Recent well liked threads
ChatGPT prompts to help you with academic reading and writing:
A word of caution before we begin:
• Outsource labor to ChatGPT not your thinking
• Treat ChatGPT as your research assistant not your supervisor
• Don't over-rely on ChatGPT, and don't forget to use your common sense
• Outsource labor to ChatGPT not your thinking
• Treat ChatGPT as your research assistant not your supervisor
• Don't over-rely on ChatGPT, and don't forget to use your common sense
Prompt: Please remove redundant words from the following passage and make it coherent and cohesive.
Write non-stop for 25min without caring about structure.
Paste the text in ChatGPT with the above prompt to structure your work.
Rewrite to suit your personal style.
Write non-stop for 25min without caring about structure.
Paste the text in ChatGPT with the above prompt to structure your work.
Rewrite to suit your personal style.
MEGATHREAD for POV genetic selection memes:
Find all my POV posts collected here, updated daily. Eventually every gene will be memed w papers cited!
Learn about the spiciest findings in archaeo/population genetics w the most unhinged memes!
Bookmark for reference📑
🧵1/n )
*Some genes may have multiple new posts from the favored/against or male/female side of selection. Some selected traits may be inferred or its' genetic cause currently undiscovered or polygenic.
Find all my POV posts collected here, updated daily. Eventually every gene will be memed w papers cited!
Learn about the spiciest findings in archaeo/population genetics w the most unhinged memes!
Bookmark for reference📑
🧵1/n )
*Some genes may have multiple new posts from the favored/against or male/female side of selection. Some selected traits may be inferred or its' genetic cause currently undiscovered or polygenic.
2) ABCC11 rs17822931 A allele - odorless sweat, dry earwax
3) ADH1B and ALDH2 variants- flushing and nausea when consuming alcohol
THE LIGHT WITHIN
A concept trailer powered by Nano Banana Pro 🍌
I haven’t been impressed by new AI tools lately but this one swept me off my feet.
The kicker?
I used Google Flow and a few wild tricks to get perfect consistency.
Here's a step-by-step full breakdown 🧵
#1/15
A concept trailer powered by Nano Banana Pro 🍌
I haven’t been impressed by new AI tools lately but this one swept me off my feet.
The kicker?
I used Google Flow and a few wild tricks to get perfect consistency.
Here's a step-by-step full breakdown 🧵
#1/15
The film is based on a script I wrote a while ago (hopefully a feature one day...wink, wink😉)
✅ 2 minutes
✅ 70+ shots
✅ Full audio, music, VO, lipsync
✅ Done in < a week, on my own.
👉 All with Nano Banana Pro + VEO3 on Flow
#2/15
✅ 2 minutes
✅ 70+ shots
✅ Full audio, music, VO, lipsync
✅ Done in < a week, on my own.
👉 All with Nano Banana Pro + VEO3 on Flow
#2/15
🌱 Story synopsis
After losing her mother, Nina finds herself pulled into a strange underworld where light is memory, and nothing is what it seems.
Together with Pip, a forgotten spirit, she must journey through dreamlike realms to uncover the truth and find her way back.
#3/15
After losing her mother, Nina finds herself pulled into a strange underworld where light is memory, and nothing is what it seems.
Together with Pip, a forgotten spirit, she must journey through dreamlike realms to uncover the truth and find her way back.
#3/15
My first year at Michigan, I found a catalogue entry for an unpublished papyrus preserving portions of Odyssey 4.380-90:
It wasn't big, but it did have an interesting reading at the beginning of 4.388:
modern editions: τόν γ’ εἴ πως σὺ δύναιο λοχησάμενος λελαβέσθαι
P.Mich.inv. 3390 + 7169: τ̣ὸ̣ν εἴ πως σὺ δύναιο [λοχ]η̣σ̣άμε[νος
modern editions: τόν γ’ εἴ πως σὺ δύναιο λοχησάμενος λελαβέσθαι
P.Mich.inv. 3390 + 7169: τ̣ὸ̣ν εἴ πως σὺ δύναιο [λοχ]η̣σ̣άμε[νος
While working on it, I also realised that there was another Michigan papyrus with a very suspicious void at the bottom:
If we’re working together, it’s because I believe you can do hard things that actually matter. This is my mental model at work so you’re not guessing.
1. I Care About You and the Work
I’m intense. I move fast. I will challenge you. That can be uncomfortable.
