J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇺🇦 Profile picture
J'avais pris un nv compte pour me détendre... C'est raté. ex Night Owl - ex consultant - Nowadays cat specialist. Cartes, réflexions & Analyses... parfois.

Aug 30, 2022, 10 tweets

1/ Operational situation update regarding the #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on August 30, 2022.
-minor changes on the front line-
There is an ongoing major operations in the initiative of Ukr in #Kerson & Ru are certainly on their way to control #Kodema
#UkraineMap #CarteUkraine

2/ More infos from Gen staff last report ;

3/ "RU are trying to establish control over the settlement of #Kodema from several directions at the same time, fighting continues." which means 2 things in gen staff own language : sometimes "only" that, with 24h delay OR it means "ok, bad, we are close to the end/place taken.."

4/ Problem here.. is we had very serious infos, that PMC WagnerOrcs, were already in the city for the last 48 hours and today claims they have it (not so fast though! as Russians on their sides, always "anticipate" 24h-48h.. and that's the reason why sometimes there is this very

5/ "stupid dance" between both sides in terms of infos, as Ukr can push them back like they did in #Pisky for 200 days!
here is the "proof" that we had from Wagner 48h/24h ago and it's quite undeniable :
but as i explained several time i don't "run" after the breaking news/maps

6/ #Kodema is actually a very small village, south of #Bakhmut , and Russian could size it. there is no doubt about that as they took others villages around. and it might open other "opportunities" for them to take #Zaitseve next for example.
but that would be the "easy part".

7/ So even if they sizes that village they will have then go over a totally different natural "barrier" and you can zoom in to look into the natural high ground (iso line.. 150m diff from East to West of the river -blue striped-) & an example for people who struggle to "see it"

8/ So basically you have this Topo Map 3D in color if you want to fully grasp the terrain & high grounds, and what"s next for Russian to go at.
(i'll make an entire small thread about all this when i can)

So just more weeks for Ru to die painfully... ahead.. #UkraineMap

9/ and this my "quick & dirty" map of the main area around #Kherson.
the yellow line would be the new FEBA line there today.
but don't quote me on that one😂😅
Also don't be fooled if some people claim to know with fancy map or references. nothing is certain there right now...

10/

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