1/OK let's go through this @davidfrum article on immigration piece by piece.

Much of it is going to be totally wrong, but I want to give it its due...

theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…
2/Frum starts with the good old Europe Bait-n-Switch.

He references an anti-immigration backlash in Europe as reason why immigration is dangerous. We're supposed to just assume America is like Europe.
3/But of course the real thesis here is that Trump's election in 2016 was actually a referendum on immigration, so we need to bow to the Will of The People and cut immigration. Even though popular support for immigration is at all-time highs.
4/Next comes nostalgia for a time that the left was anti-immigration (because I'm sure Frum is in favor of everything that Bernie Sanders was ever in favor of, right?):
5/Frum then points out that the Scary Scary Caravan was, in fact, a real thing.

He assumes that this means it really was Very Scary.
6/Of course, it wasn't scary, but whatever, right?

7/Frum DOES get something right when he notes that rising living standards in poor countries are partly responsible for increased migration pressure. This is something few people realize.

Migration pressure roughly tends to peak when a country reaches around $7000-$9000/person.
8/Frum notes that it's "the best-educated who yearn to leave" developing countries.

Is this supposed to scare us??!

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More from @Noahpinion

Feb 21
FWIW, I think "culture war concessions" works only at the level of the candidate, not at the level of policy -- when it works at all. Nothing could ever have convinced America that Obama was socially conservative, even though he was and is.
Biden is making all kinds of compromises and concessions on immigration, and no one is recognizing it or caring (except for progressives who notice and get mad).
You saw the same exact pattern with Jimmy Carter. By the end of his presidency he had tacked so far to the Right that progressives primaried him with Ted Kennedy and almost won. But Republicans kept on thinking he was leftism incarnate.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 20
1/Let's talk about Bidenomics.

Politically, Biden's agenda has stalled. But it's still what America needs, so don't expect the basic ideas to go away.

noahpinion.substack.com/p/the-rejectio…
2/I think of Bidenomics as being composed of three basic elements:

1. Investment (both government and private)

2. Cash benefits

3. Care jobs

noahpinion.substack.com/p/bidenomics-e…
3/Biden got off to a good start, passing a Covid relief bill that included a pioneering Child Tax Credit similar to Canada's successful program, passing an infrastructure bill that repaired roads and did some other good stuff, and passing a semiconductor industry support bill.
Read 23 tweets
Feb 17
OK, let's do this. 10 likes = 1 hot take.

(Used to be 1 like = 1 hot take, but...inflation)
1. NYC building styles range from "fairly ugly" to "very ugly", but Americans love them because NYC is our only dense city, so Americans associate those building styles with urban density
2. Star Trek DS9 was neocon. It glorified a morally inspired leader engaging in preemptive war with an enemy who would never see reason and only respected force.
Read 90 tweets
Feb 17
All the usual suspects are jumping all over Lisa Cook's paper from 2014 and pointing out small errors. But Ken Rogoff served on the Fed Board of Governors and I bet you nobody combed over his papers for errors before he was confirmed! And I bet you he made a few.
Econ academia has very little quality control for data errors. When people do comb over papers for mistakes, they generally find them.

newyorker.com/news/john-cass…
Remember that result about abortion and crime that launched the entire multimillion-dollar Freakonomics empire and made Steve Levitt famous?

Some folks found one coding error that killed the whole result.

bostonfed.org/publications/r…
Read 11 tweets
Feb 16
We need a Xillennial-Zillennial alliance, of people who are just a little too old for Millennial bullshit and people who just are a little too young for Millennial bullshit.
Anyone who was born 1980-1986 or 1997-2003 is in the Xillennial-Zillennial alliance. We must unite against the people whose brains were broken by coming of age between the Great Recession and Trump.
The people in that middle decade shall be known as the Harry Potter Generation
Read 4 tweets
Feb 16
This is very wrong. 84% of working-age men have a job in America.
And 88% are either employed are looking for work.
The Yahoo article got its number wrong and needs to issue a correction.
Read 4 tweets

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