Recent well liked threads
🚨Please Stop Trying to Murder Trump
Political Assassination Is the Road to Civil War
One unstable individual commits an act of political violence, and suddenly an entire political coalition gets recast as an existential enemy in the minds of millions of angry people. And once people become convinced their families, their country, their way of life, or their movement is under attack, violence stops feeling offensive to them and starts feeling defensive. Necessary. Patriotic, even.
That is the road to political bloodshed.
Political Assassination Is the Road to Civil War
One unstable individual commits an act of political violence, and suddenly an entire political coalition gets recast as an existential enemy in the minds of millions of angry people. And once people become convinced their families, their country, their way of life, or their movement is under attack, violence stops feeling offensive to them and starts feeling defensive. Necessary. Patriotic, even.
That is the road to political bloodshed.
I need you to understand something very clearly:
The assassination of Donald Trump would be one of the worst possible things that could happen to the United States of America right now.
And I don’t mean morally. I mean strategically, politically, socially, historically. I mean, as someone who studies authoritarianism, democratic collapse, political violence, and mass behavior for a living, the idea of Trump being assassinated is absolutely terrifying—not because Trump himself is good for democracy, he is a threat! Trump has purged democratic institutions, legitimized conspiracy theories, radicalized distrust, and pushed the boundaries of authoritarian politics in ways America has never experienced in the modern era.
The assassination of Donald Trump would be one of the worst possible things that could happen to the United States of America right now.
And I don’t mean morally. I mean strategically, politically, socially, historically. I mean, as someone who studies authoritarianism, democratic collapse, political violence, and mass behavior for a living, the idea of Trump being assassinated is absolutely terrifying—not because Trump himself is good for democracy, he is a threat! Trump has purged democratic institutions, legitimized conspiracy theories, radicalized distrust, and pushed the boundaries of authoritarian politics in ways America has never experienced in the modern era.
But there is something much more dangerous than an authoritarian movement slowly losing public support and that is an authoritarian movement transformed into a martyr cult. And I really do not think enough Americans understand what would happen if Trump were successfully assassinated.
We are already got a preview of it.
The man accused of murdering Charlie Kirk left behind evidence that made his political motivations crystal clear. And the same is true with this latest suspect. The motives were there. I’m going to include his writing because I’m already watching people pretend this is somehow ambiguous when it really isn’t.
We are already got a preview of it.
The man accused of murdering Charlie Kirk left behind evidence that made his political motivations crystal clear. And the same is true with this latest suspect. The motives were there. I’m going to include his writing because I’m already watching people pretend this is somehow ambiguous when it really isn’t.
JOB INTERVIEW:
"Can you explain this 8-month gap in your resume?"
Most candidates say:
"I took some time off to recharge, travel, and figure out my next career steps."
THE WINNING ANSWER:
"Can you explain this 8-month gap in your resume?"
Most candidates say:
"I took some time off to recharge, travel, and figure out my next career steps."
THE WINNING ANSWER:
"I stepped away from rigid corporate structures to build my own automated systems. I spent the last 8 months architecting massive leverage instead of sitting in middle-management meetings."
Stop apologizing for reclaiming your time. Start negotiating a partnership. Here are 18 rules to bypass corporate conditioning, build actual leverage, and direct your own reality: ↓↓
Stop apologizing for reclaiming your time. Start negotiating a partnership. Here are 18 rules to bypass corporate conditioning, build actual leverage, and direct your own reality: ↓↓
1. The "Passion" Trap
Situation: You spend hours researching the founders so you can pretend you have dreamed of working for a mid-tier B2B SaaS company since childhood. You think showing blind enthusiasm makes you a safe bet for HR.
System: Drop the act entirely. State exactly what technical problem you solve, the automated leverage you bring, and what capital you expect in return. Treat the interview like a high-stakes vendor negotiation.
Why it works: Executives at the highest level do not respect sycophancy. They respect leverage. When you stop acting like a fan, you start acting like an equal.
Situation: You spend hours researching the founders so you can pretend you have dreamed of working for a mid-tier B2B SaaS company since childhood. You think showing blind enthusiasm makes you a safe bet for HR.
