#covid19 #deaths in India & other nations, here I explain several ways to have reliable estimates. Of all range of estimates, the probability of deaths being actually lower should not be ignored. In the absence of data, if undercounting is possible, so is over-attribution 1 of N
First, deaths due to #COVID19 are far lower compared to other reasons. @DMavalankar and Dr Divya Nair explain why we should not focus too much on India’s COVID-19 #Mortality and not loose focus on deaths due to other Diseases. science.thewire.in/health/indias-… 2 of N
Second , as Prof K Srinath Reddy of @thePHFI explained here, a sharp spike in home deaths over a long period is also not likely to go unnoticed. bbc.com/news/world-asi… 3 of N
Young age, cross-immunity and genetics might have had a role to play why India and other countries have low mortality. We need more studies to understand the mechanisms.
thewire.in/health/intervi…
dsprdpub.cc.ic.ac.uk:8443/handle/10044/1… 4 of N
In the short term, comprehensive death audits will be of use. Here is by Kerala. health.kerala.gov.in/wp-content/upl…
Medium term: Verbal autopsies can guide to understand comprehensive causes of #death. @countthedead
Long term: Improve #MCCD and link to #EHR. N ofN
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