Chase W. Nelson|倪誠志 Profile picture
Scientist @theNCI @NIH @AMNH @TaiwanGoldCard | Bioinformatics, cancer, evolution, viruses | Into coffee, lifting, reading, singing | Views my own | he/他

Jun 16, 2021, 5 tweets

TODAY’S (6月16日) #COVID19 update for #Taiwan 🇹🇼
📈167 local + 3 imported cases 📉trend
📈18 deaths 📉trend
📉0.5% test positive rate
📈3.7% case fatality rate (CFR) since May 1
🧪34k tests 📉capacity
💡Dropping test numbers hopefully temporary due to weekend and holiday. 1/5

DAILY CASES REPORTED (pink bars) and their 7-DAY AVERAGE (pink line), where each day is the mean of itself and the previous six. Reported DEATHS (crimson red bars) are seen at the bottom. For deaths from May 1-June 16:
🔴64% are ≥70
🔴26% are 60-69
🔴10% are 30-59 years old
2/5

AGE DISTRIBUTION OF CASES. Local cases from May 1-June 15 (age data for cases lag by a day), including those with missing locations. Only a single category is provided for ages >70, which constitute 14% of all cases. ➡️data.cdc.gov.tw/en/dataset/ags… 3/5

Our local case fatality rate for May 1-June 15 is 3.7%—higher than the world average of 1-3%. This is at least partly due to a disproportionate number of older cases.
💡For those skeptical of the 3.7%, VP Chen 陳建仁 reports the same number here ➡️facebook.com/chencj/posts/4…
4/5

CASES & DEATHS and their 7-DAY AVERAGE BY AGE for May 1-June 15 (the latest age-matched data available).
💡I am NOT aware of any clinical trials testing the effects or safety of a third vaccine dose (e.g., against the Delta variant), as suggested by some politicians. 5/5

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