A dozen thoughts.....Thread
Headline Keynesian economists continue to claim that MMT is just Functional Finance (FF), which is just old-guard Keynesianism. Nothing to see here folks, move along. But here's the thing... 1/12
Functional Finance came from Abba Lerner. And Abba definitely saw his project as a novel and significant departure from what his Keynesian brethren were up to. Take this passage, from the opening paragraphs of his Functional Finance paper. 2/12 modernmoneynetwork.org/sites/default/…
He is saying that there are "publicly minded men" (you know who the modern versions are) who will agree that deficit spending can be used to target high levels of output and employment, but that these same men have failed to see (or accept) the full implications of FF. 3/12
Who were these men? Next paragraph...Keynes and the popularized version of Keynes (Hicks-Hansen, i.e. the IS-LM guys). Lerner thought these guys played it safe, embracing the use of fiscal policy to get out of the slump.... 4/12
..but getting weak-kneed and apologetic when it came to embracing the permanent use of deficit spending to maintain prosperity. So you get Keynes saying, e.g. "the boom, not the slump, is the right time for austerity." That is *not* FF, and that is *not* MMT. 5/12
Lerner believed these "publicly minded men" were too timid and that their timidity was preventing a fuller expression of Functional Finance from elevating the social condition. Lerner set out to debunk all of the myths about debt and deficits. 6/12
Keynes understood that his narrative was different and more timid. It was the safer, more respectable, play. Although Keynes is reported to have eventually come around.... 7/12
..his initial reaction to FF was, "heaven help anyone who tries [to] put it across to the plain man at this stage of the evolution of our ideas." 8/12 hetwebsite.net/het/profiles/l…
MMT follows Lerner in that we have rejected compromises in the name of trying to deliver (to the public) a palatable story about the limits of deficit spending. We agree w/Abba that the ideas should be posed in their purest (most honest) form. 9/12
As Lerner wrote in 1943, "it is these compromises that are under fire." I would argue that we have come full circle. MMT presents the challenge to conventional narratives that have compromised truth for elegance. A compromise that limits our possibilities. 10/12
I doubt very much the "other side" can't see that. MMT fills a void. People are reaching for it precisely because the dominant framework doesn't accommodate the scale of challenge we face. 11/12
Remember, the opening sentence of Lerner's 1943 essay was about winning the war and eliminating economic insecurity. MMT is increasingly seen as an indispensable economic framework in the battle against climate change and inequality. 12/end
Addendum: Although I've said it a thousand times, MMT ≠ Functional Finance, although we incorporate insights, especially around the use of taxes and bond sales in coordination with spending.
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Ezra's piece is worth reading, though his description of MMT is puzzling. MMT is not about gov being able to spend what it wants b/c it can "print money to pay its debts." What MMT is actually about is, well, the substance of what @ezraklein calls "supply-side progressivism". 1/
As @M_C_Klein put it, The Deficit Myth "is ultimately a plea to use permanent wartime mobilization for civilian ends." 2/ barrons.com/articles/the-c…
In my book, I introduced the concept of "mission-oriented budgeting". The idea is to *start with where you want to end up* and then work backwards to show how you're actually going to get there. As Alec Stapp (quoted in Ezra's piece) put it, focus on "the ends of production." 3/
“Where is the [Social Security] crisis? Just over the horizon…the promises that are being made to those now working cannot be honored.” nytimes.com/1996/10/20/boo…
“I’m terrified about what will happen to interest rates once financial markets wake up to the implications of skyrocketing budget deficits.” nytimes.com/2003/03/11/opi…
“The only question now is when foreign investors, who have financed our deficits so far, will decide to pull the plug.” nytimes.com/2005/03/04/opi…
"I'll bet that Paul Krugman has not read Isabella Weber's magisterial history, How China Escaped Shock Therapy, recommended by Adam Tooze in Foreign Policy, by Martin Wolf in the Financial Times, and by yours truly in Project Syndicate, among many other plaudits and prizes...
If he had, Krugman might be aware that Professor Weber knows a great deal about price controls and their role in a larger policy setting. And not only in China, but also in the US, which Chinese reformers studied closely in coming to their decisions...
Let’s play the “pay for” game. Suppose you want to spend $3-$10 trillion on a Build Back Better agenda. You’ve decided that you’re going to play the “pay for” game, which means you will show where every dollar you plan to spend is going to “come from.” 1/
The whole point is to appear “fiscally responsible,” showing that you can carry out your spending without adding to the deficit. In other words, for every dollar you want to spend INTO the economy, you have a plan to rip a dollar OUT of someone’s hands. 2/
The Biden administration has put forward their plan, which mostly relies on raising taxes on corporations. The president says it will raise more revenue (over 15 yrs) than he is proposing to spend (over 8 yrs). Don’t ask me why. 3/
Yesterday, @jasonfurman tweeted out my NYT piece on the Biden infrastructure proposal. He claimed I had ignored the most obvious way to deal with any inflationary pressures that might arise—i.e. Fed rate hikes. 1/ nytimes.com/2021/04/07/opi…
I don’t share Jason’s view that fiscal policy can safely ignore inflation risk since the Fed can always handle any resulting inflation. Congress should not ignore inflation risk when contemplating a multi trillion-dollar spending package. That’s just irresponsible. 2/
I also don’t share the the view that the Fed can easily keep inflation in check via rate hates. I think it’s complicated and not settled science that rate hikes will temper inflationary pressures by dampening aggregate expenditures. 3/