OGs will often look at #cryptoasset charts in $BTC terms, in addition to $USD terms.
If investing in any ERC-20s, I recommend looking at them in $ETH terms too, $ZRX and $MKR shown below.
$ZRX / $ETH & $MKR / $ETH both in beast mode, showing growing confidence in these projects relative to #Ethereum.
Could also be pricing in of the growing trend of "middleware protocols" looking to operate across multiple base layer chains, de-coupling from original parent chain
While $USD prices may feel relatively static in #crypto right now, there is a lot of underlying movement in the relative accrual of value between different projects. $BTC makes this clear, but it's also showing in other quality projects.
As we get deeper into this #crypto bear market, this shift of value will continue. Also, the projects that gain relative ground now should also be the first to lift when some air comes back into the markets.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
1/ If your friends associate you with Bitcoin, Ethereum, or any part of crypto, you’re probably getting Qs about what to do. It’s tricky to guide someone from where we are currently ($BTC ~$100K), especially if they’re an inexperienced investor. Some learnings from 10+ years of watching this dynamic play out...
2/ Establish that every action they take is their responsibility. You may have more knowledge or experience, but that doesn’t make you infallible. No one knows anything for sure about markets. The only people you know for sure are lying, are those who say they “know for sure.”
3/ Try to give them context on where we are currently in the cycle. To me, we're 2 years into this bull market (bottom in the chart below is Nov/Dec 2022).
From the bottom 2 years ago, $BTC is up > 6x, $ETH is up > 4x, and $SOL is up > 30x.
In the last bear, one of the reasons @placeholdervc focused on @solana was a belief that it would be the normie-chain w/ its speed, low fees & smooth UX. That's playing out with memecoins & more.
But we've been @ethereum supporters since inception, and that hasn't changed... 🧵
This cycle, though @ethereum may lose "normie-share" to @solana (already is), the community should continue leaning into cementing the network @ the center of the Internet Financial System (IFS). The IFS will grow in relevance into the back half of this decade, onboarding even more normies than we currently see.
.@solana & others will come for the IFS too (already are), but @ethereum has a solid foundation as it's over a decade old, with brand awareness 2nd only to #Bitcoin, deep liquidity, and implementations like @base drawing corporate eyes.
People on CT showcase far too "mutually exclusive" an attitude when they approach investing -- perhaps it's a product of how social media rewards sensationalism. First it was either $BTC or $ETH. Now it's either $ETH or $SOL. Next year it will be something different 🧵
Much better imo to build a balanced portfolio where you cut losers when you realize they're losers, but then firmly hold winners and let them compound. Big winners are relatively easy to spot, and best to buy in a bear. Hence why I tell newcomers to start w/ $BTC $ETH & $SOL, and go from there.
Sure, sell some at tops to give yourself cash for bottom-feeding, but don't obsess with perfection, and instead stay generally long the big ecosystems that will keep winning. Ignore short term noise, for which X is notorious -- every ecosystem hits hiccups.
If you've been paying attention, as I know @ZoomerOracle has, you'll notice "shiny new coins" have been shining once again.
Market participants learn a lesson in one market environment, and then try to apply it to all market environments, instead of thinking critically about what works in a bull, versus what works in a bear.
The tragedy in this "momentum learning" is that we go from "bull to bear to bull to bear," and so the lessons of a bull get you rekt in a bear, while the lessons of a bear get you rekt in a bull.
One needs to layer the lessons and think critically.