⚠️BAD TREND—
📌Cases of #COVID19 soaring—across all ages in England 🏴
📌Meanwhile #BA2 is soaring past 50%—across all regions of 🏴 (data even 2 weeks old)
📌Meanwhile, hospital admissions soaring across all 🏴 regions
📌Cases up⬆️ most among kids
HT @VictimOfMaths
2) Hospital admissions for COVID in England 🏴 have soared 21% compared to last week. These are 7 day averages so they aren’t just random flukes.
3) #BA2 is not mild among unvaccinated and under-vaccinated populations. In Hong Kong 🇭🇰 where BA2 is very dominant, hospitals and morgues are overflowing. Hong Kong has never had a surge of this kind before - not until #BA2 showed up
4) Meanwhile, the US is still behind Europe and Asia on #BA2, but it is very much indeed steadily rising in proportion. Late April or May is what I’m concerned about. See thread 🧵 👇
5) How #BA2 started… how it’s going… and where can it go in 1-2 months? Let’s not screw around.
6) The @WHO is right - too many countries are also winding down their testing — which hides total cases and disease burden. It’s horrible.
7) Let’s this graph of 🏴 hospitalizations 🏥 of kids age 0-5 years sink in—it’s spiking. The worst figure of the last month. Cases in young kids also rising in England faster than adults.
HT @Antonio_Caramia
8) We know this #BA2 surge is also because of immunity waning as well. A new report from @ONS shows that 98.4% of the adult population in 🏴 have #COVID19 antibodies week of 2/14/22, Wales (98.3%), N Ireland (98.1%), Scotland (98.3%)—hence we need a **vaccine PLUS strategy** 👀
9) If you don’t think a 39% ⬆️ spike in hospital #COVID19 admissions in kids age 0-5 is a big deal, you need your compassion checked. England surge 👇
Figure by @Antonio_Caramia
10) Another worrisome trend seen in the Palo Alto area of Silicon Valley. Wastewater sewer #SARSCoV2 levels rising. We think based on genetic signature that it’s #BA2 likely. See thread 🧵 why 👇
11) positivity is surging across all parts of UK 🇬🇧— this new #COVID19 surge is very very real.
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