THREAD on possible lines of departure for the #Turkish operation:
1- The #TurkishArmy’s 20th Armored Brigade, as the principle maneuver unit, is likely to spearhead the push into northeast #Syria.
#BarisPinariHarekati
2- As #Ankara recently stepped up its efforts for a cross-border campaign, the 20th Armored has sent detachments to possible lines of departure (where an offensive unit transitions from movement to maneuver) in #Akçakale, located in the vicinity of #TelAbyad.
3- The concentration of forces suggests that Tel Abyad would make the primary line of contact, though, Turkish military planners can open-up many other jump-off points along the border at anytime.
4- From #TelAbyad, the offensive would initially advance westwards, following a direction of attack towards the Euphrates River. Turkish press sources reported that the #FreeSyrianArmy fighters (Turkey-friendly, moderate Syrian Arabs and Turkmens) have geared-up for the campaign.
5- Such a force generation and positioning would enable clear advantages in envelopment efforts. In case #Turkey opens up an assault route from the west of the Euphrates, the offensive will probably push into #Manbij first.
6- From there, it would advance eastwards to establish a linkup with the Turkish forces in the east, assuming the simultaneous Tel Abyad offensive would be progressing westwards in the meanwhile.
More assessments on: edam.org.tr/en/turkey-prep…
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