it all again if you were my age?”
I’ll do you one better. Here’s an extremely realistic gameplan to get from ~$0 to $1MM in 5 yrs
I’m going to assume that you have a W2, are roughly 22 and have limited capital coming out of college
We’re going to get you from $0 to $1MM in just 3 deals
I’ll do you one better. Here’s an extremely realistic gameplan to get from ~$0 to $1MM in 5 yrs
I’m going to assume that you have a W2, are roughly 22 and have limited capital coming out of college
We’re going to get you from $0 to $1MM in just 3 deals
// Deal 1 //
You’re broke and have no skills. Everyone was here at some point. You can either whine about it or you can get moving
Reason most people think making money is hard is that they focus on how hard the end goal is (making $1MM) instead of focusing on the first step of the process – gaining the knowledge necessary to start making money
This first deal doesn’t matter at all. The only reason it matters is to “get you in the game”. Once you buy a deal you start accruing market knowledge, you start accruing relationships (lender, investor, broker, etc) – you start to become “dangerous”
You obviously want it to be a good deal but it doesn’t need to be a *great* deal. Because the purpose isn’t to make money, it’s to gain knowledge/skills/relationships so you can make real money on future deals
So what does this mean in a practical sense?
Step 1: Figure out how much equity you either have yourself or can raise
I was literally dead broke for my first deal so was only able to put $2,500 of my own money in. I reached out to my entire network and was only able to gather ~$100k. That wasn’t enough to buy a triplex all cash in my market (which is what I was targeting)
So I reached out to friends who could possibly partner up in the deal. Meant splitting the profits but didn’t matter to me. Was going to do whatever it took. If I needed to take on 10 more partners, I would have. It wasn’t about the profit, it was about the skillset
I finally found a partner and using our combined networks, we were able to muster $200k, which allowed us to buy a triplex
I’m going to assume you can raise a similar amount, but if not, no problem. Whatever amount you can raise, you back into a deal of that size. If you truly can’t raise any money, start up a real estate social media account, share your thoughts/analysis, create a network and raise the money that way
Step 2: Finding the deal
- The market: You’re going to go into a market where deals sell for less than $150k/unit. Additionally, deals in the market should be selling for 6% cap rates at minimum otherwise you’re going to find it too difficult
- You’re going to search on Zillow/Redfin for duplexes, triplexes and quads (loopnet and crexi only really work for bigger properties)
- Open up excel. Make a list of every property listed in the market. Track the price per unit it’s listed for and note the price per unit it sells for. There should be 50+ properties on this list or you’re doing it wrong. Download any and all financial information that’s included in the listing. If there’s no information in the listing, call up the broker and get it from him. By the end of this process, you should know exactly what price per unit properties sell for in the market and exactly what cap rate they trade at. You’ll be looking to buy a property below the market price per unit and above the market cap rate (stabilized yield). Simple
- Market rents: Same thing. First use the mls/costar if you have access to it. If not, get comps from brokers (still have to vet them yourself). Worst case scenario, use Zillow/apartments.com for active comps. Put them all in excel, discard any outliers and take the average. You’ll still need to run the “market rent” for each new deal you look at as each property differs slightly, but this should get you close initially
- Expenses: Use the P&L information you now have. Line each individual P&L up next to each other in excel & for each individual line item, note the cost per unit, cost per square foot & the overall expense load as a percent of revenue. Now you’ve figured out both revenue & expenses. You now should be able to create a brand new P&L for new properties you look at from scratch
- Brokers: Every time you see a broker on a listing, you’re going to call him up, ask him a few questions about the deal, tell him your criteria & ask him to add you to his mailing list. You should start receiving “passive” deal flow to your inbox every morning. Should also set Zillow/redfin alerts for your criteria. You’ll probably have to look at over 100 deals before pulling the trigger
- Underwriting. You’re going to underwrite 3-5 deals a week minimum. You’re going to underwrite them based on their stabilized yield (if you don’t know what this is, search my tweets for it). You’re looking for a 200 bps+ spread between your stabilized yield & the market cap rate. The higher the stabilized yield, the better. The goal is to understand exactly what price per unit & stabilized yield you’d buy a property in this market for so you’re ready to pull the trigger when the time comes
