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That new LFM2.5-350M is super overtrained, right? And everyone was shocked about how far they pushed it?
As it turns out, we have a brand new scaling law for that! 🧵
[1/n]
As it turns out, we have a brand new scaling law for that! 🧵
[1/n]
Introducing Train-to-Test (T²) scaling! We found that test-time scaling via repeated sampling means that radical overtraining like this - training a smaller model for way longer - is actually compute optimal! 🙀
[2/n]arxiv.org/abs/2604.01411
[2/n]arxiv.org/abs/2604.01411
We consider the combined effect of (Chinchilla-style) pretraining scaling AND inference scaling via repeated sampling. When we test-time scale Chinchilla to a matched inference budget (smaller models get more inference), WAY overtraining becomes compute optimal
[3/n]
[3/n]
In my new piece in The New York Times today, I argue the Iran war has reached a point Washington still refuses to say out loud:
either the U.S. escalates to a ground war—or Iran emerges as a new center of global power.
Think about—what stops this future?
nytimes.com/2026/04/06/opi…
either the U.S. escalates to a ground war—or Iran emerges as a new center of global power.
Think about—what stops this future?
nytimes.com/2026/04/06/opi…
This is not about personalities
It’s a structural problem building since 2002, when Iran’s nuclear program shifted the conflict from political to military
Once large-scale strikes begin, escalation follows a logic of its own
It’s a structural problem building since 2002, when Iran’s nuclear program shifted the conflict from political to military
Once large-scale strikes begin, escalation follows a logic of its own
The administration’s strategy is not irrational:
--limited force
--signal resolve
--avoid ground war
--create leverage
The problem is the assumption underneath it:
that escalation can be controlled
History says otherwise
--limited force
--signal resolve
--avoid ground war
--create leverage
The problem is the assumption underneath it:
that escalation can be controlled
History says otherwise
The wealthiest people in America didn’t get rich the way you think.
They did it via boring, everyday businesses.
Here are the top 10 options for 2026:
1) Window Washing
They did it via boring, everyday businesses.
Here are the top 10 options for 2026:
1) Window Washing
2) Pressure Washing
3) Landscaping
💔Odesa, Ukraine
Again the world watch children, in their diapers, being carried out from the rubble after russiaian attacks on the homes they live in, burning the bed where they sleep.
3 people have been confirmed killed, amongst them is a 30-year-old mother & her daughter, only 2-years -old.
The number of injured is at 15.
13 of them currently hospitalized, including a pregnant woman, a baby boy only 7 months old & a 2-year-old girl.
#russiaisaterroriststate
Again the world watch children, in their diapers, being carried out from the rubble after russiaian attacks on the homes they live in, burning the bed where they sleep.
3 people have been confirmed killed, amongst them is a 30-year-old mother & her daughter, only 2-years -old.
The number of injured is at 15.
13 of them currently hospitalized, including a pregnant woman, a baby boy only 7 months old & a 2-year-old girl.
#russiaisaterroriststate
Today the sun again rose with layers of smoke from these russian attacks on residential building, a kindergarten & civilian infrastructure, not just in Odesa but throughout several cities and villages in Ukraine.
The russian terrorists launched over 140 strike drones at Ukraine during the night, and about 80 of them were "Shahid" drones
Over the past week, during the Easter Holliday and spring break, russia has been attacking Ukraine with more than 2,800 strike drones, nearly 1,350 guided aerial bombs & more than 40 missiles of various types.
The russian terrorists launched over 140 strike drones at Ukraine during the night, and about 80 of them were "Shahid" drones
Over the past week, during the Easter Holliday and spring break, russia has been attacking Ukraine with more than 2,800 strike drones, nearly 1,350 guided aerial bombs & more than 40 missiles of various types.
I have so much to say, but right now I just do not have the words to express it all.
I beg the world to not ignore the evil of russias war, don’t ever forgive these war criminals, hold every single one of these criminals and their supporters & enablers accountable.
I beg the world to not ignore the evil of russias war, don’t ever forgive these war criminals, hold every single one of these criminals and their supporters & enablers accountable.
THREAD: THE SILENT SIEGE ON PAKISTAN
DEAR NATION: You are now the frontline. Foreign hackers have given up on the government and are hunting U.