Underneath that, I care deeply about you and your ability to thrive. Unleashing your superpowers is important to me. I enjoy clearing paths for top talent to do great work.
I show that through high expectations, honest feedback, and real responsibility. I will work for you and will do everything I can to help you crush it.
1. I Care About You and the Work
I’m intense. I move fast. I will challenge you. That can be uncomfortable.
Underneath that, I care deeply about you and your ability to thrive. Unleashing your superpowers is important to me. I enjoy clearing paths for top talent to do great work.
I show that through high expectations, honest feedback, and real responsibility. I will work for you and will do everything I can to help you crush it.
2. Everything Is Work in Progress
I assume almost everything around us is broken or suboptimal. This is my default world view. The opportunity to work on hard problems and make a difference drives me. I believe we can make everything better and energized for the future.
I value working with others who can acknowledge when things aren't right and get excited about fixing things. I’d rather see reality clearly and fix it than spend time decorating it. You’ll know when I think it’s not working. Accept this from a place of caring deeply.
I assume almost everything around us is broken or suboptimal. This is my default world view. The opportunity to work on hard problems and make a difference drives me. I believe we can make everything better and energized for the future.
I value working with others who can acknowledge when things aren't right and get excited about fixing things. I’d rather see reality clearly and fix it than spend time decorating it. You’ll know when I think it’s not working. Accept this from a place of caring deeply.
Today, the United States issued SANCTIONS reinforcing the "red line" I invoked on @GBNEWS. Namely: extraterritorial censorship of Americans.
Today's sanctions target the censorship-NGO ecosystem.🧵
Today's sanctions target the censorship-NGO ecosystem.🧵
These sanctions are visa-related. We aren't invoking severe Magnitsky-style financial measures, but our message is clear: if you spend your career fomenting censorship of American speech, you're unwelcome on American soil.
Our targets are foreign, but you'll notice that some collaborated with U.S. bureaucrats on Murthy-style speech suppression. Don't worry: we're pursuing transparency, truth, and reconciliation at the @StateDept, too.
1/25
I think the DoJ may have accidently exposed a HUGE cover-up...
After research, I do now believe this letter is *FAKE*
Initially I thought his lawyer wrote it for him - but now my personal theory is:
-This was *PLANTED* by **Bill Barr**, to cover-up Epstein's death!
I think the DoJ may have accidently exposed a HUGE cover-up...
After research, I do now believe this letter is *FAKE*
Initially I thought his lawyer wrote it for him - but now my personal theory is:
-This was *PLANTED* by **Bill Barr**, to cover-up Epstein's death!
2/25
First, pulling the MCC records of commissary shows they DID stock blank post cards, in packs of 6 - something you'd have to be familiar with to fake.
But, Epstein's receipts don't show any purchase of post cards, the closest was a single envelope.
First, pulling the MCC records of commissary shows they DID stock blank post cards, in packs of 6 - something you'd have to be familiar with to fake.
But, Epstein's receipts don't show any purchase of post cards, the closest was a single envelope.
3/25
The post card uses the Rodger Dodger Hot Wheels postage stamp which was sold briefly in 2018.
Given the commissary's turn over of mail products, it's *very* unlikely a 2018 stamp was still being sold there in August of 2019.
The post card uses the Rodger Dodger Hot Wheels postage stamp which was sold briefly in 2018.
Given the commissary's turn over of mail products, it's *very* unlikely a 2018 stamp was still being sold there in August of 2019.
اخیرا یک ویدیوی بسیار نادر و عجیب، از اعتراضات سال ۱۹۸۹ چین و سرکوب گسترده حزب کمونیست چین در میدان تیان آن من به صورت ناشناس پخش شده است. تا سالها یک افسانهای وجود داشت که «یکی از فرماندهان عالیرتبه ارتش چین، از دستور مستقیم سرکوب مردم امتناع کرده است.» حالا این ویدیو ۶ ساعته
با طبقه بندی محرمانه از دادگاه او در سال ۱۹۹۰ که به طور کلی بدون حضور شاهد و تماشاگر در یک اتاق کاملا بسته برگذار شده است، این افسانه را ثابت کرده است. شو چینشیان Xu Qinxian فرمانده یکی از گروههای نخبه ارتش آزادی بخش چین (PLA) بود که در سال ۱۹۸۹ از دستور مستقیم بالادستیهایش
برای به حرکت درآوردن ۱۵ هزار نفر نیروی زیردستش برای شرکت در سرکوب دانشجویان و مردمی در اعتراضات شرکت داشتند (در نهایت براساس برخی آمار تا ۸۰۰۰ نفر کشته شدند و بعدها تصاویر مردی که مقابل تانکها ایستاد به نمادش تبدیل شد.) امتناع کرد. منبع اصلی این ویدیو ناشناخته است و اولین بار
🚨Why male (and female) violence is mostly a female problem 🔥— Part I
The now-viral question:
“If hiking alone in the woods, would you rather encounter a bear or a man?”