Step 3: Pulling the trigger
Your “buy box” should already be established, only thing left to do is find a deal that fits it. You should be tracking the aggregation sites daily, have plenty of broker contacts at this point & have a lot of deal flow hitting your inbox
When you see a deal that fits your criteria, pull the trigger
Since this is your 1st deal, you may have a hard time getting a loan. Instead of whining about this (like most people do), you can:
1. Do the deal all cash
2. Use seller financing
3. Get a guarantor to hop on the loan
Doesn’t matter which one you use, just get the deal done. As quickly as possible
Deal 1 Summary: Depending on your access to capital, your first deal should be 1-5 units in the $200k to $500k range. The timeline should be quick (doesn’t take long to renovate 5 units or less) & the profit doesn’t matter as much so I’m not even going to bother listing it (obviously if you do raise money though, be honest about the return profile up front). The idea is to “get you in the game”
You’re broke and have no skills. Everyone was here at some point. You can either whine about it or you can get moving
Reason most people think making money is hard is that they focus on how hard the end goal is (making $1MM) instead of focusing on the first step of the process – gaining the knowledge necessary to start making money
This first deal doesn’t matter at all. The only reason it matters is to “get you in the game”. Once you buy a deal you start accruing market knowledge, you start accruing relationships (lender, investor, broker, etc) – you start to become “dangerous”
You obviously want it to be a good deal but it doesn’t need to be a *great* deal. Because the purpose isn’t to make money, it’s to gain knowledge/skills/relationships so you can make real money on future deals
So what does this mean in a practical sense?
Step 1: Figure out how much equity you either have yourself or can raise
I was literally dead broke for my first deal so was only able to put $2,500 of my own money in. I reached out to my entire network and was only able to gather ~$100k. That wasn’t enough to buy a triplex all cash in my market (which is what I was targeting)
So I reached out to friends who could possibly partner up in the deal. Meant splitting the profits but didn’t matter to me. Was going to do whatever it took. If I needed to take on 10 more partners, I would have. It wasn’t about the profit, it was about the skillset
I finally found a partner and using our combined networks, we were able to muster $200k, which allowed us to buy a triplex
I’m going to assume you can raise a similar amount, but if not, no problem. Whatever amount you can raise, you back into a deal of that size. If you truly can’t raise any money, start up a real estate social media account, share your thoughts/analysis, create a network and raise the money that way
Step 2: Finding the deal
- The market: You’re going to go into a market where deals sell for less than $150k/unit. Additionally, deals in the market should be selling for 6% cap rates at minimum otherwise you’re going to find it too difficult
- You’re going to search on Zillow/Redfin for duplexes, triplexes and quads (loopnet and crexi only really work for bigger properties)
- Open up excel. Make a list of every property listed in the market. Track the price per unit it’s listed for and note the price per unit it sells for. There should be 50+ properties on this list or you’re doing it wrong. Download any and all financial information that’s included in the listing. If there’s no information in the listing, call up the broker and get it from him. By the end of this process, you should know exactly what price per unit properties sell for in the market and exactly what cap rate they trade at. You’ll be looking to buy a property below the market price per unit and above the market cap rate (stabilized yield). Simple
- Market rents: Same thing. First use the mls/costar if you have access to it. If not, get comps from brokers (still have to vet them yourself). Worst case scenario, use Zillow/apartments.com for active comps. Put them all in excel, discard any outliers and take the average. You’ll still need to run the “market rent” for each new deal you look at as each property differs slightly, but this should get you close initially
- Expenses: Use the P&L information you now have. Line each individual P&L up next to each other in excel & for each individual line item, note the cost per unit, cost per square foot & the overall expense load as a percent of revenue. Now you’ve figured out both revenue & expenses. You now should be able to create a brand new P&L for new properties you look at from scratch