System: Drop the act entirely. State exactly what technical problem you solve, the automated leverage you bring, and what capital you expect in return. Treat the interview like a high-stakes vendor negotiation.
Why it works: Executives at the highest level do not respect sycophancy. They respect leverage. When you stop acting like a fan, you start acting like an equal.
Um fio sobre a cobertura de parte da imprensa no caso Flamengo x Libra. Um registro importante para a história do jornalismo: de como a parcialidade atrapalha uma cobertura e como se criam narrativas com desinformação. 👇
Tudo começa no dia 24/09/25, quando @venecasagrande notícia o bloqueio da verba após o Flamengo entrar na justiça e conseguir uma liminar. +
No dia 28/09, PVC publica sua famosa coluna em que afirma, sem provas, uma parcialidade do TJRJ a favor de dirigentes. No texto, ele fala que o Flamengo havia assinado concordando com os critérios de distribuição de audiência. E começou o pedido do público: cadê a assinatura? +
I don't think Covid infections cause hantavirus infections, obviously. Who would?
But guess what:
Once you've had Covid, you're going to be more vulnerable to hantavirus, and then possibly increasingly with each extra infection.
Why?
Let me explain:
But guess what:
Once you've had Covid, you're going to be more vulnerable to hantavirus, and then possibly increasingly with each extra infection.
Why?
Let me explain:
Andes hantavirus is not really a 'disease of the lungs' disease in the simple sense people imagine. A huge part of the danger comes from what happens to the lining of the blood vessels, especially in the lungs.
The blood vessels become leaky, fluid ends up where it should not be, oxygen exchange starts failing.
Platelets get consumed.
Blood pressure collapses.
It is, basically, a vascular and immune regulation problem.
Sound familiar?
Platelets get consumed.
Blood pressure collapses.
It is, basically, a vascular and immune regulation problem.
Sound familiar?
Iran’s Ballistic Missile force in light of Operation "Epic Fury/Roaring Lion" - a mega Thread 🧵
The “Epic Fury/Roaring Lion” operation, which began on February 28, resulted in numerous achievements in the campaign against Iran. These included damage to the Iranian economy through strikes on petrochemical facilities and steel production factories, as well as the degradation of air defense and command-and-control capabilities. The achievements include two of the central objectives of the operation: pushing the Iranian nuclear program back by several years and heavily damage the ballistic missile program.
This review will focus on the damage to the ballistic missile array during the period between February 28 and April 8 (when the ceasefire came into effect).
The Iranian missile program consists of manufacturing facilities and deployed missile units.
The production array is managed primarily by the Ministry of Defense (MODAFL), and to a lesser extent by the IRGC. It is distributed across several military-industrial complexes in Khojir, Parchin, Shahroud, and others. The production process includes facilities responsible for the production of explosive material, warheads, the cylindrical missile body, engines, engine fuel (liquid or solid), and finally an assembly plant where all components are integrated.
The operational component is operated exclusively by the IRGC Aerospace Force and comprises regional command headquarters, secondary bases, brigade-level bases, and adapted facilities across Iran. Each base primarily serves for the storage of missiles and mobile launchers, along with supporting components such as command units, fueling systems, and fixed launchers. Given the strategic nature of these weapons, most bases incorporate underground infrastructure designed to store missiles and launchers and protect them from aerial strikes. In addition, many bases include dedicated facilities for fueling and testing missiles prior to deployment. Once deployed, launchers may be positioned in open areas within bases, in open terrain, or concealed within adapted structures throughout the country.
The IDF Spokesperson published a summary of the operation on April 17, stating that the strikes rendered approximately 60% (several hundred) of ballistic missile launchers inoperable. The strikes also included bombing of infrastructure belonging to the operational units deployed across Iran, with Israel focusing on bases in the center and west of the country, and the United States focusing on bases in the south aimed at the Gulf states. The bombings were carried out, among other means, using American strategic bombers that dropped large quantities of munitions on underground infrastructure.