produced a striking result; young women overwhelmingly chose the bear.
As someone who works in risk management, this response struck me as profoundly irrational. A 300kg apex predator with claws and teeth versus an 75kg male primate?
If this preference were sincere, something had gone badly wrong in how risk is being perceived.
So I went looking for context.
Using Australian Bureau of Statistics homicide data (2022) as my primary case study, Australia recorded 377 homicides: 259 male victims, 118 female. Of those, 26 were children, with boys more likely to be killed than girls.
Women accounted for just 11% of perpetrators, yet mothers were responsible for 50% of filicides (the remainder split between biological and step-fathers).
Removing child victims, adult female homicide averages roughly 2 deaths per week, equating to ~0.8 per 100,000 women. For comparison: the UK sits at ~0.6, the US ~1.2. Australia is neither exceptional nor uniquely dangerous. In absolute risk terms, homicide carries about the same fatality risk as crossing the road.
Context matters. Among Australian women aged 15–44, homicide ranks 13th as a cause of death. Suicide is first (7.97 per 100k), followed by drug overdose, road traffic accidents, and cancer. Homicide sits below congenital abnormalities and just above accidental drowning.
Crucially, 90% of female homicide victims are killed by someone they know, and ~60% by a current or former intimate partner. The risk of being killed by a random male stranger is vanishingly small.
Despite this, homicide dominates headlines in a way no other cause of female death does. We hear little about suicide, overdoses, or traffic fatalities, despite these being orders of magnitude more likely to kill women.
Why?
Because fear is being curated.
Australian homicide rates have fallen steadily for decades. Today is the safest period in Australian history. Law enforcement, courts, and genuine safeguarding reforms have worked. Yet media and activist narratives insist we are in the midst of a “femicide crisis”.
The data does not support this.
When challenged with these facts, women often respond: “It’s not just murder we fear, what about sexual violence?”
Fair question.
The 2021–22 Personal Safety Survey reports 22% of adult women have experienced sexual violence at some point in their lives. Men are not untouched: 1 in 16 (6.1%) report the same.
Sexual violence includes rape and non-penetrative assault. These numbers are serious and deserve attention, but again, context matters.
In 95% of cases, the perpetrator is known to the victim. Current and former partners are the primary offenders. Male strangers account for just ~5%. Alcohol and drugs are involved in over half of incidents.
Reported prevalence has risen since the 1990s, accelerating post-2016. Whether this reflects increased incidence or increased reporting is unclear, but Google Trends mirror this rise, suggesting awareness and reporting effects rather than an explosion of offending. We see further evidence in the UK where reports to the police of sexual assault have increased c.270% since 2010 while gross convictions have remained stable.
Once again, the bear, and the male stranger, are statistical red herrings.
Based on the evidence, the person most likely to harm a woman is herself (via suicide or overdose), followed by the man she has judged safe enough to partner with, not the unknown male in the woods.
Which raises the real question:
How did an entire generation of women become so catastrophically miscalibrated on risk?
Part 2 counties below…
The now-viral question:
“If hiking alone in the woods, would you rather encounter a bear or a man?”
produced a striking result; young women overwhelmingly chose the bear.
As someone who works in risk management, this response struck me as profoundly irrational. A 300kg apex predator with claws and teeth versus an 75kg male primate?
If this preference were sincere, something had gone badly wrong in how risk is being perceived.
So I went looking for context.
Using Australian Bureau of Statistics homicide data (2022) as my primary case study, Australia recorded 377 homicides: 259 male victims, 118 female. Of those, 26 were children, with boys more likely to be killed than girls.
Women accounted for just 11% of perpetrators, yet mothers were responsible for 50% of filicides (the remainder split between biological and step-fathers).
