TheValuesVoter (Also on Threads and BlueSky) Profile picture
Love God and Human Life at all stages, Pro-life. Anti-racist. Fact Checker. List Maker. Unless it aligns with God’s Word or data, don’t believe it. #TrumpLost

Jul 10, 2021, 16 tweets

I am reposting my series on facts about the 2020 Election, which I call the #TrumpLost project. Here's a bunch of facts that show that Donald Trump lost the 2020 election, for anyone who has been listening to Trump's lies and needs to be reassured that he lost.

If Trump had somehow managed to win the election, it would have been at odds with a LOT of historical patterns. Presidents as unpopular as Trump don't get re-elected. And when the economy tanks as badly as it did in 2020, the incumbent party doesn't historically win.

Trump may be loved by the #MAGA crowd and those at @CPAC. But he was deeply disliked by moderate voters and he lost the support of Independents. Generally speaking according to historical patterns, this results in losing a Presidential election.

EVERY time in recent decades that the unemployment rate has ticked up between January and October of an election year, as it did last year, the incumbent party has lost. Trump lost.

And every time the Senate has flipped in a Presidential election year, the same party won both.

A lot of Trump supporters got confused at how some states started out red and turned blue (even though they weren't bothered by the states that started out blue and turned red ... strange). It happened both ways. And Trump would have lost by even more if they "stopped counting."

And Trump didn't just do badly in states like Arizona and Georgia in 2020 all of the sudden. These and a bunch of other states saw Trump do worse than the Republican did in the previous election both in 2020 AND in 2016. If you look at a graph of it, it looks like a nosedive.

And so the obvious question is, if people assume that the 2020 election was "rigged," what about the 2016 election, where Trump's margins fell even more harshly in Arizona and Texas compared to 2012 than he fell in 2020 compared to 2016?

Stop listening to people who lie to you.

After the election, a bunch of people pulled out county maps and showed all the counties where Trump won. The problem: a lot of those counties don't have many people.

Here's a map of where most people in America live. And Joe Biden won most of these counties.

Biden also won most of the counties in which most of the population lives in almost all the states that he managed to flip (Wisconsin is a bit different, and is often very close in Presidential elections but Biden won the two counties that are home to a quarter of the population)

NOTE: this is an ongoing project and I am going to keep adding facts to this thread. I’ve got dozens more that I’ve found and I keep finding more.

When you look at the 2020 electoral map, there are a differences between Trump's electoral map and the electoral maps that generally accompany a GOP victory.

No Republican EVER won without winning AZ. And only twice has the GOP won by wining only one Northeastern state.

Some people who doubt the election results think that it's weird that all the states that flipped ended up going for Biden.

But that's completely normal. In all but two elections in the last 50 years, all the states that flipped went in the same direction.

When you take the percentage of the vote that Trump got in any particular state and subtract out the percentage of the vote that Biden got and compare it to Trump v. Clinton in 2016, you'll see that Trump's margins decreased in 43 different states compared to 2016.

Now Trump still won many of these states. But he won them by a slimmer margin than he did in 2016.

In other states, specifically Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, he either barely won them in 2016 or was trending downward there and lost them in 2020.

And in other states, Trump lost both in 2016 and 2020 but lost them by a bigger margin in 2020 than he did in 2016 (for example, Colorado and Virginia).

This happened in 43 states.

And usually when an incumbent President does worse in this many different states, they lose.

Keep checking this thread because I am continuing to add more election facts to it.

Please check the facts for yourself. They're all based on public and easy-to-obtain information.

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