Nathan Grubaugh Profile picture
Associate Professor @YaleEMD / @YaleSPH. Studies 🦟🦠 transmission, evolution, and emergence. PI of @covidCT 🧬. Will sequence for 🍺.

Jun 11, 2021, 8 tweets

🧬6/10 Connecticut #SARSCoV2 variant surveillance
@CovidCT | @jacksonlab | @CTDPH | @YaleSPH | @Yalemed | @YNHH

Alpha (B.1.1.7) = 57% (πŸ“‰11%)
Gamma (P.1) = 10.9% (πŸ“ˆ2.7%)
Delta (B.1.617.2) = 6.5% (πŸ“ˆ3.2%)

short 🧡 | Report πŸ‘‰
covidtrackerct.com/variant-survei…

2/7 Gamma (P.1) and Delta (B.1.617.2) continue rising in Connecticut, while Alpha (B.1.1.7) and others decline, following national trends (see next tweet).

3/7 Data from outbreak.info shows that in the US πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, Delta (B.1.617.2) is πŸ“ˆ exponentially, while Alpha (B.1.1.7) is on the πŸ“‰. Despite this, COVID-19 cases are still dropping (for now).

4/7 Compare this to the UK πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§, where Delta (B.1.617.2) is dominant and Alpha (B.1.1.7) is approaching (but probably wont reach) extinction. And this is being following by a recent πŸ“ˆ in cases.

5/7 What will happen in CT and the πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ? Delta will likely become dominant. The πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ and πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ have quite similar πŸ’‰ rates, so we may even see an πŸ“ˆ in cases like the πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§. But full vaxx can still be effective against Delta, so I'm guessing that it would be a large '🌊'.
(data from NYT)

6/7 How we prevent Delta (and other variants) from causing another 🌊 is pretty simple. Get vaccinated πŸ’‰.

7/7 This week I'd like to thank Kaya Bilguvar and our partners at YCGA who stood up COVIDseq and significantly increased our capacity. The entire team has been amazing to work with, and we could not have done this πŸ‘‡ without them πŸ‘πŸ™Œ
medicine.yale.edu/keck/ycga/

**would NOT be a large wave. ugh.

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