Removing child victims, adult female homicide averages roughly 2 deaths per week, equating to ~0.8 per 100,000 women. For comparison: the UK sits at ~0.6, the US ~1.2. Australia is neither exceptional nor uniquely dangerous. In absolute risk terms, homicide carries about the same fatality risk as crossing the road.
Context matters. Among Australian women aged 15–44, homicide ranks 13th as a cause of death. Suicide is first (7.97 per 100k), followed by drug overdose, road traffic accidents, and cancer. Homicide sits below congenital abnormalities and just above accidental drowning.
Crucially, 90% of female homicide victims are killed by someone they know, and ~60% by a current or former intimate partner. The risk of being killed by a random male stranger is vanishingly small.
Despite this, homicide dominates headlines in a way no other cause of female death does. We hear little about suicide, overdoses, or traffic fatalities, despite these being orders of magnitude more likely to kill women.
Why?
Because fear is being curated.
Australian homicide rates have fallen steadily for decades. Today is the safest period in Australian history. Law enforcement, courts, and genuine safeguarding reforms have worked. Yet media and activist narratives insist we are in the midst of a “femicide crisis”.
The data does not support this.
When challenged with these facts, women often respond: “It’s not just murder we fear, what about sexual violence?”
Fair question.
The 2021–22 Personal Safety Survey reports 22% of adult women have experienced sexual violence at some point in their lives. Men are not untouched: 1 in 16 (6.1%) report the same.
Sexual violence includes rape and non-penetrative assault. These numbers are serious and deserve attention, but again, context matters.
In 95% of cases, the perpetrator is known to the victim. Current and former partners are the primary offenders. Male strangers account for just ~5%. Alcohol and drugs are involved in over half of incidents.
Reported prevalence has risen since the 1990s, accelerating post-2016. Whether this reflects increased incidence or increased reporting is unclear, but Google Trends mirror this rise, suggesting awareness and reporting effects rather than an explosion of offending. We see further evidence in the UK where reports to the police of sexual assault have increased c.270% since 2010 while gross convictions have remained stable.
Once again, the bear, and the male stranger, are statistical red herrings.
Based on the evidence, the person most likely to harm a woman is herself (via suicide or overdose), followed by the man she has judged safe enough to partner with, not the unknown male in the woods.
Which raises the real question:
How did an entire generation of women become so catastrophically miscalibrated on risk?
Part 2 counties below…
Phobias are real, they create real
Trauma responses but they are not validators of truth.
We recognise fear of flying, sharks, or spiders as psychological distortions, not rational risk assessments. We help people overcome them because they restrict autonomy and degrade quality of life.
Yet when it comes to fear of men, curiously, the opposite occurs. Media, institutions, and activists actively reinforce and catastrophise the fear, despite overwhelming evidence it is misaligned with reality.
Let’s give it some perspective:
Road traffic accidents carry a 3.5x greater risk of death for females than homicide and a 35x greater risk than the same female being killed by a stranger yet we just do not see women petrified of getting in their car and driving to work. We do not see hysterical feminists arguing for safer vehicles, demanding the government “do something” or campaigns reminding us that 7 women per week are being killed in a “driv-icide epidemic”.
Rather, we accept the risks because we know life is not a zero risk game and to allow ourselves to be so impeded would make life pretty un-bear-able (pun intended).
Instead we acknowledge the risk, encourage people to drive safely, wear a seatbelt, avoid distractions like use of phones, not speed, and not drive tired. All the while trying to make driving safer with airbags, crumple zones and better road design… and we do this without any ludicrous accusations of it being some form of “victim blaming!”.
But when violence involves sex or relationships, personal responsibility is treated as taboo. “Don’t victim blame” has become a blanket excuse to deny any modicum of personal agency, something we apply nowhere else.
Swim in crocodile-infested waters and get eaten?
You bear responsibility.
Ride recklessly without a helmet?
You beer the responsibility.
But curiously, when it comes to partner selection, many women argue they can behave in any way they choose and without consequence. This includes shacking up with men with more red flags than a Bolshevik reunion, denying fathers access to children, or abusing partners physically or via proxy.
Many believe they bear no responsibility for putting themselves in vulnerable situations, such as engaging in overt promiscuity, excessive drug and alcohol use, often accompanied with abusive, extortive, violent and disrespectful behaviour. They ignore the reality that bad actors live among us since time immemorial and are waiting for opportunities to strike. And they don’t just target females, males are more than twice as a likely to be victims of violent assault.
