Here’s a little thought experiment you might like to try... [thread]
Suppose that there’s a disruption to air travel. Let’s not concern ourselves with the cause -- maybe it’s a volcano that erupted, or some coordinated drone activity, or maybe the government finally decides to get serious about avoiding climate breakdown.
At first, you think it’s going to be only a brief disruption. But it drags on, and after a while you realise that you’re not going to be able to fly for the rest of the year.
This is inconvenient. You had plans to fly somewhere sunny for your holidays. Maybe there was a conference you planned to go to. And perhaps you’re thinking you won’t be able to see family that live abroad.
Take a while to consider this, as if it’s really happened. Ask yourself, “How would I cope?”
Go on, take a moment to really imagine yourself in this scenario.
“Maybe I don’t need to go to that conference?”, you might say. “It would save a lot of time and hassle if I didn’t”.
“Maybe I can still go on that holiday, but take the scenic route, by train? Or maybe I should explore some of those places closer to home that I’ve never seen?”
“I could have a video chat with my folks right now. And when I need to see them in person, I can still get there -- it’ll just take a bit longer. I’ll be able to read that novel that’s been sitting on my shelf for the last year”.
Your responses might differ a bit. But you could cope.
Now consider this. Your greatest personal contribution to global warming is likely to be from aviation emissions. So, in this thought experiment you just tried, there was a big positive.
Without meaning to, perhaps, you did the best thing you can to reduce the harmful effects of climate breakdown. (Yes, you could go vegan too -- please do!)
What if you consciously chose not to fly? No one made you. There weren’t any drones or volcanoes that forced your hand. You simply wanted to make a positive contribution to the world, and you decided that you could cope without flying for a while.
Why not try it? Plenty of people already are. Tens of thousands of Swedes have pledged not to fly in 2019. You could do the same.
This poll is one part of a larger research project that @berglund_oscar, @SamuelFinnerty and I are working on about the impact of disruptive protest on public attitudes and policy. bristol.ac.uk/news/2023/july…
The project involves polling, interviews, focus groups & experimental surveys. We’ll have more to report later in the year, but one aspect of the results of the poll that's particularly noteworthy concerns people’s opinion about the punishment of nonviolent disruptive protesters.
The poll was conducted by @YouGov on 19/20 July. Respondents were asked which punishment they thought most appropriate for someone who participated in a nonviolent but disruptive protest such as blocking a road. Options ranged from no punishment to more than 1 year in prison.
The arrest of charity volunteers raises serious questions about the role (& perhaps collusion) of rightwing media, police & politicians in the demonisation of protesters. This thread will report my attempts to piece together what happened & what it means. dailymail.co.uk/news/royals/ar…
The story starts with the Mail on Sunday, which ran a front page story on 23 April warning its readers about a a "vile plot" by "extremists" to use rape alarms to scare horses on Coronation Day. "Senior security sources" worried it could cause "serious injuries or even deaths".
The article initially attributes the plot to "Militant protesters". It then mentions organisers' fear of disruption by Just Stop Oil & reminds readers of other disruptive JSO actions. It also mentions Republic. dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
But although you didn't hear about the tens of thousands of people protesting in London, chances are that you did hear about that one guy who jumped on a #snooker table in Sheffield.
None of this remotely surprising. It's yet another example of the #ActivistsDilemma in action.
When non-activists criticise groups like JSO for engaging in disruptive protest it's common for them to say they don't mind protest if it's done in a way that doesn't affect people going about their business. That's what activists have been doing this weekend. It doesn't work.
I don't want to write a long thread on this, but I do feel compelled to point out a pretty fundamental problem with this survey. Michael Mann is a great climate scientist, but psychology is clearly not his field of expertise.
In this survey he asked participants whether disruptive actions decrease or increase their support for efforts to address climate change (or have no effect).
Questions like this are asking people to introspect - to examine the inner workings of their own minds. That's a problem, because we don't have access to those inner workings. You might as well ask people to introspect on how they recognise faces or how their lungs work.
I was one of the XR scientists arrested yesterday. I'll say more about that in due course but more urgently, one of us - Emma, who was on the front page of the @Guardian today - has not been released. The UK govt is making scientists into political prisoners. @damiengayle
I'm told that Emma is now protesting her continued imprisonment by refusing to eat or drink.
By way of context, IPCC scientists say "it's now or never" to turn the emissions curve downward. When will this government start taking climate science seriously?
Thanks so much to all those asking how they can help Emma. There will be a vigil outside Charing Cross police station tomorrow morning. I'm not exactly sure what time but will post it when I find out. Sadly I won't be able to attend as I'm now banned from London (yes, really).