1. Otto Wels 23/3/1933
1933 ended German democracy. Our choice: let (1) "Live with SARS" policy remove democracy; or (2) "Live without SARS" through international cooperation, restoring a liberal IS.
Wels, SPD chairman 1919-1939, succeeded Friedrich Ebert (🙋♂️@FESonline alumnus)
@FESonline 2. "How can SARS end democracy?"
Welcome to reality. This is no game. As @RealCheckMarker says, life expectancy is lagged. Policy will change thanks to our work, but IF it doesn't, LE will fall below 65 years. Read AIDS history/medicine, a close analogue.
@FESonline @RealCheckMarker 3. If the data is correct: How did SA life expectancy fall 4 yrs in two yrs, and faster than at the height of the AIDS epidemic? Only 1995-2012 levels were lower.
Feel free to share your knowledge, everyone. It's no spectator sport, and twitter's purpose.
@FESonline @RealCheckMarker 4. I share this graph to help westerners imagine how fast their children's life expectancy will drop in "Living with COVID" world. You can't repeatedly infect them with SARS-CoV and expect long lives.
#LongCovid and HIV share chronic systemic immune activation, i.e. lymphopenia.
@FESonline @RealCheckMarker Good article, thanks @pauladepoju.
Links: ourworldindata.org/grapher/life-e…
merckmanuals.com/professional/h…
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HIV/AIDS_…
devex.com/news/over-6-5-…
@FESonline @RealCheckMarker @pauladepoju 5. Good question. Does LE of 65 years mean 'mass death'? I'm no teacher, but quick note so people can read deeper. (1) Period life expectancy is a picture of the population you shoot at one moment in time. (2) Intro and stata code: publichealth.columbia.edu/research/popul…
@FESonline @RealCheckMarker @pauladepoju 6. Here the big question. This thread is from 2020, no replies or active work on solutions since. After the Omicron era 2021-2022 now starts the XBB era, soon to be named Pi era. I'm told it will last from 2023-3.141592, until we end it, just as SARS 2003.
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