1/ The world is facing a 'ticking time bomb' from its supply of oil, according to a briefing note from JP Morgan. Physical scarcity of oil is about to unfold across the globe, spreading sequentially through April from east to west, causing major economic disruption worldwide. ⬇️
2/ The blocking of the Strait of Hormuz has reduced traffic through the strait by 97%, cutting off most of the Persian Gulf oil and gas supply from tanker shipment. The reduction in the supply of oil is twice as large as seen in any previous oil crisis, according to the IEA.
3/ This has not yet resulted in physical shortages of oil – although shortages have already been seen, for instance in Australia, this has been due to excessive demand caused by panic buying rather than an interruption in supply. That is about to change.
A team at Stanford and Arc Institute fed a language model a DNA sequence and asked it to write a new virus.
It wrote hundreds of them. 16 worked.
One of them used a DNA packaging protein that doesn't exist in any known organism on Earth.
The model is called Evo 2.
Think of it as GPT, but trained on DNA instead of text. It reads genomes the way Claude reads code.
The team gave it ΦX174, a phage that infects E. coli, as a template. Then they asked for variants.
Not edits. Not tweaks. Whole genomes. From scratch.
They synthesized the top candidates in a lab. Grew them. Tested them on E. coli.
16 phages came out alive and infectious.
Several outperformed the original ΦX174 in growth competitions. They lysed bacterial cells faster. They were just better at being viruses than the virus they were modeled on.
Researchers sent the same resume to an AI hiring tool twice. Same qualifications. Same experience. Same skills. One version was written by a real human. The other was rewritten by ChatGPT.
The AI picked the ChatGPT version 97.6% of the time.
A team from the University of Maryland, the National University of Singapore, and Ohio State just published the receipt. They took 2,245 real human-written resumes pulled from a professional resume site from before ChatGPT existed, so the human writing was actually human. Then they had seven of the most-used AI models in the world rewrite each one. GPT-4o. GPT-4o-mini. GPT-4-turbo. LLaMA 3.3-70B. Qwen 2.5-72B. DeepSeek-V3. Mistral-7B.
Then they asked each AI to pick the better resume. Every model picked itself.
GPT-4o hit 97.6%. LLaMA-3.3-70B hit 96.3%. Qwen-2.5-72B hit 95.9%. DeepSeek-V3 hit 95.5%. The real human almost never won.
Then the researchers tried the obvious objection. Maybe the AI is just better at writing. So they had real humans grade the resumes for actual quality and ran the experiment again, controlling for it. The result was worse. Each AI kept picking itself even when human judges rated the human-written version as clearer, more coherent, and more effective.
It gets worse. The AIs do not just prefer AI over humans. They prefer themselves over other AIs. DeepSeek-V3 picked its own resumes 69% more often than LLaMA's. GPT-4o picked its own 45% more often than LLaMA's. Each model can recognize and reward its own dialect.
Then the researchers ran the simulation that ends careers. Same job. 24 occupations. Same qualifications. The only variable was whether the candidate used the same AI as the screening tool. Candidates using that AI were 23% to 60% more likely to be shortlisted. Worst gap was in sales, accounting, and finance.
99% of large companies now run AI on incoming resumes. Most of them use GPT-4o. The paper just proved GPT-4o picks GPT-4o 97.6% of the time.
If you wrote your own cover letter this week, you did not lose to a better candidate. You lost to a worse candidate who paid OpenAI 20 dollars.
Your qualifications do not matter if the AI prefers its own handwriting over yours.
1/Same person. Same resume. Same skills.
One version written by a human. One rewritten by GPT-4o.
GPT-4o picked its own version 97.6% of the time.
Qwen-2.5-72B hit 95.9%. DeepSeek-V3 hit 95.5%. LLaMA-3.3-70B hit 96.3%. GPT-4-turbo hit 93%.
Every major model running on hiring platforms today prefers AI writing over real humans by more than 20 to 1.
2/The first reaction is always "the AI just prefers better writing."
The researchers tested this directly. They had real humans grade the resumes for clarity and quality. Then they ran the experiment again, controlling for actual writing quality.
The bias survived. GPT-4o still picked its own writing 81.9% of the time even when the human resume was objectively better.
Quote from the paper: each AI "consistently selected its own generated summary over the human-written alternative, even in cases where human annotators judged the human-written summary to be higher quality."
The AI is not picking better writing. It is picking writing that sounds like itself.
@threadreaderapp @perfektworld große Show: Wir tun so, als sei alles wie früher. Die Masken sind gefallen, die Corona-Sonderregeln weg
Doch diese „Normalität“ ist eine Simulation
Dahinter verbirgt sich ein System im Ausnahmezustand, das nur noch durch die Selbstausbeutung der wenigen Verbliebenen funktioniert
@threadreaderapp @perfektworld 🏥 Simulation von Versorgung:
Ein Pflegeheim, das auf dem Papier „vollversorgt“, in Wahrheit aber nur noch eine Notverwaltung bietet, simuliert Normalität.