- Brokers: Every time you see a broker on a listing, you’re going to call him up, ask him a few questions about the deal, tell him your criteria & ask him to add you to his mailing list. You should start receiving “passive” deal flow to your inbox every morning. Should also set Zillow/redfin alerts for your criteria. You’ll probably have to look at over 100 deals before pulling the trigger
- Underwriting. You’re going to underwrite 3-5 deals a week minimum. You’re going to underwrite them based on their stabilized yield (if you don’t know what this is, search my tweets for it). You’re looking for a 200 bps+ spread between your stabilized yield & the market cap rate. The higher the stabilized yield, the better. The goal is to understand exactly what price per unit & stabilized yield you’d buy a property in this market for so you’re ready to pull the trigger when the time comes
Step 3: Pulling the trigger
Your “buy box” should already be established, only thing left to do is find a deal that fits it. You should be tracking the aggregation sites daily, have plenty of broker contacts at this point & have a lot of deal flow hitting your inbox
When you see a deal that fits your criteria, pull the trigger
Since this is your 1st deal, you may have a hard time getting a loan. Instead of whining about this (like most people do), you can:
1. Do the deal all cash
2. Use seller financing
3. Get a guarantor to hop on the loan
Doesn’t matter which one you use, just get the deal done. As quickly as possible
Deal 1 Summary: Depending on your access to capital, your first deal should be 1-5 units in the $200k to $500k range. The timeline should be quick (doesn’t take long to renovate 5 units or less) & the profit doesn’t matter as much so I’m not even going to bother listing it (obviously if you do raise money though, be honest about the return profile up front). The idea is to “get you in the game”
// Deal 2 //
While you’re stabilizing Deal 1, you should be working on Deal 2. It’s not hard to operate a sub 5-unit property so you’ll have plenty of time. Idea is to close Deal 2 ~18 months after closing Deal 1. This is a very realistic timeline (I know because I’ve done it)
Deal 2 is different. You’re no longer a beginner. This makes life a lot easier. You’ve already established your market, you know your buy box, you have lender relationships & broker relationships. The only thing that’s changing is the deal size, which should now be bigger
This is the big mistake people make. Instead of scaling up after Deal 1, they do a similar-sized deal. They stay in their comfort zone. This is the opposite of what you want to do. Instead, you want to treat the first deal as a stepping stone to larger deals
This next deal should be in the 10-20 unit range, $500k - $2.5MM size range. The timeline should be roughly 18 months and your personal profit should be $38k - $188k. Honestly think this is a low bar but we’ll go with it anyway (you can beat a 2x return on a deal this small)
So how will it work?
You’re going to buy another value-add multi deal using the same process laid out above. Stabilized yield 200bps+ above the market cap rate (gets you to roughly a 2x return) Let’s say you buy a $2.5MM deal. 75% debt, 25% equity. You don’t have to syndicate this deal but I’ll assume you’re still capital constrained & need to
$2.5MM * 25% = $625,000 total equity. I’ll assume you’re putting in 10% of the equity or $62,500
I’ll assume you’re able to 2x your equity in the deal over the course of 18 months (short timeframe again because of the low number of units), which is very doable for a deal in this size range. 2x means $625,000 in profit
Since you syndicated the deal (assuming a 30% promote), you’re entitled to 30% of the profits even though you only put in 10% of the equity
$625,000 profit * 30% = $188k. Not bad for 18 months of work
And you also obviously get your initial capital back, which gives you a decent chunk of change to invest in your next deal. But you’re just getting started
While you’re stabilizing Deal 1, you should be working on Deal 2. It’s not hard to operate a sub 5-unit property so you’ll have plenty of time. Idea is to close Deal 2 ~18 months after closing Deal 1. This is a very realistic timeline (I know because I’ve done it)
Deal 2 is different. You’re no longer a beginner. This makes life a lot easier. You’ve already established your market, you know your buy box, you have lender relationships & broker relationships. The only thing that’s changing is the deal size, which should now be bigger
This is the big mistake people make. Instead of scaling up after Deal 1, they do a similar-sized deal. They stay in their comfort zone. This is the opposite of what you want to do. Instead, you want to treat the first deal as a stepping stone to larger deals
This next deal should be in the 10-20 unit range, $500k - $2.5MM size range. The timeline should be roughly 18 months and your personal profit should be $38k - $188k. Honestly think this is a low bar but we’ll go with it anyway (you can beat a 2x return on a deal this small)
So how will it work?
