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Paul Maidowski Profile picture
@_ppmv
Mar 23, 2023 • 7 tweets • 9 min read • Read on X
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1. Otto Wels 23/3/1933

1933 ended German democracy. Our choice: let (1) "Live with SARS" policy remove democracy; or (2) "Live without SARS" through international cooperation, restoring a liberal IS.

Wels, SPD chairman 1919-1939, succeeded Friedrich Ebert (🙋‍♂️@FESonline alumnus)
@FESonline 2. "How can SARS end democracy?"

Welcome to reality. This is no game. As @RealCheckMarker says, life expectancy is lagged. Policy will change thanks to our work, but IF it doesn't, LE will fall below 65 years. Read AIDS history/medicine, a close analogue.
@FESonline @RealCheckMarker 3. If the data is correct: How did SA life expectancy fall 4 yrs in two yrs, and faster than at the height of the AIDS epidemic? Only 1995-2012 levels were lower.

Feel free to share your knowledge, everyone. It's no spectator sport, and twitter's purpose.
@FESonline @RealCheckMarker 4. I share this graph to help westerners imagine how fast their children's life expectancy will drop in "Living with COVID" world. You can't repeatedly infect them with SARS-CoV and expect long lives.

#LongCovid and HIV share chronic systemic immune activation, i.e. lymphopenia.
@FESonline @RealCheckMarker Good article, thanks @pauladepoju.

Links: ourworldindata.org/grapher/life-e…
merckmanuals.com/professional/h…
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HIV/AIDS_…
devex.com/news/over-6-5-…
@FESonline @RealCheckMarker @pauladepoju 5. Good question. Does LE of 65 years mean 'mass death'? I'm no teacher, but quick note so people can read deeper. (1) Period life expectancy is a picture of the population you shoot at one moment in time. (2) Intro and stata code: publichealth.columbia.edu/research/popul…
@FESonline @RealCheckMarker @pauladepoju 6. Here the big question. This thread is from 2020, no replies or active work on solutions since. After the Omicron era 2021-2022 now starts the XBB era, soon to be named Pi era. I'm told it will last from 2023-3.141592, until we end it, just as SARS 2003.

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More from @_ppmv

Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Sep 20
1. The structural parallels of SARS-CoV-2 and HIV-1 were known already 20 years ago, from SARS-CoV-1. Yet COVID-19 policy and even most scientists ignore these parallels, failing to learn key lessons. Fundamentally, genetic recombination drives both pandemics—two typical articles

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2. Don't worry about the specific article—there are hundreds more, and more relevant ones. The lesson here is we face syndemics, overlapping epidemics that cluster with inequity, not just distinct pandemics. All reinforce each other
link.springer.com/article/10.118…
frontiersin.org/journals/micro…
3. Background. There are literally thousands such articles; no one integrates them. That's why as political scientist, for years already, I've been arguing that only institutionalization can help with such complexity. We need a @UNAIDS for SARS-CoV, sorry
Read 29 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Aug 30
1. Growing bamboo is our best chance to avert climate breakdown: the plants build soil, help biodiversity, avoid GHG emissions, provide food & construction material, sequester carbon 30 times (!) faster than mixed temperate forest. Yet stunningly, no one coordinates this work yet 40 year old moso bamboo in southwestern France grown from seed. Photo Lihua Jiang, www.yunnan-bamboo.com
2. After 40 years of climate science - first AGGG, now IPCC -, everyone feels they know climate. Yet experts only really know their own field. Generalists and practitioners can implement solutions but need experts to develop them. Bamboo as climate solution is entirely unexplored
Two bamboo stands in Zhongshan Expo Park, Taipei
Bamboo species in Tapei botanical garden
3. Last time atmospheric carbon content was as high as today, 16 million years ago, Earth was >3°C warmer than today, the Arctic was ice free, and Iceland had a subtropical climate. People think they know what climate change means, but most really don't. mdpi.com/2673-4834/5/2/…
Read 47 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Aug 21
We’ve shared this for years, it was known or suspected even before the pandemic from SARS-CoV-1. Friends of we’re going to learn at this rate, ignoring prepandemic science, populations worldwide will get into serious trouble
Background. Thanks for outstanding science communications @vipintukur
I'd like to delete my account, but then a sizable fraction of the early Covid twitter scicomm documentation - to show what was known when - would be gone. As far as I know, no one else with even a moderately sized account (>10k followers) shares the same readily available science
Read 5 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Jun 13
“Bamboo is our best chance to slow climate breakdown. It can replace drivers of GHG emissions and biodiversity loss (food, construction, concrete, plastic), build soil & allow regrowing rainforest." - Let's test it. Grow bamboo as blueprint for a future ecological civilization 🧵
Moso bamboo (phyllostachys edulis) seedling grown from seed with tap root
Moso bamboo forest in China, stock photo
2. Giant bamboo dwarfs trees. As grass, it grows 30 times (!) faster and can be harvested every year. Timber takes decades; too slow. Stunningly, no one in the west described the unique climate mitigation potential of bamboo yet. - Note the rhizome system:

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3. Climate relevant will be the use in millions of ha of plantations, just like other economically important crops. After two months on this, some significant progress: air pot kindly donated 1 m of their professional U system, so I can test it for bamboo.
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Read 39 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Jun 4
SARS-CoV-2 reminder: The more immune compromised the population, the less symptoms, the ‘milder’ it appears, the more severe it really is (=Long Covid, long term damage). That’s what even most scientists seem not to get
Thanks for vivid discussion everyone. It really is a fundamentally important point. Since I deleted most references for lack of structure (and frankly, just being fed up repeating the same points for 3 to 4 years), I'll look for new references that must have been published by now
Background
Read 8 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
May 30
1. "Bamboo is our best chance to slow climate breakdown: it sustains societies, can protect soil and store carbon for 100 years in food, construction, bio-concrete and plastic." - Let’s test this. As our very German neighbors renew their English Gardens, we start growing bamboo👇

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2. Three months ago I started on bamboo: no one else in Europe seemed to have systematically analyzed or even considered its global climate mitigation potential when used as agricultural crop rather than natural forests, which do little climate mitigation.
3. A bamboo focus isn't for the coming years. We are at least a decade early. However, since getting started will take decades, now is a good time. In 10 years, atmospheric CO2 will exceed 450 ppm. That's enough to fundamentally transform the Earth system.
Read 6 tweets

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