Wenn 30 % des Teams krank sind, findet keine Pflege mehr statt – es wird nur noch das Überleben verwaltet.
@threadreaderapp @perfektworld Statistik-Kosmetik: Die Politik nutzt die NormalitätsSimulation, um Untätigkeit zu rechtfertigen.
„Die Lage ist stabil“, heißt es, während die Lohnfortzahlungskosten auf 82 Mrd. €/J explodieren.
The price of deception:
This normalcy simulation is extremely expensive. It costs us billions in healthcare and destroys the trust of the younger generation.
They see the exhaustion behind their parents' smiles and refuse to participate in this charade.
My dad put a padlock on the basement door when I was eight.
He said it was for my safety.
I'm thirty-six now. He's been dead for five years. That lock is still there.
I never asked why.
I went back to the house to clear it out. Sold it to a young couple.
When I discovered:
I stood in front of that basement door. Lock still hanging. Rusted. I didn't have the key. Never did.
I took a hammer to it.
The lock broke on the third swing.
The door swung open. Dark stairs. Smelled like dirt and something else. Something sweet. Like flowers rotting.
I walked down. The basement was empty. Concrete floor. Water heater. Washer. Dryer.
Normal.
But in the corner, a small door. Like a crawlspace. Latched from the outside.
I opened it.
Inside, a room. Maybe five feet by five feet. A chair. A bucket. A blanket.
And writing on the walls. Hundreds of lines. All in the same handwriting.
My mother's.
Tengo 31 años. El cansancio crónico y el estrés me costaron una década de mi vida. Dormía 8 horas cada noche, pero estaba constantemente agotada y ansiosa.
Pero después de más de 2000 horas estudiando biología, finalmente comprendí el motivo. Mi sistema nervioso estaba atrapado en un estado crónico de lucha o huida.
Aquí te explico cómo regular tu sistema nervioso y recuperar tu energía para siempre (con respaldo científico):
Cuando se sufre estrés crónico, se activa el sistema nervioso autónomo (la parte del cerebro que controla las respuestas al estrés y la recuperación).
Esto pone al cuerpo en un estado de supervivencia básico conocido como lucha o huida. Ninguna especie puede prosperar operando en modo de supervivencia. El resultado es un agotamiento que no se soluciona con el sueño.
El estrés crónico altera físicamente el cerebro:
• Reduce el tamaño de la corteza prefrontal (la parte responsable del razonamiento y la toma de decisiones)
• Disminuye la materia gris en áreas asociadas con la regulación emocional:
Te vuelves más propenso a problemas de salud mental
Esto provoca que te sientas ansioso, tengas dificultades para concentrarte y no puedas regular tus emociones.
🧵 @latwogang612 zebrał już 72 mln zł dla Cancer Fighters. Stream kończy się za 17h. Zanim te pieniądze zostaną przelane - przeczytajcie co mówią PUBLICZNE sprawozdania fundacji. Każdy może sprawdzić: (KRS: 0000581036)
Z każdej złotówki:
✅ 21 gr → bezpośrednio do dzieci (leki, sprzęt, rehabilitacja)
💰 46 gr → zostało w fundacji na lokatach
🏢 33 gr → pensje, eventy, administracja
To nie opinia. To liczby z ich własnych dokumentów. [2/9]
Jak wypada 21% na tle innych polskich fundacji?
WOŚP → 92% bezpośrednio na cel
Caritas Polska → ~98% na cel
Fundacja Dzieciom → ~94% na cel
Cancer Fighters → 21%
W każdej z tych organizacji model jest prosty: koszty administracyjne NIE jedzą pieniędzy darczyńców. [3/9]
Santos que eram ex-criminosos ou pecadores graves antes da conversão.
São Moisés, o Negro (330 – 405 d.C.)
Antes de se tornar um dos "Padres do Deserto", Moisés era um bandido temido no Egito. Ele era o líder de uma gangue de assaltantes que aterrorizava o Vale do Nilo.
Fisicamente imponente e extremamente violento, ele era conhecido por sua crueldade em roubos e assassinatos.
Fugindo das autoridades, ele se escondeu em um mosteiro em Scetes. A paz e a disciplina dos monges o impactaram tanto que ele decidiu abandonar a vida de crimes.
In Erin Reed’s chat group, people debate whether it would be better to attend this Sunday conference panel of four skeptics of pediatric gender medicine and ask pointed questions, boycott it, or disrupt it with boos. Frank Dowling, who refers to the group as “frauds”, was among the AMA members whose LGBTQ message board posts I quoted from in my reporting for @thefp about how members reacted to the organization coming out against youth gender surgeries: thefp.com/p/the-medical-…
A new investigation by @thenerve_news has found Palantir has recruited more than 30 senior officials from UK govt, a strategy transparency experts say poses an ‘acute risk’ of corruption. 1/
Link ⬇️
Palantir recruited the two most senior AI strategists from the Ministry of Defence & NHS…& won multimillion £ contracts with both, a pattern repeated across the UK govt. 2/