In early 2026, 98 major strikes hit our institutions, but the real war is in your pocket. Your phone is their back door into Pakistan.
DEAR NATION: You are now the frontline. Foreign hackers have given up on the government and are hunting U.
In early 2026, 98 major strikes hit our institutions, but the real war is in your pocket. Your phone is their back door into Pakistan.
WHATSAPP ATTACK: Watch out for fake "Support" bots or QR codes to "verify" your account. They are using GhostPairing to silently link their laptops to your chats.
They see every photo and message in real-time. Check "Linked Devices" NOW. Log out any stranger.
They see every photo and message in real-time. Check "Linked Devices" NOW. Log out any stranger.
EMAIL THREAT: They are sending blurred PDFs that say "Enable Reader." One click triggers DLL Sideloading, a silent infection that installs the BurrowShell backdoor in your memory.
It steals your files while you sleep. If it’s blurred, it’s a TRAP. DELETE IT.
It steals your files while you sleep. If it’s blurred, it’s a TRAP. DELETE IT.
'What is the best exercise for this muscle group?'
Let me remove the guesswork.
After training for the last 9 years, here's a complete 65 exercise database categorized for every muscle group:
(Bookmark for your next gym day)
Let me remove the guesswork.
After training for the last 9 years, here's a complete 65 exercise database categorized for every muscle group:
(Bookmark for your next gym day)
We've all been there.
You want to lift weights but don't know where to start.
I got you.
Your exercises will be split into one of 6 categories.
⚬ Squat
⚬ Hinge
⚬ Vertical Push
⚬ Vertical Pull
⚬ Horizontal Push
⚬ Horizontal Pull
Here are 65 options to cover each...
You want to lift weights but don't know where to start.
I got you.
Your exercises will be split into one of 6 categories.
⚬ Squat
⚬ Hinge
⚬ Vertical Push
⚬ Vertical Pull
⚬ Horizontal Push
⚬ Horizontal Pull
Here are 65 options to cover each...
1. Legs (Quads):
⚬ Leg Press
⚬ Hack Squat
⚬ Leg Press
⚬ Pendulum Squat
⚬ Smith Machine Squat
⚬ Goblet Squat
⚬ Split Squats
⚬ Lunges
⚬ Leg Press
⚬ Hack Squat
⚬ Leg Press
⚬ Pendulum Squat
⚬ Smith Machine Squat
⚬ Goblet Squat
⚬ Split Squats
⚬ Lunges
Day 120 of posting a deal a day until I get a new role🧵
Today, I am back to an office case study:
Today, I am back to an office case study:
1) what was easy
- operating model is very simple you just take the given rent and grow it 3% a year
- opex is fixed and variable, fixed grows with inflation and variable is based on gross rent
- leasing costs are static numbers based on square feet and previously calculated rent
- for sale, you can just assume an exit cap rate and go from there
- operating model is very simple you just take the given rent and grow it 3% a year
- opex is fixed and variable, fixed grows with inflation and variable is based on gross rent
- leasing costs are static numbers based on square feet and previously calculated rent
- for sale, you can just assume an exit cap rate and go from there
2) What was kind of hard
- lot of uncertainty in the case so I had to make assumptions e.g. stretch out the lease term 15 years to get the full LC
- plugging in a number for purchase price to make a suggested bid amount to hit suggested return metrics
- Building a TI/LC reserve in day 1 and understanding the sources and uses and how they impact free cash flow took a minute but I got it
- lot of uncertainty in the case so I had to make assumptions e.g. stretch out the lease term 15 years to get the full LC
- plugging in a number for purchase price to make a suggested bid amount to hit suggested return metrics
- Building a TI/LC reserve in day 1 and understanding the sources and uses and how they impact free cash flow took a minute but I got it
Today’s #manuscriptmonday is all about palimpsests (a 🧵).
A palimpsest (from the Greek meaning "again" and "scrape") is a repurposed manuscript in which a document has an original written on it, the original text is then erased, cleaned, and then an entirely new text is written on top.
I was recently at the @museumofBible where they have a really good example of this in Codex Climaci Rescriptus, originally from Saint Catherine's Monastery.
