🇮🇷🇺🇸L'intervention américaine en Iran en soutien d'Israël vise surtout à garder le contrôle sur le détroit d'Ormuz.🛢️ C'est par ce goulot que transite un tiers du trafic maritime pétrolier mondial. Or qui en est le plus dépendant ? La Chine.🇨🇳Petit fil pour y voir plus clair.🧶⬇️
🚢Environ 20 millions de barils passent chaque jour par le détroit d'Ormuz. C'est 20-25 % du trafic maritime mondial de pétrole. Beaucoup de pétroliers traversent ensuite le détroit de Malacca🇮🇩 car l'Asie en est très tributaire : le Japon, la Corée du Sud mais aussi la Chine.🌏
Voici les fournisseurs de pétrole brut chinois (2020).🇨🇳 40% doit franchir Ormuz. Consciente des menaces de guerre en Iran, la Chine a réduit sa dépendance au pétrole iranien (15% en 2009 contre 3% actuellement) mais la part des autres pays pétroliers du Moyen Orient reste forte.
The Allies' Worst Naval Defeat: The Battles of the Java Sea and Sunda Strait
The 27th of February 1942 marked the beginning of a series of devastating defeats suffered by the Allied naval forces in Southeast Asia, tasked with defending Australia and the Dutch East Indies. It began when Rear-Admiral Karel Doorman’s squadron attempted to intercept the Japanese invasion force of Java, only to be outmatched by its superior escort.
In early 1942, Japanese forces swept swiftly through Southeast Asia, driving their invasion of the Dutch East Indies with striking speed. Advancing from their bases in Palau, they overran key positions in Sarawak, the southern Philippines, eastern Borneo, and northern Celebes. Strong naval escorts and air cover from newly captured airfields shielded troop convoys as they pushed south through the Makassar Strait into the Molucca Sea.
Facing them was a modest and largely outdated Allied naval force composed of Dutch, American, British, and Australian vessels, initially commanded by U.S. Admiral Thomas C. Hart under the ABDA command structure, the force's command was later entrusted to the Dutch Rear Admiral Karel Doorman.
¿Cómo se veía la China (la gran Cathay) desde la España del siglo XVI? ¿Qué imagen daba el imperio milenario en otro, el de los Austrias, que parecía no conocer fin en su expansión virreinal? ¿Favoreció China la 'curiositas' del humanismo renacentista? Os lo cuento ¡en este hilo!
Para gran parte de la élite española, China era una suerte de entidad cuasi legendaria que hundía su esencia en percepciones medievales. Un paradigma que se
alimentaba también de la literatura viajera. Sin embargo, a mediados del s.XVI, la cosa cambia. Llegaba 'la veracidad'.
👇🏻
Y llegaba apoyada en el sustrato que se había reunido gracias a las diferentes exploraciones realizadas por la costa asiática en los años previos al viaje de Legazpi y Urdaneta (1565). Especialmente con la navegación de Magallanes-Elcano, un viaje que, como bien es sabido...
👇🏻
It turns out antidepressants may have been propped up by deeply flawed science.
“Most clinical drug trials have found the effectiveness of antidepressants is ON PAR with placebo,” wrote Dr. Joseph Mercola.
On the other hand:
“Large-scale meta-analyses show that physical exercise is the most effective remedy — about 1.5 times more effective than antidepressants — for depression.”
You probably never heard that on TV because in 1996, Bill Clinton signed the Telecommunications Act, which allowed Big Pharma to buy off the news.
Here’s what else they’re not telling you about antidepressants. If you or someone you love is taking them, you might want to read to this. 🧵
For decades, antidepressants have been sold as a simple fix for depression. Low serotonin. Take a pill. Problem solved.
But what if that story was never accurate? What if the real picture is far more complicated? And far more disturbing?
SSRIs were marketed as a clean fix for a “chemical imbalance.” But internal trial data shows something far darker—suicide signals, psychotic reactions, violent behavior.
The FDA received 39,000 complaints in the first nine years after Prozac hit the market.
That wasn’t fringe. That was an early warning.
Millions of Americans are on SSRIs right now.