The strikes led to a reduction in the volume of fire toward Israel and toward Gulf states throughout the operation. The reduction in the volume of fire continued until mid-March, and afterward the Iranians began increasing the rate of fire, in parallel with the restoration of command-and-control systems that had been significantly damaged in the opening strike of the operation.
n addition, many missile production lines within military industrial complexes were damaged, and the “Epic Fury/Roaring Lion” operation has created a situation in which the IRGC Aerospace Force is not expected to receive new missiles for at least the coming year.
Below, I'll review of the extent of the damage in facilities and bases across Iran, including Sentinel-2 satellite documentation:
The “Epic Fury/Roaring Lion” operation, which began on February 28, resulted in numerous achievements in the campaign against Iran. These included damage to the Iranian economy through strikes on petrochemical facilities and steel production factories, as well as the degradation of air defense and command-and-control capabilities. The achievements include two of the central objectives of the operation: pushing the Iranian nuclear program back by several years and heavily damage the ballistic missile program.
This review will focus on the damage to the ballistic missile array during the period between February 28 and April 8 (when the ceasefire came into effect).
The Iranian missile program consists of manufacturing facilities and deployed missile units.
The production array is managed primarily by the Ministry of Defense (MODAFL), and to a lesser extent by the IRGC. It is distributed across several military-industrial complexes in Khojir, Parchin, Shahroud, and others. The production process includes facilities responsible for the production of explosive material, warheads, the cylindrical missile body, engines, engine fuel (liquid or solid), and finally an assembly plant where all components are integrated.
The operational component is operated exclusively by the IRGC Aerospace Force and comprises regional command headquarters, secondary bases, brigade-level bases, and adapted facilities across Iran. Each base primarily serves for the storage of missiles and mobile launchers, along with supporting components such as command units, fueling systems, and fixed launchers. Given the strategic nature of these weapons, most bases incorporate underground infrastructure designed to store missiles and launchers and protect them from aerial strikes. In addition, many bases include dedicated facilities for fueling and testing missiles prior to deployment. Once deployed, launchers may be positioned in open areas within bases, in open terrain, or concealed within adapted structures throughout the country.
The IDF Spokesperson published a summary of the operation on April 17, stating that the strikes rendered approximately 60% (several hundred) of ballistic missile launchers inoperable. The strikes also included bombing of infrastructure belonging to the operational units deployed across Iran, with Israel focusing on bases in the center and west of the country, and the United States focusing on bases in the south aimed at the Gulf states. The bombings were carried out, among other means, using American strategic bombers that dropped large quantities of munitions on underground infrastructure.
The strikes led to a reduction in the volume of fire toward Israel and toward Gulf states throughout the operation. The reduction in the volume of fire continued until mid-March, and afterward the Iranians began increasing the rate of fire, in parallel with the restoration of command-and-control systems that had been significantly damaged in the opening strike of the operation.
n addition, many missile production lines within military industrial complexes were damaged, and the “Epic Fury/Roaring Lion” operation has created a situation in which the IRGC Aerospace Force is not expected to receive new missiles for at least the coming year.
Below, I'll review of the extent of the damage in facilities and bases across Iran, including Sentinel-2 satellite documentation:
First we'll start with the operational unit bases:
1. Tabriz North Missile Base
One of the largest missile bases in Iran. Its location in northwestern Iran constituted a significant threat due to its relative proximity to Israel. Accordingly, it was one of the first targets struck during the war.
At the base, two fortified tunnel complexes were excavated for storing launchers and missiles.
Surface infrastructure sustained heavy damage during the “Rising Lion” operation (June 2025), followed by partial Iranian restoration efforts.
As of today, most of the base’s infrastructure has been struck including administrative structures, storage buildings, and collapsed tunnel entrances.
1. Tabriz North Missile Base
One of the largest missile bases in Iran. Its location in northwestern Iran constituted a significant threat due to its relative proximity to Israel. Accordingly, it was one of the first targets struck during the war.
At the base, two fortified tunnel complexes were excavated for storing launchers and missiles.
Surface infrastructure sustained heavy damage during the “Rising Lion” operation (June 2025), followed by partial Iranian restoration efforts.
As of today, most of the base’s infrastructure has been struck including administrative structures, storage buildings, and collapsed tunnel entrances.
