Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Healthcare data analysis & snark 🦋 https://t.co/ouYwTXWvCw 🐘 https://t.co/ol5x7WaYzF 🧵 https://t.co/hQQ3vS7OlT

Sep 22, 2020, 58 tweets

ALABAMA: Via analyses by @urbaninstitute and Center for @amprog (latter of which I co-wrote w/@EmilyG_DC & @NicoleRapfogel), if the #ACA is struck down, 186,000 AL residents would lose coverage & the state would lose at least $1.15 BILLION in federal funding per year.

⚠️ NOTE: The *coverage* losses have been updated for the #COVID19 era; the loss in *federal funding* is from last year. Assuming the increase in lost funding is proportional to the increase in coverage losses, you'd have to tack on another 30% for Alabama. This % varies by state.

ALASKA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 75,000 Alaskans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state would lose at least $540 million in federal funding per year.

ARIZONA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 363,000 Arizonans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state would lose at least $2.12 BILLION in federal funding per year.

ARKANSAS: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 329,000 Arkansans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state would lose at least $440 million in federal funding per year.

Before I get too far into this, here's the links/sources:

First, the March 2019 @urbaninstitute analysis (state level): urban.org/research/publi…

Next, the July 2019 @amprog Congressional District-level breakout:
americanprogress.org/issues/healthc…

Finally, the June 2020 #COVID19-era updated analysis by @amprog:
americanprogress.org/issues/healthc…

OK, back to it:

CALIFORNIA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 4.2 MILLION Californians are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state would lose at least $22.4 BILLION in federal funding per year.

COLORADO: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 470,000 Coloradans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state would lose at least $2.8 BILLION in federal funding per year.

CONNECTICUT: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 262,000 Nutmeggers are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state would lose at least $1.85 BILLION in federal funding per year.

DELAWARE: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 38,000 Delawareans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state would lose at least $302 million in federal funding per year.

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 42,000 District residents are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state would lose at least $281 million in federal funding per year.

FLORIDA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 1.75 MILLION Floridians are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state would lose at least $9.34 BILLION in federal funding per year.

Sorry, Buddy break...

GEORGIA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 552,000 Georgians are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the states is projected to lose at least $2.3 BILLION in federal funding per year.

HAWAII: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 31,000 Hawaiians are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the states is projected to lose at least $306 million in federal funding per year.

IDAHO: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 99,000 Idahoans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $595 million in federal funding per year.

ILLINOIS: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 736,000 Illinoisans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $3 BILLION in federal funding per year.

INDIANA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 564,000 Indianans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $3 BILLION in federal funding per year.

IOWA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 227,000 Iowans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $1.4 BILLION in federal funding per year.

KANSAS: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 94,000 Kansans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $545 million in federal funding per year.

KENTUCKY: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 427,000 Kentuckians are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $4.1 BILLION in federal funding per year.

LOUISIANA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 538,000 Louisianans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $3.6 BILLION in federal funding per year.

MAINE: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 98,000 Mainers are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $496 million in federal funding per year.

MARYLAND: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 414,000 Marylanders are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $2.9 BILLION in federal funding per year.

MASSACHUSETTS: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 192,000 Baystaters are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $1.7 BILLION in federal funding per year.

MICHIGAN: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 827,000 Michiganders are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $5.2 BILLION in federal funding per year.

MINNESOTA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 337,000 Minnesotans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $1.8 BILLION in federal funding per year.

MISSISSIPPI: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 123,000 Missippians are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $717 million in federal funding per year.

MISSOURI: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 230,000 Missourians are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $1.16 BILLION in federal funding per year.

MONTANA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 125,000 Montanans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $1.1 BILLION in federal funding per year.

NEBRASKA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 75,000 Nebraskans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $774 million in federal funding per year.

NEVADA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 311,000 Nevadans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $1.17 BILLION in federal funding per year.

NEW HAMPSHIRE: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 105,000 New Hampshirites (?) are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $365 million in federal funding per year.

NEW JERSEY: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 686,000 New Jerseyans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $2.7 BILLION in federal funding per year.

NEW MEXICO: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 245,000 New Mexicans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $2.2 BILLION in federal funding per year.

NEW YORK: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 828,000 New Yorkers are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $10.2 BILLION in federal funding per year.

NORTH CAROLINA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 607,000 North Carolinians are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $4.6 BILLION in federal funding per year.

NORTH DAKOTA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 35,000 North Dakotans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $179 million in federal funding per year.

OHIO: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 863,000 Ohioans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $4.4 BILLION in federal funding per year.

OKLAHOMA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 180,000 Oklahomans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $1.2 BILLION in federal funding per year.

OREGON: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 418,000 Oregonians are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $2.6 BILLION in federal funding per year.

PENNSYLVANIA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 996,000 Pennsylvanians are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $5.1 BILLION in federal funding per year.

RHODE ISLAND: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 79,000 Rhode Islanders are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $509 million in federal funding per year.

SOUTH CAROLINA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 288,000 South Carolinians are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $1.7 BILLION in federal funding per year.

SOUTH DAKOTA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 22,000 South Dakotans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $200 million in federal funding per year.

TENNESSEE: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 232,000 Tennesseans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $1.6 BILLIOn in federal funding per year.

TEXAS: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 1.96 MILLION Texans are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $6.5 BILLION in federal funding per year.

UTAH: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 143,000 Utahns are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $991 million in federal funding per year.

VERMONT: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 21,000 Vermonters are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $170 million in federal funding per year.

VIRGINIA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 741,000 Virginia are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $4.7 BILLION in federal funding per year.

WASHINGTON STATE: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 654,000 Washingtonians are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $4.2 BILLION in federal funding per year.

WEST VIRGINIA: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 178,000 West Virginians are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $1.0 BILLION in federal funding per year

WISCONSIN: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 224,000 Wisconsinites are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $1.0 BILLION in federal funding per year

WYOMING: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 18,000 Wyomingites are projected to lose healthcare coverage and the state is projected to lose at least $243 million in federal funding per year.

📣 TOTAL, NATIONALLY: If the #ACA is struck down, at least 23 MILLION Americans are projected to lose healthcare coverage (~16 million Medicaid, ~7 million subsidized ACA private exchange plan enrollees), and the states would collectively lose at least $135 BILLION per year.

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