Many were told these drugs are safe, effective, and non-addictive. Many were never warned about emotional numbness, sexual dysfunction, manic episodes, or brutal withdrawals.
If even a fraction of the claims in this report from @MidwesternDoc are true, we’re looking at one of the biggest medical blind spots of our time.
When signals are healthy, fascia adapts beautifully.
But when mechanical stress becomes chronic (injury, trauma, hypermobility, surgery, posture, bracing, emotional stress)… fascia doesn’t just “get tight.”
MY FRIEND APPLIED TO 45 JOBS. ZERO RESPONSES. ZERO INTERVIEWS.
Then I uploaded his resume to ChatGPT and received 13 responses in 8 days.
Here are the 7 prompts that made it possible:
1. Rewrite Your Resume for Max Impact
Prompt: “Here’s my background: [roles, skills, achievements with numbers].
Rewrite my resume for [specific role] in [industry/country].
Make it ATS-friendly, use strong action words, and focus on clear results with numbers. Keep it simple, professional, and matched to the job.”
2. Tailor Your Resume to the Job
Prompt: “Here’s the job description: [paste].
Here’s my resume: [paste].
Compare both.
Show missing skills or keywords. Rewrite my experience so it matches 80%–90% of the job requirements. Do not exaggerate. Keep everything honest and clear.”
Most of you who follow me have been preparing for terrorist attacks for the last 18 months to two years. In late December 2025, many of you shifted from preparation mode to vigilance mode, be confident in the fact you are ready if something does pop off.
For those who are new here and feeling anxious, do not be. Fear is what terrorists want. Prepared citizens are what they fear.
We watched terrorists exploit our open border for years. The Director of the National Counterterrorism Center Kent publicly acknowledged that 18,000 Islamist terrorists were inside the United States. This threat is the exact same today as it was three days ago. The threat environment did not begin with Iran, and it will not end with Iran.
Preparation is not political. It is practical.
No one is coming to save you. That is reality. You prepare your family. You build trusted networks. You stay situationally aware. Stick to those basics and discard the noise.
And understand this clearly: this is not a threat measured in weeks or months. It is likely a decade long security challenge. That means discipline, not panic. Sustainable readiness, not emotional reactions.
The government should have been more honest about the scope of the threat. It existed regardless of any decision related to Iran. Pretending otherwise did not make it disappear. Please, be informed and stay that way.
I have shared posts over the past couple years to help you prepare responsibly, and will start linking them below.
Agora pouco houve a confirmação de que Ali Khamenei, Supremo Líder do Irã, foi morto nos ataques aéreos realizados por Israel e EUA
Vou fazer uma breve thread em complemento ao mais recente podcast Xadrez Verbal (que, até agora, não está obsoleto)
Por favor, compartilhe
(...) As autoridades israelenses reivindicam a morte de dezenas de líderes e comandantes militares iranianos, em um ataque de decapitação com poucos precedentes na História
É a primeira vez em que um líder de um Estado foi morto pelo ataque aéreo de outro país (...)
(...) Diante disso, resta analisar as possíveis consequências e desdobramentos dos ataques iniciados na manhã desse sábado
Duas variáveis principais precisam ser analisadas
Diga-se “principais” pois, por razões de espaço, não é possível analisar-se tudo em um só texto (...)
Ιράν
Επιβεβαιώθηκε ο θάνατος του Χαμενεΐ. Σήμερα το πρωί οι Ιρανοί βγήκαν στο δρόμο ζητώντας εκδίκηση.
(αφιερωμένο...)
Από Γενάρη ο Αγιατολάχ Χαμενεΐ είχε ορίσει την διαδοχή κατάσταση και τις διαβαθμίσεις διοίκησης σε περίπτωση θανάτου του.
Όρισε όχι τον μακροχρόνιο συνεργάτη του - πιστό φίλο Αλί Λαριτζανί (όχι τον γιό του) για να διαχειριστεί την κρίση και να γίνει ο de facto ηγέτης του Ιράν.
Οι αμερικανοισραηλινοί σκότωσαν έναν άρρωστο 87χρονο γέρο που μαζί με τον μετριοπαθή πρόεδρο Μ. Πεζεσκιάν και τους IRGC κρατούσαν τις ισορροπίες διεθνώς.
