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1/27 Texas C19 Brief update: Hospitalization Peak???
* Today is the day. I predicted that hospitalizations through 1/26 would peak in the 7DMA. Is today peak or not? Let's find out.
* No analysis beyond hospitalizations today. See yesterday's update.
1/n
* Today is the day. I predicted that hospitalizations through 1/26 would peak in the 7DMA. Is today peak or not? Let's find out.
* No analysis beyond hospitalizations today. See yesterday's update.
1/n
1/27 - Let's look at the numbers first
Through 1/26:
* Admits are in decline. 7DMA peak was 1/20
* Gen Hosp Census @ 13360
* Census 7DMA @ 13,252
* Imminent Census peak is evident in image #3
* Whether today is the peak all depends on the number in image #2 below, in green
2/n
Through 1/26:
* Admits are in decline. 7DMA peak was 1/20
* Gen Hosp Census @ 13360
* Census 7DMA @ 13,252
* Imminent Census peak is evident in image #3
* Whether today is the peak all depends on the number in image #2 below, in green
2/n
1/27 - So is 1/26 peak or what?
* In a 7 day moving average, the 8th day back falls off the average
* So tomorrow, the 1/20 number falls off. That is 13,371, which so far is the census single day peak
* If 1/27 Census number is less than 13,371 then the 7DMA declines
3/n
* In a 7 day moving average, the 8th day back falls off the average
* So tomorrow, the 1/20 number falls off. That is 13,371, which so far is the census single day peak
* If 1/27 Census number is less than 13,371 then the 7DMA declines
3/n