You’re going to buy another value-add multi deal using the same process laid out above. Stabilized yield 200bps+ above the market cap rate (gets you to roughly a 2x return) Let’s say you buy a $2.5MM deal. 75% debt, 25% equity. You don’t have to syndicate this deal but I’ll assume you’re still capital constrained & need to
$2.5MM * 25% = $625,000 total equity. I’ll assume you’re putting in 10% of the equity or $62,500
I’ll assume you’re able to 2x your equity in the deal over the course of 18 months (short timeframe again because of the low number of units), which is very doable for a deal in this size range. 2x means $625,000 in profit
Since you syndicated the deal (assuming a 30% promote), you’re entitled to 30% of the profits even though you only put in 10% of the equity
$625,000 profit * 30% = $188k. Not bad for 18 months of work
And you also obviously get your initial capital back, which gives you a decent chunk of change to invest in your next deal. But you’re just getting started
Stubb: Russia gained under 1% of Ukrainian territory in 2025 at a cost of 400,000 killed or wounded.
At this pace, taking Donetsk could cost another 800,000. Militarily, this is failure. Putin’s goal remains all of Ukraine; only a threat to his regime may change that.
1/
At this pace, taking Donetsk could cost another 800,000. Militarily, this is failure. Putin’s goal remains all of Ukraine; only a threat to his regime may change that.
1/
Stubb: Putin’s war has been a strategic failure. He wanted to take Ukraine, but pushed it deeper into Europe and NATO.
He wanted to stop NATO expansion, but got Finland and Sweden instead. He wanted global power — yet Russia’s influence is fading from Syria to Iran.
2/
He wanted to stop NATO expansion, but got Finland and Sweden instead. He wanted global power — yet Russia’s influence is fading from Syria to Iran.
2/
Stubb: Air defense is changing fast as Ukraine reshapes warfare with drones and missiles. We need to diversify more.
And we’re reaching a point where Europe, the US, and Gulf states may need Ukraine’s military know-how more than Ukraine needs them.
3/
And we’re reaching a point where Europe, the US, and Gulf states may need Ukraine’s military know-how more than Ukraine needs them.
3/
1/ Starving Russian soldiers in Ukraine have been eating their comrades and Ukrainians, according to intercepted Russian communications. Audio and photographic evidence indicates that several incidents of cannibalism likely occured in 2025. ⬇️
2/ The UK's Sunday Times newspaper has published evidence of what Ukrainian intelligence sources say were at least five instances where Russian soldiers were said by their fellow soldiers and commanders to have engaged in cannibalism.
3/ The evidence reportedly came to light from intercepted messages on Telegram, which has universally been used by the Russians for battlefield communications until it was recently blocked by the Russian government.
Basically, what Ben Gurion and that generation were afraid of
read all about it.—
unpopularfront.news/p/go-back-tomo…
unpopularfront.news/p/go-back-tomo…
He predicted:
• AI vision breakthrough (1989)
• Neural network comeback (2006)
• Self-supervised learning revolution (2016)
Now Yann LeCun's 5 new predictions just convinced Zuckerberg to redirect Meta's entire $20B AI budget.
Here's what you should know (& how to prepare):
• AI vision breakthrough (1989)
• Neural network comeback (2006)
• Self-supervised learning revolution (2016)
Now Yann LeCun's 5 new predictions just convinced Zuckerberg to redirect Meta's entire $20B AI budget.
Here's what you should know (& how to prepare):
@ylecun is Meta's Chief AI Scientist and Turing Award winner.
For 35 years, he's been right about every major AI breakthrough when everyone else was wrong.
He championed neural networks during the "AI winter."