Regardless of sex, we all have a responsibility to act sensibly and respectfully, to reduce conflict and opportunities for bad actors to take advantage. Men are often reminded of how to treat a woman, but rarely do we see women reminded of how to treat a man. Rather, it feels the current advice is to manipulate, extort, use and abuse and if he so much as gets annoyed, it’s a “male problem”, often packaged as “toxic masculinity”.
This segues into why we have violent offenders in the first place. Violence doesn’t start at adulthood, and it doesn’t just happen in a vacuum. It starts at birth with love, empathy and healthy conflict resolution skills learned during formative years being crucial for healthy development toward adulthood. Any serious discussion about violence must include childhood development.
A landmark Swedish study found 1% of the population, 90% male, commit the majority of violent crime. Their conclusion was thus:
“The majority of violent crimes are perpetrated by a small number of persistent violent offenders, typically males, characterized by early onset of violent criminality, substance abuse, personality disorders, and nonviolent criminality.”
Thomas Sowell and others observed a tight link between family breakdown and crime. Violent offending tracks almost perfectly with rates of fatherlessness.
Part 3 continues below…
Trauma responses but they are not validators of truth.
We recognise fear of flying, sharks, or spiders as psychological distortions, not rational risk assessments. We help people overcome them because they restrict autonomy and degrade quality of life.
Yet when it comes to fear of men, curiously, the opposite occurs. Media, institutions, and activists actively reinforce and catastrophise the fear, despite overwhelming evidence it is misaligned with reality.
Let’s give it some perspective:
Road traffic accidents carry a 3.5x greater risk of death for females than homicide and a 35x greater risk than the same female being killed by a stranger yet we just do not see women petrified of getting in their car and driving to work. We do not see hysterical feminists arguing for safer vehicles, demanding the government “do something” or campaigns reminding us that 7 women per week are being killed in a “driv-icide epidemic”.
Rather, we accept the risks because we know life is not a zero risk game and to allow ourselves to be so impeded would make life pretty un-bear-able (pun intended).
Instead we acknowledge the risk, encourage people to drive safely, wear a seatbelt, avoid distractions like use of phones, not speed, and not drive tired. All the while trying to make driving safer with airbags, crumple zones and better road design… and we do this without any ludicrous accusations of it being some form of “victim blaming!”.
But when violence involves sex or relationships, personal responsibility is treated as taboo. “Don’t victim blame” has become a blanket excuse to deny any modicum of personal agency, something we apply nowhere else.
Swim in crocodile-infested waters and get eaten?
You bear responsibility.
Ride recklessly without a helmet?
You beer the responsibility.
But curiously, when it comes to partner selection, many women argue they can behave in any way they choose and without consequence. This includes shacking up with men with more red flags than a Bolshevik reunion, denying fathers access to children, or abusing partners physically or via proxy.
Many believe they bear no responsibility for putting themselves in vulnerable situations, such as engaging in overt promiscuity, excessive drug and alcohol use, often accompanied with abusive, extortive, violent and disrespectful behaviour. They ignore the reality that bad actors live among us since time immemorial and are waiting for opportunities to strike. And they don’t just target females, males are more than twice as a likely to be victims of violent assault.
Regardless of sex, we all have a responsibility to act sensibly and respectfully, to reduce conflict and opportunities for bad actors to take advantage. Men are often reminded of how to treat a woman, but rarely do we see women reminded of how to treat a man. Rather, it feels the current advice is to manipulate, extort, use and abuse and if he so much as gets annoyed, it’s a “male problem”, often packaged as “toxic masculinity”.
This segues into why we have violent offenders in the first place. Violence doesn’t start at adulthood, and it doesn’t just happen in a vacuum. It starts at birth with love, empathy and healthy conflict resolution skills learned during formative years being crucial for healthy development toward adulthood. Any serious discussion about violence must include childhood development.
A landmark Swedish study found 1% of the population, 90% male, commit the majority of violent crime. Their conclusion was thus:
“The majority of violent crimes are perpetrated by a small number of persistent violent offenders, typically males, characterized by early onset of violent criminality, substance abuse, personality disorders, and nonviolent criminality.”
Thomas Sowell and others observed a tight link between family breakdown and crime. Violent offending tracks almost perfectly with rates of fatherlessness.
