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In 1961, an MIT math professor walked into a Vegas casino with a shoebox-sized computer hidden in his suit.
He'd just proven blackjack was beatable.
The casinos changed the rules of the game because of him.
Then he got bored and turned to Wall Street.
His hedge fund returned 20% annually for 29 years straight. Zero losing years. Not one.
He taught Warren Buffett about options pricing before Black-Scholes existed.
His name was Ed Thorp. He's 92 and still trading.
I turned his methodology into 10 prompts.
Here are all 10:
He'd just proven blackjack was beatable.
The casinos changed the rules of the game because of him.
Then he got bored and turned to Wall Street.
His hedge fund returned 20% annually for 29 years straight. Zero losing years. Not one.
He taught Warren Buffett about options pricing before Black-Scholes existed.
His name was Ed Thorp. He's 92 and still trading.
I turned his methodology into 10 prompts.
Here are all 10:
1. The Edge Identifier
"Analyze [market/asset/situation] and identify any statistical edge where the expected value is positive. Show me the math. If there's no edge, tell me to walk away. Do not invent one."
Thorp's #1 rule: no edge, no bet. Most people skip this step and call it "investing."
"Analyze [market/asset/situation] and identify any statistical edge where the expected value is positive. Show me the math. If there's no edge, tell me to walk away. Do not invent one."
Thorp's #1 rule: no edge, no bet. Most people skip this step and call it "investing."
2. The Kelly Sizer
"Given an edge of [X%] and odds of [Y], calculate the optimal position size using the Kelly Criterion. Then cut it in half. Explain why half-Kelly survives drawdowns better than full Kelly."
Thorp didn't just find edges. He sized them so a bad streak couldn't kill him.
"Given an edge of [X%] and odds of [Y], calculate the optimal position size using the Kelly Criterion. Then cut it in half. Explain why half-Kelly survives drawdowns better than full Kelly."
Thorp didn't just find edges. He sized them so a bad streak couldn't kill him.
Don’t PAY APPLE for extra iCloud storage.
I fixed it in 10 minutes
I freed up 12GB without paying a dollar.
Use these 8 simple steps:
I fixed it in 10 minutes
I freed up 12GB without paying a dollar.
Use these 8 simple steps:
1. Find the Real Storage Hogs
"Go to Settings > [Your Name] > iCloud > Manage Storage and check what's using the most space across Photos, Backups, Mail, and Apps."
"Go to Settings > [Your Name] > iCloud > Manage Storage and check what's using the most space across Photos, Backups, Mail, and Apps."
2. Delete Old iPhone Backups
"In Manage Storage > Backups, delete old device backups from phones you no longer use. Keep only your current device."
"In Manage Storage > Backups, delete old device backups from phones you no longer use. Keep only your current device."
Iran has just signed a $52 billion energy and military agreement that changes the game with the BRICS countries, giving Iran effective control over 45% of the world's vital oil routes and advanced defense cooperation.
This agreement makes it virtually impossible to impose
This agreement makes it virtually impossible to impose
future Western sanctions and establish Iran as the undisputed superpower of the Middle East.
The cowardly United States was in a state of panic, without reacting immediately.
Israel is now completely isolated because even its former partners are distancing themselves.
The cowardly United States was in a state of panic, without reacting immediately.
Israel is now completely isolated because even its former partners are distancing themselves.
Iran is the first courageous country to bring America to its knees and reshape the global order in real time.
Source: Iranian state media, Al Jazeera, Reuters official BRICS statement, AP News
#Iran #BRICS #semuaorang
Source: Iranian state media, Al Jazeera, Reuters official BRICS statement, AP News
#Iran #BRICS #semuaorang
At the very best @TonyJuniper is ecologically naive, and is being manipulated by grouse shooting interests, into believing that the breeding success of Curlews on grouse moors, can be replicated elsewhere, with predator control.
