Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Climate, Conflict, Politics, Africa. Editor https://t.co/b6HbxvmnsV (NZ) Reporting from France. https://t.co/LNVK0y9IS7 #nzpol #DesertRain

May 7, 2021, 6 tweets

The British Isles is about to receive a diluvial rain event.

@ECMWF latest 48 hour model from midnight Thursday to Midnight Saturday.

#Ireland and #UK #Deluge

48 hour rain totals from: ICONEU, ECMWF, GFS & HIRLAM Models.

This is the cause - an Atlantic plume of precipitable water crossing the British Isles.

From latest @ECMWF 9km model.

And this is the result. Accumulated rain accretion over the period through to Monday in inches.

A low pressure system arrives during all this rain from this evening. This animation shows winds at 1500 meters.

And here's an animation of forecast wind gusts... which also looks rather unfriendly towards late spring picnics.

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