Part 3 continues below…
Key facts rarely discussed:
•70-75% of divorces are initiated by women
•Only 20–24% cite domestic abuse
•90–95% of single-parent households are headed by mothers
•~80% of violent offenders come from single-mother families
Single-father households do not show this correlation. Their children’s outcomes are statistically indistinguishable from two-parent families.
The implications are uncomfortable but unavoidable.
Sons from single-mother households are dramatically more likely to engage in violence and sexual offending. Daughters are more likely to develop insecure attachments, experience teen pregnancy, and repeat the cycle of family breakdown.
Meanwhile, boys grow up almost entirely without male role models: 99% female nursery staff, ~95% female primary teachers, and only limited male presence later.
This lack of masculine guidance leaves young boys susceptible to gang recruitment and other unhealthy influences (eg Andrew Tate) that manifest in dangerous and harmful ways.
Masculinity is not the cause of violence, but rather, the absence of healthy masculinity is.
Yet any attempt to say this is met with outrage. Accountability is reframed as misogyny. Evidence is dismissed as “blame”.
This is not an argument to demonise single mothers. It is an argument to re-centre fathers in policy, family law, education, and safeguarding.
We need:
•Shared-care presumptions
•Gender-inclusive domestic abuse policy (not Duluth dogma)
•More men in education
And lastly we need to bring back male only spaces where good older men can teach young boys how to grow into healthy adults who are competent, responsible and respectful. The type of man every woman in the woods would want to happen upon, particularly if she was attacked by a bear due to her own poor choices.
•70-75% of divorces are initiated by women
•Only 20–24% cite domestic abuse
•90–95% of single-parent households are headed by mothers
•~80% of violent offenders come from single-mother families
Single-father households do not show this correlation. Their children’s outcomes are statistically indistinguishable from two-parent families.
The implications are uncomfortable but unavoidable.
Sons from single-mother households are dramatically more likely to engage in violence and sexual offending. Daughters are more likely to develop insecure attachments, experience teen pregnancy, and repeat the cycle of family breakdown.
Meanwhile, boys grow up almost entirely without male role models: 99% female nursery staff, ~95% female primary teachers, and only limited male presence later.
This lack of masculine guidance leaves young boys susceptible to gang recruitment and other unhealthy influences (eg Andrew Tate) that manifest in dangerous and harmful ways.
Masculinity is not the cause of violence, but rather, the absence of healthy masculinity is.
Yet any attempt to say this is met with outrage. Accountability is reframed as misogyny. Evidence is dismissed as “blame”.
This is not an argument to demonise single mothers. It is an argument to re-centre fathers in policy, family law, education, and safeguarding.
We need:
•Shared-care presumptions
•Gender-inclusive domestic abuse policy (not Duluth dogma)
•More men in education
And lastly we need to bring back male only spaces where good older men can teach young boys how to grow into healthy adults who are competent, responsible and respectful. The type of man every woman in the woods would want to happen upon, particularly if she was attacked by a bear due to her own poor choices.
1/ NEW from @gazamaps: Israel occupied an additional 10% of Gaza since the "ceasefire."
Counting the land Israel took since the ceasefire, over 63% of Gaza is now an IDF-designated kill zone.
(Link at bottom of thread.)
Counting the land Israel took since the ceasefire, over 63% of Gaza is now an IDF-designated kill zone.
(Link at bottom of thread.)
2/ The area between the "ceasefire line" the IDF published, and the yellow blocks the IDF claimed marked that line, is nearly 10% of Gaza.
Arrows point to land taken since the "ceasefire." It's over 9% of Gaza.
Arrows point to land taken since the "ceasefire." It's over 9% of Gaza.
3/ This means Palestinians are concentrated into less than 38% of Gaza, and that area is shrinking.
I'm obsessed with cognitive biases.
A "cognitive bias" is a systematic error in thinking that destroys decision-making.
11 most powerful (and dangerous) cognitive biases I've found: 🧵
1. Survivorship Bias:
A "cognitive bias" is a systematic error in thinking that destroys decision-making.
11 most powerful (and dangerous) cognitive biases I've found: 🧵
1. Survivorship Bias:
1. Survivorship Bias:
We focus on the winners and ignore the losers.
We study the college dropout billionaires but ignore the thousands of dropouts who failed.
Success leaves clues, but failure teaches lessons.