1/🧵
1/🧵
I have provided a comprehensive explanation as to why it is false and naive to believe that the breeding successes of Curlews and other ground nesting waders, on managed grouse moors, can be replicated elsewhere, for a number of factors.
2/
2/
Part of the reason, this can't be replicated, as I explain, is because upland grouse moors naturally support far lower numbers of Crows and Foxes, as sheep are generally excluded from them, and there would be very little to support, their populations all year round.
3/
3/
Net zero advocates love to claim renewables are cheaper than gas by waving around Levelised Cost of Energy (LCOE) models from Lazard, IRENA, and the UK Government’s Generation Cost 2025 report. But these models are junk. Here’s why. (1/19)
LCOE sums up all capital and operating costs over a plant’s lifetime, discounts them, and divides by total electricity generated. Result: £/MWh or p/kWh in a chart like Lazard's below. Sounds scientific… until you look closer. (2/19)
Classic LCOE compared dispatchable sources (gas, coal, nuclear, hydro) that match demand. Now it’s used for wind & solar, whose output depends on weather, not demand. A midday solar kWh when supply>demand is worthless. Peak-hour gas power is priceless. LCOE ignores this. (3/19)
UPDATE
#Iran 🧵
1- The Iranian delegation led by Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf has returned to Tehran with ceasefire talks with the US reaching dead end. The blame is totally on the American side which as always has excessive demands regarding nuclear program & Strait of Hormuz.
#Iran 🧵
1- The Iranian delegation led by Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf has returned to Tehran with ceasefire talks with the US reaching dead end. The blame is totally on the American side which as always has excessive demands regarding nuclear program & Strait of Hormuz.
2- Iranian media reports the Americans had asked to share the control and management (and toll?) over the strait of Hormuz with the U.S.
Very strange they didn’t think even for a sec “why would Iran do so after all the animosity we’ve shown to them & assassinating their leader?”
Very strange they didn’t think even for a sec “why would Iran do so after all the animosity we’ve shown to them & assassinating their leader?”
3- As Trump’s regime claimed in June 2025 that Iran’s nuclear program is totally obliterated, again Americans don’t ask themselves, “if we destroyed it, killed a generation of their nuclear scientists, why would they accept dismantling of their program- which doesn’t exist?”
Anbe Sivam is one of the finest films ever made. Kamal's performance. Vidyasagar's music. Vairamuthu's lyrics. It earns every tear. It also deserves a full ideological deconstruction, cuz you missed most of 'em!
A thread decoding the greatest leftist film in Dravidawood history:
A thread decoding the greatest leftist film in Dravidawood history:
There are 2 ways to push ideology through cinema.
1. Ranjith style in Kaala: loud, brazen, obvious. You see the propaganda clearly.
2. Kamal style in Anbe Sivam: seductive, warm, beautiful. You don't even realize u're being sold an ideology.
Exactly why we need to decode it.
1. Ranjith style in Kaala: loud, brazen, obvious. You see the propaganda clearly.
2. Kamal style in Anbe Sivam: seductive, warm, beautiful. You don't even realize u're being sold an ideology.
Exactly why we need to decode it.
Inspired by Planes, Trains & Automobiles (1987), AS is a road movie featuring 2 strangers with different worldviews, forced to travel together. A capitalist Maddy & a commie Kamal, stuck in a cyclone hit Bhubaneshwar, must find ways to reach Chennai urgently - that’s the plot.
12.04.2014: Igor Girkin arrives in Sloviansk. In 2020, he describes how Russian special forces were tasked with holding out until the referendum, at which point the Russian army—which was already stationed at the border under the guise of peacekeepers—would intervene.
Unlike in Crimea, the Russian soldiers in eastern Ukraine were simply on "vacation". As if it were normal in the Russian army for soldiers to take their tanks, artillery, or modern air defense systems with them on leave.
The former self-proclaimed “people’s governor of Donbas,” Pavel Gubarev, has acknowledged that the 2014 “uprising” in eastern Ukraine was fully financed and orchestrated by Moscow, with direct involvement of Russian military forces.