1/ c19early looks like a massive meta-analysis. It’s not.
It’s an advocacy platform that aggregates studies using nonstandard methods that make weak evidence look strong.
Let’s walk through the core methodological problems 👇
It’s an advocacy platform that aggregates studies using nonstandard methods that make weak evidence look strong.
Let’s walk through the core methodological problems 👇
2/ Problem #1: Outcome mixing
They pool “the most serious outcome” from each study.
That means:
• Death in one study
• Hospitalization in another
• Viral clearance in another
→ Combined into ONE effect size
That’s not clinically coherent.
They pool “the most serious outcome” from each study.
That means:
• Death in one study
• Hospitalization in another
• Viral clearance in another
→ Combined into ONE effect size
That’s not clinically coherent.
3/ Problem #2: Heterogeneous populations
Early outpatient cases
•hospitalized patients
•prophylaxis
All blended together.
Different disease stages ≠ same biology ≠ same treatment effect.
Pooling them distorts signal.
Early outpatient cases
•hospitalized patients
•prophylaxis
All blended together.
Different disease stages ≠ same biology ≠ same treatment effect.
Pooling them distorts signal.
BREAKING: Claude can now run your entire social media strategy like a $5,000/month agency.
Most creators haven’t caught on yet.
But the ones who have are scaling fast.
Here are 7 prompts to monetize your account in 30 days:
Most creators haven’t caught on yet.
But the ones who have are scaling fast.
Here are 7 prompts to monetize your account in 30 days:
1 ▸ Full Threads Strategy
"You are a Threads strategist who has grown accounts from zero to millions of followers. Look at my niche, audience, competitors and monetization goal. Build me a complete strategy: what to post, how often, how to position my brand, how to grow fast, and how to turn followers into income. My details: [paste]."
"You are a Threads strategist who has grown accounts from zero to millions of followers. Look at my niche, audience, competitors and monetization goal. Build me a complete strategy: what to post, how often, how to position my brand, how to grow fast, and how to turn followers into income. My details: [paste]."
2 ▸ Audience Breakdown
"You are a Threads growth expert. My niche is [paste]. Tell me exactly what my audience struggles with, what they secretly want and what makes them stop scrolling. Give me 10 content angles based on that. Be specific, not generic."
"You are a Threads growth expert. My niche is [paste]. Tell me exactly what my audience struggles with, what they secretly want and what makes them stop scrolling. Give me 10 content angles based on that. Be specific, not generic."
Viruses and Joint and Tendon Pain
You had a cold two weeks ago. Nothing serious. But now your knee hurts more than it has in months. Your achilles is flaring. Your easy run felt like a half-marathon. You didn't do anything wrong. Here's what's actually happening...
You had a cold two weeks ago. Nothing serious. But now your knee hurts more than it has in months. Your achilles is flaring. Your easy run felt like a half-marathon. You didn't do anything wrong. Here's what's actually happening...
I've been an orthopedic surgeon for nearly 30 years. One of the most consistent patterns I see: patients come in with a flare of their knee, shoulder, or tendon pain — no new injury, no change in activity — and when I ask if they've had a recent illness, the answer is often yes.
In October 2021, I got a virus. Bounced back quickly, or so I thought. Then my resting heart rate shot up, I was short of breath on stairs, and running was out of the question. These legs that have carried me over mountains couldn't jog a mile. I was in the grips of a post-viral syndrome for months.
🔔BREAKING: Claude AI can now plan your retirement like a $400/hr financial planner. For free.
7 prompts that will make sure you never run out of money in your later years:
7 prompts that will make sure you never run out of money in your later years:
1. "Act as a retirement planning coach. I am [age] and have [amount] saved for retirement so far. I plan to retire at [age]. Tell me honestly if I'm on track, how big the gap is if I'm behind, and give me a clear step-by-step catch-up plan that maximizes every year I have left before retirement."
2. "Act as a retirement income coach. I am [X years] from retirement and don't understand how I will actually generate income once I stop working. Explain every retirement income source available to me — Social Security, 401k, IRA, pension, investments — and show me exactly how to structure them to maximize monthly income and minimize taxes."