We focus on the winners and ignore the losers.
We study the college dropout billionaires but ignore the thousands of dropouts who failed.
Success leaves clues, but failure teaches lessons.
2. The Sunk Cost Fallacy:
We cling to things just because we’ve already invested time or money in them.
We refuse to quit a bad job or project because we "can't let that effort go to waste."
Don't throw good time after bad.
We cling to things just because we’ve already invested time or money in them.
We refuse to quit a bad job or project because we "can't let that effort go to waste."
Don't throw good time after bad.
EXCLUSIVE: In September 2022, a Fort Worth, Texas school attempted to bury a dangerous mishandling that nearly cost a 14-year-old student their life.
This case makes one thing clear: school st*bbings are not new. They have been happening for years—and it is the institutions themselves that have repeatedly avoided accountability.
The silencing of parents ends here. Read the entire thread for the full insane story!
A freshman student at Boswell High School in the Eagle Mountain–Saginaw Independent School District (EMS ISD) was st*bbed in the back with a serrated kitchen knife by another student during the school day. The blade fully penetrated the student’s back, later determined by medical professionals to be in close proximity to a major artery. The student also suffered a punctured lung and broken rib.
The video was sent to me by the mother of the victim. In the video, you can see her son walking down the hall with a 5 inch steak knife in his back. At this point, he did not know he had been st*bbed and was likely in shock. The student who attacked him is the African American boy in the turquoise hoodie who can be seen at the beginning of the video. According to the mom, “He st*bbed him in the back, punched him in the face three times, and then said to my son, ‘How do you like that, you little b*tch?’”
“A Coach approached the situation and instead of sitting my son down, Keeping him still, and calling emergency and putting the school on lockdown, this Teacher/Coach walked my Son down a top-floor hallway during a lunch rush. Then my son was mocked and filmed by Students of Baswell”
Proceed to the thread to read the rest of this insane story 👇
This case makes one thing clear: school st*bbings are not new. They have been happening for years—and it is the institutions themselves that have repeatedly avoided accountability.
The silencing of parents ends here. Read the entire thread for the full insane story!
A freshman student at Boswell High School in the Eagle Mountain–Saginaw Independent School District (EMS ISD) was st*bbed in the back with a serrated kitchen knife by another student during the school day. The blade fully penetrated the student’s back, later determined by medical professionals to be in close proximity to a major artery. The student also suffered a punctured lung and broken rib.
The video was sent to me by the mother of the victim. In the video, you can see her son walking down the hall with a 5 inch steak knife in his back. At this point, he did not know he had been st*bbed and was likely in shock. The student who attacked him is the African American boy in the turquoise hoodie who can be seen at the beginning of the video. According to the mom, “He st*bbed him in the back, punched him in the face three times, and then said to my son, ‘How do you like that, you little b*tch?’”
“A Coach approached the situation and instead of sitting my son down, Keeping him still, and calling emergency and putting the school on lockdown, this Teacher/Coach walked my Son down a top-floor hallway during a lunch rush. Then my son was mocked and filmed by Students of Baswell”
Proceed to the thread to read the rest of this insane story 👇
On September 21, 2022, shortly after being dismissed from class for lunch, the student was attacked in a school hallway. According to the victim’s account, the assailant approached from behind, st*bbed him in the back, then moved in front of him and punched him in the face multiple times while verbally taunting him. Due to a documented vision condition, the victim did not see the attacker approach and initially believed he had been punched, not st*bbed.
After the as*ault, the victim was escorted by a coach from the top floor of the school, through crowded hallways and down multiple flights of stairs to the nurse’s office. During this time, other students filmed him on their phones and commented that there was a knife in his back. The victim remained unaware that he had been st*bbed. Again, he was likely in shock.
According to the victim and the mother, her son was searched and his backpack was rummaged through while he sat on a bed with a knife in his back. He was treated as if he was the attacker. This is while he was in a very fragile state.
“My son’s safety was the least of their concerns!”
Principal Blue took the victims backpack and dumped out the contents, then searched her son while demanding that he sit up straight.
The victim asked “why are you treating me this way?” The principal stated that he was looking for a knife on the victim. All the while, the knife was still in his back. It was STILL at this time that the victim did not realize he had been st*bbed. He later described the feeling as a “strange tingly sensation” and thought that he had just been punched very hard in that area.
