R P Shah Memorial Trust for Kids & Global Health Profile picture
10k Health Care Workers in40 countries collecting info,Epidemiologists,Scientists, #globalpublichealth,#clean air,LongCovidAdvocate Rpshahmemorial1@mstdn.social

Nov 30, 2021, 14 tweets

Long thread - The Nov 29th post & the information is all here below in the link posted and after that will be the updates for today ie 30th November@emilygraymd_mph ,@rubyslippahs,@GANyborg ,please add information that may have been missed @itosettiMD_MBA

Ctd1) A summary of what we know new about the current #Omicron, #OmicronVariant is apparently causing more admissions in children?we need to take precautions & vaccinate kids @PMOIndia ,@MoHFW_INDIA , @OfficeOf_MM ,@PrinSciAdvGoI , @shekhar_mande,@NITIAayog,@nvcmenon

@PMOIndia @MoHFW_INDIA @OfficeOf_MM @PrinSciAdvGoI @shekhar_mande @NITIAayog @nvcmenon Ctd2) vaccines seem to be working to some degree against the #Omicron in preventing deaths and hospitalizations at least to the information that we know now .#GetVaccinated, #OmicronIsAirborne, #Vaccinessavelives,@rubyslippahs

Ctd3) The number of cases which are severe is rising ( see orange Curve on Rt) and the proportion is at 30% , expected to rise further as time passes, so the discussion that#Omicron is milder is not true as per updated information

Ctd4) If you look at % of admissions who turn into severe disease there is not much difference (between 30% -45% ) across age groups, at the end of it the gross numbers will be important & as the elderly are vaxxed kids will dominate the total @emilygraymd_mph,@itosettiMD_MBA

Ctd5)Another of the mistakes many make is that only kids with comorbidities will need to go to hospitals , looking at ctd4 and here it is easy to understand that healthy kids will be needing hospitalizations much more that comorbid ones.@TigressEllie

Ctd6) From the graphs below it is absolutely clear that it is kids who are needing hospitalizations more than adults and elderly and from ctd 5 it is clear that these kids are absolutely healthy kids otherwise @MoHFW_INDIA , @PMOIndia , @narendramodi ,@PrinSciAdvGoI ,@iapindia

Ctd7) For those who say that #Omicron is less dangerous look at what it can cause the 133% increase in deaths has to be read with the negative ie -50% to -75% in other areas essentially a 200% increase in deaths& that is only 2 weeks,going to increase further @emilygraymd_mph

Ctd8)The hiatus between the sudden jump in cases and the last wave is at the max 12 weeks ie 3 months and this short duration confirms the fear about ability to evade #NaturalImmunity by #OmicronVariant #RPSMTrust

Ctd8) That is a huge acceptance of the problem that the #Omicron as we all have been saying repeatedly, there are too many spike protein changes , seemingly it will NOT protect against clinical disease BUT will prevent deaths and hospitalizations, though that may take a hit .

Ctd 9) 4 times increase of cases in a week that would cripple hospitals and O2 delivery systems @PMOIndia, @narendramodi ,@mansukhmandviya , @OfficeOf_MM, @AmitShahOffice ,@BhallaAjay26 ,@PrinSciAdvGoI,@shekhar_mande ,@TOIIndiaNews ,@nvcmenon

Ctd10) Countries need time to stockpile Molnupiravir, that can happen if we slow down spread

Ctd10) the time between 2 doses of AZ should be reduced from 16 weeks to 8-12 weeks duration.

Ctd11) The Netherlands confirm that they had the #Omicron in samples from 19th .The official SA reports came on 24th .rivm.nl/en/news/omicro…

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