But his new predictions are his boldest yet...
For 35 years, he's been right about every major AI breakthrough when everyone else was wrong.
He championed neural networks during the "AI winter."
But his new predictions are his boldest yet...
1. "Nobody in their right mind will use autoregressive LLMs a few years from now."
The technology powering ChatGPT and GPT-4? Dead within years.
The problem isn't fixable with more data or compute. It's architectural.
Here's where it gets interesting...
The technology powering ChatGPT and GPT-4? Dead within years.
The problem isn't fixable with more data or compute. It's architectural.
Here's where it gets interesting...
While everyone is repeating “build the ballroom,” in a robotic chorus, I did something else.
I looked at who is funding it.
Then I cross-referenced those names with the Epstein files.
The story got a lot bigger than a ballroom.
I looked at who is funding it.
Then I cross-referenced those names with the Epstein files.
The story got a lot bigger than a ballroom.
3/
I’ve been working relentlessly to cover what others won’t, including the Epstein survivors’ fight for transparency.
This work is fully independent and reader funded. No sponsors. No handlers. No institution telling me where the line is. And I’m not stopping.
But that independence is the work.
If you believe truth still has a place in this media climate, support the journalists doing it.
Subscribe here on X, subscribe on Substack, share the work, and help keep independent investigative reporting alive.
ko-fi.com/amberspeaksup
I’ve been working relentlessly to cover what others won’t, including the Epstein survivors’ fight for transparency.
This work is fully independent and reader funded. No sponsors. No handlers. No institution telling me where the line is. And I’m not stopping.
But that independence is the work.
If you believe truth still has a place in this media climate, support the journalists doing it.
Subscribe here on X, subscribe on Substack, share the work, and help keep independent investigative reporting alive.
ko-fi.com/amberspeaksup
The Malaccan Heat (Thread)
- Heatwave in India
- West Bengal elections
- US Iran war
- Rahul Gandhi's current visit of Nicobar
- A 16 year old incident
In this thread
They look different but how all these events are interconnected to each other
1-15
- Heatwave in India
- West Bengal elections
- US Iran war
- Rahul Gandhi's current visit of Nicobar
- A 16 year old incident
In this thread
They look different but how all these events are interconnected to each other
1-15
On 1st April
PIB issue a waring of IMD about upcoming heatwave in India but that time nobody spoke about it because everyone knows that April - June are hot months in India and every year temp remains between 40 - 50 degree in this season
PIB issue a waring of IMD about upcoming heatwave in India but that time nobody spoke about it because everyone knows that April - June are hot months in India and every year temp remains between 40 - 50 degree in this season
23rd April
Polling happens in first phase of elections for West Bengal
Record breaking 92% poling happens
And many observer say that this polling went in favour of BJP
Huge poling is also expected in second phase which is scheduled on 29th April
Polling happens in first phase of elections for West Bengal
Record breaking 92% poling happens
And many observer say that this polling went in favour of BJP
Huge poling is also expected in second phase which is scheduled on 29th April
1. A member of the U.S. Special Forces was just arrested for using classified info to turn a 400K profit on Polymarket.
The company is CELEBRATING this scandal as evidence that "the system works."
But Polymarket's story doesn't add up.
Let's dig in.
🧵
The company is CELEBRATING this scandal as evidence that "the system works."
But Polymarket's story doesn't add up.
Let's dig in.
🧵
2. Gannon Van Dyke, part of the Special Forces unit that captured former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, was indicted for misappropriating classified information to turn a 400K profit on Polymarket.
popular.info/p/polymarket-c…
popular.info/p/polymarket-c…
3. Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan posted: “We flagged this, referred it, and cooperated throughout the process.”
But indictment credits “reports of unusual trading" in "the press and on social media” with bringing scrutiny to Van Dyke's accounts.
Polymarket’s internal systems are not mentioned.
But indictment credits “reports of unusual trading" in "the press and on social media” with bringing scrutiny to Van Dyke's accounts.
Polymarket’s internal systems are not mentioned.