You can make $800per day if you have:
1. A laptop
2. Wi-Fi
3. Time
Here are 10 websites that pay you daily:
1. A laptop
2. Wi-Fi
3. Time
Here are 10 websites that pay you daily:
1. Paidwork
Paidwork lets you earn by watching videos, playing games, and taking surveys. Payments via PayPal or bank transfer.
Earn up to $700 per month.
Paidwork lets you earn by watching videos, playing games, and taking surveys. Payments via PayPal or bank transfer.
Earn up to $700 per month.
2. KellyConnect
KellyConnect provides remote customer service and tech support roles, perfect for those seeking flexible work-from-home opportunities.
Pay ranges from $15-$17 per hour with training included.
KellyConnect provides remote customer service and tech support roles, perfect for those seeking flexible work-from-home opportunities.
Pay ranges from $15-$17 per hour with training included.
His phone rang at 3:17am.
"We have a problem."
Those four words. Every backend engineer who has ever been on-call knows exactly what they do to your stomach.
$4 million in transactions had vanished. Not failed. Not pending.
Vanished.
What happened in the next 6 hours — is the most important backend story I know. 🧵
"We have a problem."
Those four words. Every backend engineer who has ever been on-call knows exactly what they do to your stomach.
$4 million in transactions had vanished. Not failed. Not pending.
Vanished.
What happened in the next 6 hours — is the most important backend story I know. 🧵
Tosin was the lead backend engineer at a Nigerian payment company.
On-call rotation. Third week in a row covering for a colleague. 3:17am on a Wednesday.
He sat up. Opened his laptop. First check: transaction logs.
847 transactions. Status: COMPLETED on their side. Status: NOT RECEIVED on the bank's side.
$4 million in completed transactions — that the bank had no record of processing.
The money had left their system. It hadn't arrived anywhere.
It was in the gap between two systems. In the dark space between confirmed and received.
On-call rotation. Third week in a row covering for a colleague. 3:17am on a Wednesday.
He sat up. Opened his laptop. First check: transaction logs.
847 transactions. Status: COMPLETED on their side. Status: NOT RECEIVED on the bank's side.
$4 million in completed transactions — that the bank had no record of processing.
The money had left their system. It hadn't arrived anywhere.
It was in the gap between two systems. In the dark space between confirmed and received.
His first instinct was panic.
His second instinct was the one that saved him.
He didn't touch anything.
Before writing a single fix — before changing a single value before running a single script
He took 20 minutes to understand what had happened.
Not what looked like it happened. What actually happened.
He read every log from the previous 6 hours. Backwards. From the failure. Toward the cause.
Most engineers run toward the fix. He ran toward the understanding first.
His second instinct was the one that saved him.
He didn't touch anything.
Before writing a single fix — before changing a single value before running a single script
He took 20 minutes to understand what had happened.
Not what looked like it happened. What actually happened.
He read every log from the previous 6 hours. Backwards. From the failure. Toward the cause.
Most engineers run toward the fix. He ran toward the understanding first.
SitRep - 11/04/26 - Easter truce partially in place
An overview of the daily events in Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Despite the Easter ceasefire, there are reports of violations by Russian troops. Also, 182 Ukrainians returned home.
REPOST=appreciated
1/X
An overview of the daily events in Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Despite the Easter ceasefire, there are reports of violations by Russian troops. Also, 182 Ukrainians returned home.
REPOST=appreciated
1/X
Missed the latest?
As usual we start with Russian losses
Recovery of capacity from Saudi Arabia’s east west pipeline which bypasses the Strait of Hormuz. The pipeline’s throughput was down 700k due to attacks, now it’s restored. #OOTT #SaudiaArabia
The kingdom’s production was also impacted by 600kbd… 300k has been restored from Manifa and still 300k is impacted in Khurais. #OOTT
Huge credit to Aramco for their record repair work. #Aramco