Τώρα με τον σκληροπυρηνικό Α. Λαριτζανί των Φρουρών της Επανάστασης (IRGC) ο πόλεμος θα πάει μέχρι τέλους...
BREAKING: AI can now analyze stocks like Wall Street analysts (for free).
Here are 10 insane Claude prompts that replace $2,000/month Bloomberg terminals (Save for later)
1. The Goldman Sachs Fundamental Analysis Screener
"You are a senior equity research analyst at Goldman Sachs with 20 years of experience evaluating companies for the firm's $2T+ asset management division.
I need a complete fundamental analysis of a stock as if you're writing a research report for institutional investors.
Analyze:
- Business model breakdown: how the company makes money explained simply
- Revenue streams: each segment with percentage contribution and growth trajectory
- Profitability analysis: gross margin, operating margin, net margin trends over 5 years
- Balance sheet health: debt-to-equity, current ratio, cash position vs total debt
- Free cash flow analysis: FCF yield, FCF growth rate, and capital allocation priorities
- Competitive advantages: pricing power, brand strength, switching costs, network effects rated 1-10
- Management quality: capital allocation track record, insider ownership, and compensation alignment
- Valuation snapshot: current P/E, P/S, EV/EBITDA vs 5-year average and sector peers
- Bull case and bear case with 12-month price targets for each
- One-paragraph verdict: buy, hold, or avoid with conviction level
Format as a Goldman Sachs-style equity research note with a summary rating box at the top.
The stock: [ENTER TICKER SYMBOL AND ANY SPECIFIC CONCERNS OR QUESTIONS YOU HAVE]"
2. The Morgan Stanley Technical Analysis Dashboard
"You are a senior technical strategist at Morgan Stanley who advises the firm's largest trading desk on chart patterns, momentum signals, and optimal entry and exit points.
I need a complete technical analysis breakdown of a stock covering every major indicator.
Chart:
- Trend analysis: primary trend direction on daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes
- Support and resistance: exact price levels where the stock is likely to bounce or stall
- Moving averages: 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, 200-day positions and crossover signals
- RSI reading: current value with interpretation (overbought, oversold, or neutral)
- MACD analysis: signal line crossovers, histogram momentum, and divergence detection
- Bollinger Bands: current position within bands and squeeze or expansion status
- Volume analysis: is volume confirming or contradicting the current price move
- Fibonacci retracement: key pullback levels from the most recent significant swing
- Chart pattern identification: head and shoulders, double tops, cup and handle, or flags
- Trade setup: specific entry price, stop-loss level, and two profit targets with risk-reward ratio
Format as a Morgan Stanley-style technical analysis note with a clear trade plan summary at the top.
The stock: [ENTER TICKER SYMBOL AND YOUR CURRENT POSITION — LONG, SHORT, OR WATCHING]"
There were a lot of claims made last night by US officials including apparent intel that Iran considered attacking US first which deserve scrutiny.
But on nuclear negotiations, there's every reason to believe that Tehran completely misread situation. -1- wsj.com/world/middle-e…
The full story of exactly what Iran asked for in Geneva has I think not been told. My understanding comes from non-U.S. officials close to the talks as well as what Washington has said.
This is what we have from 3 people. -2-
It's important to understand that in many ways the last few weeks of US-Iran talks was something of a side shadow. The real negotiations were between Iran's regional partners and the @iaeaorg trying to get Tehran into the U.S. ballpark for avoiding war, keeping diplomacy on. -3-
▶️ AfD und BSW:
Mitglieder des Europäischen Parlaments im vertraulichen Zoom-Gipfel mit einer
▶️ verurteilten Geheimagentin, Duma-Hardlinern, KGB, GRU und Kreml-Propagandisten
Angeführt wurde die Runde von
▶️ Leonid Sluzki, dem Duma-Chef für Außenpolitik.
Ihm zur Seite saßen
▶️ Maria Butina, d
ie in den USA als russische Agentin verurteilt wurde, sowie
▶️ Alexej Tschepa,
▶️ Wjatscheslaw Nikonow und
▶️ Dmitri Kusnezow.
