Paper by @IanScoones: 'What is Uncertainty and Why Does it Matter?'
- what uncertainty *is*
- what it means for society, politics, culture, practice & individuals; for finance, infrastructure, disease, climate and disasters
- useful methods & approaches
(4 min)
Andy Stirling, introduces different forms of uncertainty (risk, ambiguity, uncertainty and ignorance), and explains why treating all uncertainty as risk can lead to neglecting some important questions.
@IanScoones@SPRU Video: Why embracing uncertainty means rethinking development
(49 min)
Lecture by @IanScoones on the implications of #uncertainty for thinking and practice in international development.
Andy Stirling examines different kinds of uncertainty, how decision making deals with them, and how power affects the way that uncertainty is treated in policy and practice.
Post from the @PASTRES_erc project - how pastoralists on the Tibetan plateau respond to rapid change and uncertainty in environment, markets, institutions and policy.
Ports, pipelines, roads, wind farms and plantations in Africa's drylands are part of a modernist vision led by states & industry. But the reality doesn't always match the vision, as a new book explores.
"A type of ‘growth talk’ emphasises the presumed benefits of outside investment for expanding markets & economic activities in marginal rural areas. Actors in national governments become gatekeepers to foreign investment and are well-positioned to benefit personally from deals."
"The reconfiguration of land ownership and use, while perhaps not as dramatic as earlier ‘land grabbing’ debates feared, has been profound, creating a new politics of land and investment in the pastoral regions..."
“we have a global political economy of deep structural inequality that permits
the angst of publics &policy-makers to set the agenda for how mobilities are understood. This perspective undergirds restrictive regimes of mobility & hardened border controls.” taylorfrancis.com/books/e/978100…
“Although labour markets globally thrive on the circulation of workers, the dominant rhetoric intimates an uncontrolled over-supply of labour, often of the wrong type, which in turn nourishes discursive distinctions between wanted and unwanted migrants...”
“In this language, mobility is associated with risk and uncertainty in countries and regions perceived to be at the receiving end of migra- tory flows, and this discourse sanctions a technocratic approach that seeks to stem the influx of unwanted migrants.”
Is #climate action too attached to the modern idea of 'control'?
In this series of 4 blog posts, Andy Stirling (@SPRU) makes the case for a more 'caring' approach to climate disruption & the democratic struggle towards human flourishing.
1: Is the naming of 'climate change' a dangerous self-defeat? Could the term 'climate disruption' help to point towards the root causes - in industrial modernity - of multiple devastating assaults on Nature?
2. Does the illusion of 'climate control' do more harm than good? What are the pitfalls of an obsession with numbers, deadlines, solutions and predictions to save the climate?
"While risk and uncertainty are often described in technocratic ways that create fear or the feeling of being overwhelmed by complexity, the book offers us a new way to reimagine how society can engage with uncertainty... It could not come at a better time." @MazzucatoM
"This collection integrates leading insights on the diverse, evolving challenges presented by these persistent conditions – a truly unique resource." - Brian Wynne
"There is always the prospect of a new pandemic... In our desperation to be beyond lockdowns, we crave ‘normality’, but the world of zoonotic disease does not allow for stability."
It's 10 years since the UN recognised the right to access safe drinking water & sanitation. But 2.5bn people lack safe water, and 4.5bn have no adequate sanitation. #Covid19 brings these problems into sharp relief.