Nirav D. Shah Profile picture
Principal Deputy Director, @CDCgov. Former Director, @MEPublicHealth. Personal account; opinions are my own. I may call out Tweets that are not factual.

Dec 23, 2021, 10 tweets

1/It's time to review recent data around #COVID19 outcomes by vaccination status.

Let's start with the risk of testing positive for #COVID19. Nationwide, an unvaccinated person has a 5X higher risk of testing positive for COVID.

covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…

2/Here are those data broken out by age group. Every fully vaccinated age group has a lower risk than every unvaccinated group.

3/The impact of vaccination on risk of death from #COVID19 is even more stark.

In October, an unvaccinated person had a 14X higher risk of dying from COVID19 compared to a fully vaccinated person.

4/In terms of risk of death by age, a fully vaccinated 80+ y/o has roughly the same risk of death from #COVID19 as an unvaccinated 50-64 year old.

Same with a fully vaccinated 65-79 y/o and an unvaccinated 30-49 y/o.

5/What role do boosters play?

In Oct, an unvaccinated person had a 10X higher risk of testing positive for COVID compared to a boosted person.

6/The impact of boosters on death rates is even more striking.

In Oct, an unvaccinated person had a 20X lower risk of dying from #COVID19 compared to a fully vaccinated person with an additional/booster dose.

Not many medical interventions can achieve that.

7/Let's look at hospitalization by vaccine status.

For adults, the cumulative #COVID19 associated hospitalization rate was about 8X higher in unvaccinated persons (blue line) compared with vaccinated ones (green line).

covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…

8/What does all this mean? First, it is continued evidence for the performance of vaccines. Are they 100% effective? No, nothing in medicine is.

Second, are they doing what they were designed to do? Yes, they are keeping people out of the hospital and alive.

9/Third, do boosters matter? Yes, absolutely, especially in light of #Omicron.

Get vaccinated and, if you have, get boosted when eligible.

10/Erratum--tweet #6 of this thread should read:

"In Oct, an unvaccinated person had a 20X *higher* risk of dying from #COVID19 compared to a fully vaccinated person with an additional/booster dose."

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