The EMTs later confirmed with the parents that any movement could have k*lled their son. The surgeon also confirmed that the placement of the knife meant that their son had a very high chance of bleeding to d*ath.
After the as*ault, the victim was escorted by a coach from the top floor of the school, through crowded hallways and down multiple flights of stairs to the nurse’s office. During this time, other students filmed him on their phones and commented that there was a knife in his back. The victim remained unaware that he had been st*bbed. Again, he was likely in shock.
According to the victim and the mother, her son was searched and his backpack was rummaged through while he sat on a bed with a knife in his back. He was treated as if he was the attacker. This is while he was in a very fragile state.
“My son’s safety was the least of their concerns!”
Principal Blue took the victims backpack and dumped out the contents, then searched her son while demanding that he sit up straight.
The victim asked “why are you treating me this way?” The principal stated that he was looking for a knife on the victim. All the while, the knife was still in his back. It was STILL at this time that the victim did not realize he had been st*bbed. He later described the feeling as a “strange tingly sensation” and thought that he had just been punched very hard in that area.
The EMTs later confirmed with the parents that any movement could have k*lled their son. The surgeon also confirmed that the placement of the knife meant that their son had a very high chance of bleeding to d*ath.
The family pursued meetings with school administrators, filed grievances, and provided documentation raising concerns about staff actions, safety protocols, and post-incident support. District responses consistently cited confidentiality laws, including FERPA and Texas Education Code provisions, to limit disclosure of information about staff discipline or internal evaluations.
In correspondence dated November 15, 2024, the district’s legal counsel stated that the district had investigated the matter, acted appropriately under the circumstances, and complied with all legal requirements. The letter asserted that the district reviewed allegations, cooperated with law enforcement, and believed staff actions were reasonable given the information available at the time.
There was no policy change.
There was no apology.
There was no remorse.
There was no accountability.
The attacker was allowed probation.
The family’s financial burden reached nearly 6 figures
The school was allowed to continue on with no accountability and was able to escape public scrutiny.
The family cannot sue the school due to sovereign immunity.
In correspondence dated November 15, 2024, the district’s legal counsel stated that the district had investigated the matter, acted appropriately under the circumstances, and complied with all legal requirements. The letter asserted that the district reviewed allegations, cooperated with law enforcement, and believed staff actions were reasonable given the information available at the time.
There was no policy change.
There was no apology.
There was no remorse.
There was no accountability.
The attacker was allowed probation.
The family’s financial burden reached nearly 6 figures
The school was allowed to continue on with no accountability and was able to escape public scrutiny.
The family cannot sue the school due to sovereign immunity.
95539
USA : #EpsteinFiles
Das jetzt vom Untersuchungskomitee verbreitete CCTV Selbstmordvideo aus dem Gefängnis in Manhattan ist seit Jahren als Fälschung erwiesen. Es ist nicht irrtümlich unter das Material geraten.
Zwar ist richtig, daß man sich mit rt.com/news/629953-ep…
USA : #EpsteinFiles
Das jetzt vom Untersuchungskomitee verbreitete CCTV Selbstmordvideo aus dem Gefängnis in Manhattan ist seit Jahren als Fälschung erwiesen. Es ist nicht irrtümlich unter das Material geraten.
Zwar ist richtig, daß man sich mit rt.com/news/629953-ep…
dieser Methode wie im Bild umbringen kann. Die Leiche hat aber einen Bruch des Genicks sowie des Hyoid Zungenbeins. Beides ist mit gesehener Methode völlig ausgeschlossen (MD Wacasey).
Der Parlamentsausschuß
ist grundsätzlich orchestriert und folgt Partei-Interessen. Vor den
Der Parlamentsausschuß
ist grundsätzlich orchestriert und folgt Partei-Interessen. Vor den
Midterms 26 wollen REP Stimmungen gegen DEM erzeugen. Man sieht das am freigegebenen Material. Es hat diese Tendenz, vor allem im Spektrum des Ungenannten.
Um den Tod von #Epstein drängen sich Fragen auf, die ein REP-Ausschuß um jeden Preis verhindern muß.
Sein orchestriertes
Um den Tod von #Epstein drängen sich Fragen auf, die ein REP-Ausschuß um jeden Preis verhindern muß.
Sein orchestriertes
خدایا به همه بیماران شفا بده که دنبال هیچ مادرقحبهای راه نیفتن.
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