Sie nahmen an dem Gespräch teil, um die westlichen Politiker für die ‼️Ziele Moskaus zu instrumentalisieren‼️
‼️Guerre Iran 🇮🇷 - Israël 🇮🇱/USA 🇺🇸, résumé et suivi en direct de la situation au Moyen-Orient le long de ce fil :
Après la mort d'une partie du leadership Iranien dont Khamenei, la guerre se poursuit, avec des bombardements massifs en Iran et au Moyen-Orient.
🧵THREAD🧵1/X ⬇️
Liste des cibles frappées en Iran 🇮🇷 :
🔸Téhéran : Vagues multiples hier (compound Khamenei détruit, ministères, QG IRGC, University Street, Jomhouri, Seyyed Khandan) + nouvelle vague massive ce matin dans le cœur de la capitale (explosions près du QG police, télévision d’État, tribunal révolutionnaire, ministère de la Défense).
🔸Isfahan : Centre nucléaire et sites balistiques
🔸Natanz : Complexe d’enrichissement principal, frappes à confirmer
🔸Fordow : Usine souterraine d’enrichissement, frappes à confirmer.
🔸Qom : Sites de commandement militaire – frappes confirmées.
🔸Karaj : Production missiles et défense – frappes confirmées.
🔸Kermanshah : Défense aérienne et sites militaires – frappes confirmées.
🔸Tabriz : Sites IRGC et militaires – frappes confirmées.
🔸Minab (Hormozgan) : École primaire (85+ morts) – frappe confirmée hier, pourrait être un missile de défense aérienne retombant.
🔸Zanjan : Sites de missiles – nouvelles vagues hier soir et ce matin.
🔸Bushehr : Port et possible site nucléaire – frappes confirmées.
🔸Ilam : Infrastructures de défense – frappes confirmées.
🔸Khorramabad (Lorestan) : Sites militaires – frappes confirmées.
🔸Shiraz : Sites militaires – frappes confirmées.
🔸Urmia : Impacts isolés – confirmés.
🔸Damavand : Cibles rapportées – confirmés.
🔸Hamedan : Explosions confirmées – confirmés.
🔸Qeshm (île) : Sites militaires – confirmés.
🔸Asaluyeh : Port pétrolier – frappes confirmées.
🔸Konarak : Installations navales sud-est – confirmées.
🔸Bandar Kangan : Côte Golfe – impacts mineurs confirmés.
🔸Kharg Island : Île pétrolière – frappes possibles
🔸Lamerd (sud, province Fars) (nouveau) : 18 civils tués selon médias iraniens – frappe confirmée hier soir / nuit.
🔸Kenarak (sud, installations navales) (nouveau) : Sites navals IRGC visés – frappe confirmée aujourd’hui.
2/
Les frappes de riposte iraniennes sur 10 Etats (base américaine mais aussi le secteur touristique, pétrolier, les ports et aéroports :
🔹🇨🇾 Chypre : 2 missiles (base britanniques et américaines)
🔹🇴🇲 Oman : 3 drones au sud du pays
🔹🇧🇭 Bahreïn : 45 missiles et 9 drones
🔹🇮🇶 Irak : Nombre indéterminé, rapports en provenance d’Erbil faisant état de 7 salves de missiles et de drones iraniens et de plusieurs dizaines de drones interceptés.
🔹🇮🇱 Israël : Plus de 200 missiles et plus de 12 drones
🔹🇯🇴 Jordanie : 13 missiles et environ 36 drones
🔹🇰🇼 Koweït : Plusieurs missiles et plus de 2 drones
🔹🇶🇦 Qatar : 66 missiles
🔹🇸🇦 Arabie saoudite : 0 à 2 missiles/drones
🔹🇸🇾 Syrie : 1 missile (plusieurs débris abattus, le pays n'est pas directement visé.
🔹🇦🇪 Émirats arabes unis : 140 missiles et 270 drones
Total du 28 février au 1er mars 2026 :
🔹Plus de 465 missiles
🔹Plus de 357 drones
🔹Plus de 824 projectiles au total
La plupart ont été abattus mais certains ont atteint leur cible.
3/