2. Tabriz South Missile Base
The central missile checkout structure was destroyed already during opersation “Rising Lion”. In addition, the base includes a storage tunnel and two fixed silo launchers.
All surface infrastructure was struck, and the tunnel entrances were collapsed.
The central missile checkout structure was destroyed already during opersation “Rising Lion”. In addition, the base includes a storage tunnel and two fixed silo launchers.
All surface infrastructure was struck, and the tunnel entrances were collapsed.
Nunca contei essa história aqui. Na transição de governo (nov-dez de 2022) estudamos o Projeto de Lei Orçamentária que Bolsonaro enviou para 2023 na área da educação. Esse documento é a prova assinada de qual projeto o bolsonarismo reserva para educação. Vou explicar no fio 🧶👇
A PLOA de Bolsonaro configurava um cenário de colapso operacional do sistema educacional federal. Previa apenas alocações simbólicas para os principais programas. Sem a intervenção da PEC da Transição, a execução de programas vitais seria impossível. Veja alguns exemplos 👇
Para alimentação escolar a PLOA mantinha valor congelado há 6 anos, Bolsonaro ainda vetou a proposta de reajuste da merenda da LDO (economia.uol.com.br/noticias/estad…). Municípios seriam incapazes de manter cardápios nutricionais mínimos, mas nós ampliamos em R$ 1,5 bilhão o PNAE com PEC da Transição. O presidente @LulaOficial já reajustou em 55% a alimentação nesse seu mandato. +
We developed a unified theory of generalization in deep learning. It explains grokking, double descent, benign overfitting, and implicit bias.
But theory is only half the story. It turns out that optimizing the population risk of any neural network amounts to a small change to your optimizer. 🧵
But theory is only half the story. It turns out that optimizing the population risk of any neural network amounts to a small change to your optimizer. 🧵
Why do massive networks generalize on real data instead of just memorizing noise?
As a model trains, its output space dynamically splits. High mobility directions capture the coherent signal. The vast remaining dimensions form a reservoir that safely traps residual noise so it cannot hurt test predictions.
As a model trains, its output space dynamically splits. High mobility directions capture the coherent signal. The vast remaining dimensions form a reservoir that safely traps residual noise so it cannot hurt test predictions.
This theory elegantly explains the classic mysteries of deep learning.
Take grokking for example. Our theory shows grokking is simply the signal from the test-invisible reservoir migrating into the test-visible signal channel.
Take grokking for example. Our theory shows grokking is simply the signal from the test-invisible reservoir migrating into the test-visible signal channel.
Pale PPP tumefinya wakadelete
Engineering cannot be rushed. Design , costing and value engineering will have to take a year especially for a PPP project where the contractor bears a lot of risk.
We wait for financial close
Engineering cannot be rushed. Design , costing and value engineering will have to take a year especially for a PPP project where the contractor bears a lot of risk.
We wait for financial close
My buddy @K2grind will have a field day with @Adenya_E
@kinjeketile
@kinjeketile
@K2grind @Adenya_E @kinjeketile My buddy @TangoFox_ and I just reviewed Kenha disclosure and there seems to be many unclosed matters
We have reservations regarding Engineer Seda’s assertion that implementation is strictly following 'approved sectional detailed designs.'
We have reservations regarding Engineer Seda’s assertion that implementation is strictly following 'approved sectional detailed designs.'
1/ Moscow is being disrupted badly by a widespread shutdown of the Internet ahead of the May 9 Victory parade. A scathing Russian commentary complains that it is costing the economy trillions of rubles, sacrificing economic health for illusory security. ⬇️
2/ Russia's increasingly draconian Internet shutdowns have come as a huge shock to a country which had come to rely heavily on online services. Although the Russian government has whitelisted certain websites and services, the latest shutdown seems to have broken that, too.
3/ 'Political Report' complains:
"Russian citizens today experienced the full impact of the government's "concern" for their own security: authorities shut down mobile communications in most regions of the country,…
"Russian citizens today experienced the full impact of the government's "concern" for their own security: authorities shut down mobile communications in most regions of the country,…
🚨APRIL?!?!!🚨
1⃣ Patient 0 zeigte Symptome am 6.4., starb am 11.04.
