What has #China gained so far?
1. Paranoid 🇮🇳 top brass/policy makers who will focus more inland ($$) than maritime i.e. CDS/Map lovers
2. Pulse check on #QUAD & #US reaction
3. Foundation stone of double squeeze #LOC~#LAC
4. Strengthening of newly raised #PLA Western Theatre.
China’s mission is to break both island chains by 2030-35 by massive build up of Naval & Air powers. Already artificial islands are there & no one can do anything other than odd USN vessels with flag conducting freedom of navigation. None of US allies want war nor have stomach
All countries in Pacific rely on same geography that they want to turn against China. Its kind of self defeating to cage a dragon while you’re in it. I’m not even bringing economical angle to this and what will happen to beast of capitalism, #Covid has set the tone for 2020s :)
World will be alienated and divided more than united. 2020s is age of centrifugal forces where states will scramble for their own interests rather than working towards greater alliances. Russia is another part of this act which will keep EU/US paranoid and fuel far right.
China’s quiet economical buildup is done. Now they’ll to fight to keep/secure stakes in global pie. India doesn’t share geographical handicap that other Indo-Pacific partners do. But India has its own impulsive disorder i.e. Ideological battles & internal disunity then Pakistan.
Does this mean China has figured everything out & all is going to plan? NO
Geopolitics is a poker game of high stakes. You make your calculations/bets & see who plays till the end or who will cash out. India is in this for cash out since it needs trade/FDI more than influence.
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