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Price & Time market cycles | Commodity & FX trader Passed all three levels of the CFA Program "Μηδείς αγεωμέτρητος εισίτω"

Jul 7, 2022, 16 tweets

#Gold #Silver #Commodities #Cycles #MarketTiming
I've studied every major price swing in gold & I have observed that [among other mkt conditions]:
▪️ gold follows cycles that expand/contract geometrically
▪️ the 1869 panic has played a key role
▪️ price & time are interchangeable

In this thread, we will discuss the last concept. Often, a significant PRICE (low, high, price range) will repeat in the future in the form of TIME (days, weeks, months) at a major turning point (vice versa). This not TA. It is a lost art.

The charts show the spot market, but the prices & dates are based on the December continuous futures contract. For illustrative purposes, the 1869 gold panic has also been 'shown' in the charts. Selected examples are presented below.

𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #1 - 𝐆𝐨𝐥𝐝 𝐦𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐢𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐦𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐡𝐥𝐲 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭
The red vertical lines show the price range between certain major turning points. Functions of these price cycles keep repeating.

𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #2 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 2008 𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡
Unbelievable price & time symmetry 28 years after the 1980 major high! The high was 1909 (~1907) weeks from the 1971 low. This time cycle (1907) showed up a few times, a sign that it would show up as a key price point (see the 2011 high).

𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #3 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 2008 𝐋𝐨𝐰
Gold squared precisely the 2006 high (price became time). 144 is a key WD Gann number. The time cycle of '1047' showed up a few times, a sign that we should be alert for it to show up in price. The MAJOR low in gold (2015) came exactly at $1047!

𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #4 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 2015 𝐋𝐨𝐰
Price range (1971-2011) = $1872
Time (1980 - 2015) = 1872 weeks!
Time (2008-2011) = 1047 days
Low (2015) = $1047!
Price range (2006 -2012 high*) = $1047
*start of the 5-yr bear mkt
** 860 to show up...

𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #5 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 2020 𝐀𝐓𝐇
Price range (1971-2011 ATH) = $1872
Time (1869 - 2020 ATH) 1872 months!
Time (1999 low - 2020 ATH) = 7653 days*
*a deviation of only 13 days (not months ~8YCL)
** I called this top 8 months in advance (13d off)

𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #6 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 March 2021 𝐋𝐨𝐰

𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #7 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐀𝐮𝐠 9 2021 𝐋𝐨𝐰

𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #8 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐌𝐚𝐲 16 2022 𝐋𝐨𝐰

𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #9 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 2011 (𝐀𝐓𝐇)

𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #10 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 2013 (𝐋𝐨𝐰)
PRICE ranges between major turning points (1971,1999,2011 etc) repeat in the future as TIME cycles that expand/contract in a geometric fashio.
*6/7: the 'sacred cut'
** 7/6: its reciprocal

𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #11 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 2016 (𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡)
Notice the perfect square between price & time.
Note> of course at each major turning point there are many other things taking place.

𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #12
Since the onset of gold's bull market in 2015, the largest upswing was the move from the Mar'20 low to the Aug'20 ATH ($631). In the future, functions of this price range may define significant swing highs or lows.

𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #13 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐀𝐮𝐠'2022 𝐡𝐢𝐠𝐡
In our chart #12 analysis we noted the price range from the Mar'2020 low to the ATH ($630) & how we were expecting it to show up as a key time cycle. It came full circle from the 2008 low!

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