Thread by @tomiahonen

On Kerch Bridge aka #CrimeanBridge

We do not know how it was hit. We will find out eventually. It is not in Ukraine's interest to let Russia know how they did it, and makes sense to keep Putin guessing

Let me show you 5 plausible ways it might have happened
#RussiaIsLosing

When you look at this video of the truck, it would support view, that the TRUCK itself exploded. It would then have been carrying a full load of explosives. Could have been a suicide mission. If so, heroic sacrifice. I hope no partisan had to die for this

Variation of that 'truck explosion' is not suicide mission but a remote detonation. The explosives needed to break this bridge, sitting on a steel truckbed 1 meter (3 feet) above the road surface, make me doubt it was the method. Unlikely but certainly plausible

Third method would be explosives set to the bridge by commandos. Likely arrived by boat or submarine & climbed on (both) bridges. This would be very risky operation, because this bridge is highly guarded incl continuous video surveillance

Fourth method, long range variant of HIMARS type of MLRS rockets. They were already demonstrated in the destruction of bridges at Kherson. These missiles do not need daytime to strike with precision. Ukraine is believed to have had the range to reach this bridge for over 2 months

Fifth way would be undetectable drones like Bayraktar, perhaps larger to carry the munitions big enough to destroy a bridge at one hit, and with night vision. So imagine say pair of Predator class drones

That they timed it to also hit the train, suggests it was steered by humans

I can imagine other ways too, but these 5 are most likely. Putin loved this bridge. He wanted it defended. Russia tried to claim it cannot be destroyed. Ukraine showed they can destroy this bridge at will. Ukraine selected Putin's birthday to strike his bridge
#SlavaUkraini