Kaissar: Every industry gets regulated when it gets big. The question is what kind of regulation Big Tech will get,and whether the companies will be proactive in shaping it.
Kaissar: More profitable companies have higher returns. Why? Maybe it's a risk factor, because more profit = higher risk of getting regulated.
Bershidskyis showing a diagram of GDPR complaince pop-ups. What a massive ill-conceived bureaucratic mess.
Ritholtz: It's 2018 and we're still talking about Facebook privacy settings?! If you're still giving your personal data to Facebook, you just don't care about privacy!
Feldman: But FB can tell everything about you from watching your posts and interactions.
Ovide: Why should we have to choose between not using consumer internet services at all or giving away all of your personal data? Shouldn't there be some middle ground?
Mukherjee: The idea of "notice and consent" is dead. No one reads privacy notices. And many are deceptive.
Mukherjee: 5g is a big change that is going to make privacy harder and more important.
Mukherjee: With 5g, there will multiple people getting video of you all the time. That's qualitatively different from anything that has gone before.
Kaissar: FB's stock value is an exponential function of how much data Facebook users give it. In other words, people aren't getting paid full value for their data.
Kaissar: Social networks' network effects mean individuals are too small to bargain for their own data individually. People need an intermediary to bargain for them.
Ritholtz: I trust Netflix and Google with my data, much more apprehensive about Facebook
Ritholtz: Amazon and Netflix are more trustworthy, and this has been reflected in their stock values. FB stock has struggled because people don't really trust it.
Bershidsky: Google is more vulnerable to antitrust than Amazon because Amazon doesn't have a dominant position in most markets.
Feldman: Has any American monopoly been broken up regulated when people loved that monopoly? No. They only get regulated or broken up when the public is lukewarm or negative on a company.
Ritholtz: Companies become creepy when they misuse your data, with fake news or ads that follow you around.
Kaissar: The business cycle matters for opinions of tech companies. If we have a downturn and Big Tech gets hammered, the (regulatory) situation might change quickly.
Ooh look I can paste a link of the live video into my tweets!!
Questions from the audience: Singapore and other countries can suck away talent from America by being more proactive in their regulation. Will the U.S. lose global tech leadership due to slow, reactive regulation?
The idea is that "regulatory sandboxes" - zones of light regulation - can let an industry develop, giving regulators a much better idea of how to regulate that market.
Anyway, that's a wrap! Hope you all enjoyed this Bloomberg Ideas conference! We'll have another in six months!
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FWIW, I think "culture war concessions" works only at the level of the candidate, not at the level of policy -- when it works at all. Nothing could ever have convinced America that Obama was socially conservative, even though he was and is.
Biden is making all kinds of compromises and concessions on immigration, and no one is recognizing it or caring (except for progressives who notice and get mad).
You saw the same exact pattern with Jimmy Carter. By the end of his presidency he had tacked so far to the Right that progressives primaried him with Ted Kennedy and almost won. But Republicans kept on thinking he was leftism incarnate.
3/Biden got off to a good start, passing a Covid relief bill that included a pioneering Child Tax Credit similar to Canada's successful program, passing an infrastructure bill that repaired roads and did some other good stuff, and passing a semiconductor industry support bill.
1. NYC building styles range from "fairly ugly" to "very ugly", but Americans love them because NYC is our only dense city, so Americans associate those building styles with urban density
2. Star Trek DS9 was neocon. It glorified a morally inspired leader engaging in preemptive war with an enemy who would never see reason and only respected force.
All the usual suspects are jumping all over Lisa Cook's paper from 2014 and pointing out small errors. But Ken Rogoff served on the Fed Board of Governors and I bet you nobody combed over his papers for errors before he was confirmed! And I bet you he made a few.
Econ academia has very little quality control for data errors. When people do comb over papers for mistakes, they generally find them.
We need a Xillennial-Zillennial alliance, of people who are just a little too old for Millennial bullshit and people who just are a little too young for Millennial bullshit.
Anyone who was born 1980-1986 or 1997-2003 is in the Xillennial-Zillennial alliance. We must unite against the people whose brains were broken by coming of age between the Great Recession and Trump.
The people in that middle decade shall be known as the Harry Potter Generation