2⃣ Seine Frau ging am 24.04. mit seiner Leiche von Bord, zeigte da Symptome, flog am 25.04. nach Johannesburg, verstarb dort am 26.04.
3⃣ Das dänische Paar bereiste VORHER Südafrika, ua. auch Argentinien, ➡️
1⃣ Patient 0 zeigte Symptome am 6.4., starb am 11.04.
2⃣ Seine Frau ging am 24.04. mit seiner Leiche von Bord, zeigte da Symptome, flog am 25.04. nach Johannesburg, verstarb dort am 26.04.
3⃣ Das dänische Paar bereiste VORHER Südafrika, ua. auch Argentinien, ➡️
die "Heimat" des Andes-Virus.
4⃣ Patient 3 an Bord des Schiffes zeigte am 24.04. Symptome, wurde am 27.04. in eine südafrikanische Intensivstation verfrachtet.
5⃣ Patientin 4 an Bord des Schiffes zeigte am 28.04. Symptome, starb am 02.05.
6⃣ Bis dato zeigen aktuell auf dem ➡️
4⃣ Patient 3 an Bord des Schiffes zeigte am 24.04. Symptome, wurde am 27.04. in eine südafrikanische Intensivstation verfrachtet.
5⃣ Patientin 4 an Bord des Schiffes zeigte am 28.04. Symptome, starb am 02.05.
6⃣ Bis dato zeigen aktuell auf dem ➡️
Schiff 3 weitere Menschen Symptome.
Ich habe FRAGEN ...
🔴 Wie lange war das Paar bereits auf dem Schiff?
🔴 Wie lange könnte die mögliche Inkubationszeit sein?
Laut div Angaben "locker" 2 bis 4 Wochen.
🔴 Die Frau, Patientin 1 bzw. 2, zeigte erst ca. 19 Tage (!) nach ihrem ➡️
Ich habe FRAGEN ...
🔴 Wie lange war das Paar bereits auf dem Schiff?
🔴 Wie lange könnte die mögliche Inkubationszeit sein?
Laut div Angaben "locker" 2 bis 4 Wochen.
🔴 Die Frau, Patientin 1 bzw. 2, zeigte erst ca. 19 Tage (!) nach ihrem ➡️
Teoria: Faltam 23 dias para encontrarmos o One Piece!
Joyboy pensou em tudo! A sua promessa era um grande plano para DESTRUIR O MUNDO!
E ESTAVA NA NOSSA CARA O TEMPO INTEIRO!
Ele simplesmente escreveu uma música sobre..
O ANIVERSÁRIO DO LUFFY!
#onepiece #luffy #TheOnePiece #ルフィ誕生祭2026 #happyBirthdayLuffy
Joyboy pensou em tudo! A sua promessa era um grande plano para DESTRUIR O MUNDO!
E ESTAVA NA NOSSA CARA O TEMPO INTEIRO!
Ele simplesmente escreveu uma música sobre..
O ANIVERSÁRIO DO LUFFY!
#onepiece #luffy #TheOnePiece #ルフィ誕生祭2026 #happyBirthdayLuffy
Fala, galera! Essa teoria é uma evolução de outra teoria minha, mas com MUITO mais coisa.
Ela é meu presente de aniversário para nosso querido Luffy!
Vou revelar:
- O que é o amanhecer
- Pra que serve Noah
- O que é Uranus
- Qual é a promessa de Joyboy
- Qual é a promessa de Davy Jones
- O significado da música saquê de Bink
- Como conseguiram prever o amanhecer
- O dia que o Luffy encontrará o One Piece
- Como o mundo vai ser destruído!
É uma leitura longa mas eu prometo que vou EXPLODIR A SUA MENTE!
Vamos começar!
Ela é meu presente de aniversário para nosso querido Luffy!
Vou revelar:
- O que é o amanhecer
- Pra que serve Noah
- O que é Uranus
- Qual é a promessa de Joyboy
- Qual é a promessa de Davy Jones
- O significado da música saquê de Bink
- Como conseguiram prever o amanhecer
- O dia que o Luffy encontrará o One Piece
- Como o mundo vai ser destruído!
É uma leitura longa mas eu prometo que vou EXPLODIR A SUA MENTE!
Vamos começar!
Ao longo da obra, somos apresentados ao conceito do "Amanhecer".
Embora essa palavra tenha várias camadas, o que sabemos de concreto é simples:
Luffy vai cumprir o que Joyboy não conseguiu, e isso vai acontecer em um determinado "dia" que foi previsto desde o século perdido.
Além disso, também temos uma pista do que precisa acontecer para esse dia chegar:
O Luffy achar o One Piece.
Barba Branca deixa claro que quando a tal pessoa aparecer e encontrar o One Piece, o amanhecer chegará para o mundo.
Embora essa palavra tenha várias camadas, o que sabemos de concreto é simples:
Luffy vai cumprir o que Joyboy não conseguiu, e isso vai acontecer em um determinado "dia" que foi previsto desde o século perdido.
Além disso, também temos uma pista do que precisa acontecer para esse dia chegar:
O Luffy achar o One Piece.
Barba Branca deixa claro que quando a tal pessoa aparecer e encontrar o One Piece, o amanhecer chegará para o mundo.
The reduction in murder deaths -IS NOT- due to law enforcement, or reductions in underlying rates of violence.
It is due to the fact that medical care has improved such that the same gunshot wound inflicted in 2015 is 1/3 as lethal as 1960.
Murder rate🧵
1/
It is due to the fact that medical care has improved such that the same gunshot wound inflicted in 2015 is 1/3 as lethal as 1960.
Murder rate🧵
1/
Homicide statistics since the early 1960s are not comparable to earlier periods because medical advances have turned many fatal injuries into survivable ones.
See the CDC report below⬇️
2/
See the CDC report below⬇️
2/
There are four major medical trauma care changes since 1960 reducing murder rates:
1. Trauma centers established ~1961.
2. Standardized trauma procedures ~1978.
3. Adoption of military (Korea/Vietnam) emergency treatment, air transport, and improved triage ~1986.
3/
1. Trauma centers established ~1961.
2. Standardized trauma procedures ~1978.
3. Adoption of military (Korea/Vietnam) emergency treatment, air transport, and improved triage ~1986.
3/
This Time Last Term⏮️
May 5th 2022🗓️
We found out Biden was using the South Court Auditorium of the Eisenhower Executive Office Building across from the White House because the Oval Office couldn’t have a teleprompter installed
May 5th 2022🗓️
We found out Biden was using the South Court Auditorium of the Eisenhower Executive Office Building across from the White House because the Oval Office couldn’t have a teleprompter installed
Throughout the entirety of his “presidency” he was known to stumble over his words even while reading from a teleprompter
The report from his aides said ⤵️
“Biden’s team prefers the fake WH. stage built in the Old Exec Office Building next door for events, sacrificing some of the power of the historic backdrop in favor of an otherwise sterile room that was outfitted with an easily read teleprompter screen”
“Biden’s team prefers the fake WH. stage built in the Old Exec Office Building next door for events, sacrificing some of the power of the historic backdrop in favor of an otherwise sterile room that was outfitted with an easily read teleprompter screen”
@TrentTelenko @grok Once again, Trent, when you stray from your area of expertise you generate smoke and misunderstanding rather than insight. There is a lot more than improved trauma response going on in the drop in murder rates, though to be sure trauma care does play a role. 1/
@TrentTelenko @grok We can gain insight into this by examining crime and criminal justice broadly, rather than focusing on one crime - murder - and one factor - trauma care.
Depending on time periods & locations studied, we can see that increased clearance rates, violence interruption efforts 2/
Depending on time periods & locations studied, we can see that increased clearance rates, violence interruption efforts 2/
@TrentTelenko @grok targeted enforcement, community stabilization and social support efforts all have played a role.
We can also see, not just a drop in murder rates, but a drop in a wide variety of other crimes. 3/counciloncj.org/whats-driving-…
We can also see, not just a drop in murder rates, but a drop in a wide variety of other crimes. 3/counciloncj.org/whats-driving-…