Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #uncertainty

Most recents (24)

Latest UPDATE on the #TFR (Travel Rule) trilogue:

EU institutions are working to finalise the #TFR text to implement the #travelrule in Europe. Please find below the latest details. The aimed-for deadline for conclusion is still the first week of June.

1/9
Key issues on table:

The provisions introduced by the @Europarl_EN requiring #verification of information for each transfer of assets, the additional requirements applied to transfers to #unhosted wallets and the #blacklist of non-compliant entities.

2/9
In the past weeks, the @EUCouncil has taken onboard the concerns from the blockchain & crypto #industry, as well as those of regulators and competent #authorities (!), that flagged the impracticality and unintended consequences these provisions would have.

3/9
Read 9 tweets
"Like all of us, love is a complex beast: only by embracing it in its entirety do we truly understand it, and ourselves. And this means understanding its evolutionary story, the good and the bad." -- Anna Machin greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2022/05/03/dai…
A viral database is helping desperate Kenyans find fuel - Rest of World
restofworld.org/2022/a-viral-d…
#KenyanStartup, #FuelSupplies, #FuelPrices, #CrowdsourcingData, #OpenSourceDatabase, #IkoWhere
The Great Resignation is becoming a “great midlife crisis” - Vox
vox.com/recode/2304278…
#GreatResignation, #MidlifeCrisis, #EarlyRetirement, #GreatReshuffle, #recession, #inflation
Read 13 tweets
🌍 Our 2022 #Science Board Symposium on "The #Emergent #PoliticalEconomy or #ClimateChange" kicks off with opening remarks from President David Krakauer.

Follow this 🧵 as we provide live coverage of this event all day...
"For those of you who think behavior change can prevent #ClimateChange...behavior WILL change when climate changes. Shutdowns from the pandemic resulted in a reduction of #C02 emissions of about 7.5%."
- SFI/@Harvard Prof Dan Schrag opens our speaker series today
"We *used* to talk about #ClimateChange used to be something that would happen to people in Bangladesh fifty years from now."

Re: #ClimateJustice,
"Children born today are going to deal with climate change they had no role in causing."

- SFI/@Harvard Prof Dan Schrag
Read 56 tweets
@euphoniYum @spriter99880 1/3. There is a #Power called "#Evolution" and the #Survival of the best "#Fit".
To #Unite many #Different views into 1 and giving up one's OWN desires for that of the GROUP, Homo Sapiens Sapiens developed #DNA-caused "#Group #Thinking", to change from #Many views to #ONE.
>>
@euphoniYum @spriter99880 2/3. >>But these #Genetics are #Predictable and can be #Manipulated by the #Few.
Mass-Psychologists, in #Think #Tanks of the ruling class in the West, Oligarchs, developed "#NLP" or "#Neuro-#Linguistic #Programming", known as "Marketing", Brain Washing and yes... Propaganda.
>>
@euphoniYum @spriter99880 3/3. >>Key is the presence of "#Fear", "#Uncertainty" & "#Chaos".
An article about this Geopolitical tool used by the #Empire from #SouthFront, blocked by Twitter.
The URL is in the top of the page. That will work.
scroll👇1st page
SouthFront👉archive.ph/w3sL2👈via Archive
Read 4 tweets
1/n 🧵 ICYMI "Scaling of Hunter-Gatherer Camp Size and Human Sociality"

New paper (@UChicagoPress) led by José Lobo (@ASU) & co-authored by a team incl. SFI's @BettencourtLuis (@miurbanchicago) & Scott Ortman (@CUBoulder), result of an SFI working group:
journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/71… Image
2/n
This new research deploys #ScalingLaw insights to understand the population-density driven transition from temporary hunter-gatherer settlements to permanent sedentary city life.

Image
3/n
Previous research on the impact of densification on the transition into city life has yielded conflicting results, some suggesting that hunter-gatherer groups actually thin out as they scale. (In what ways might this reflect transitions in the scaling of microbial organisms?) Image
Read 15 tweets
Some people believe, #leadership is something that comes later on an #agile #journey. They start with teams first. But this is fundamentally wrong. Leadership should always come first. And, more important, this is not at all limited to you line management!
Because: #leadership is a capability of your organization. Yes, you can measure leadership on and around every single team. You will see or miss it across your teams of line managers.
When your organization is capable of thriving in #uncertainty, there will be leadership at play. And when your organization consciously approaches its culture, it will only work through leadership of the system.
Read 6 tweets
Bitcoin: A Natural Transistor for Computing Universal Value

TE^(X-ME)=-IE

Given #bitcoin's terminal monetary #entropy (ME) is zero and the network rate of adaptation (x) is greater than zero: Image
The Bitcoin network is a lossless dynamic #flow algorithm for computing infinitely reduced informational #uncertainty (-IE). Bitcoin is capable of switching and drawing infinite power into cryptographic signs through the power inequality created by its terminal locality of 0,0.
This infinite gain function generates a systemic power inequality, whereby the reduced informational uncertainty demands increased power flow through the network. This is a positive feedback function in action.
Read 12 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 01/20/2022 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2022/01/20/dai…
The Green Lantern Theory of the Presidency, explained - Vox

vox.com/2014/5/20/5732…

#PresidentialAuthority, #GreenLanternTheory, #LimitsOfPower
Most Reckless Fed Ever: “Real” Federal Funds Rate Now the Most Negative Ever | Wolf Street

wolfstreet.com/2022/01/12/mos…

#FederalFundsRate, #NegativeYield, #CPIInflation
Read 20 tweets
What entropy is not: The very definition of entropy is inconsistent with a #deterministic #world view. This entails difficulties in understanding entropy because our education is based on the deterministic paradigm. Read more: mdpi.com/1099-4300/23/1… Image
What entropy is: According to its standard definition, entropy is precisely the expected value of the minus logarithm of probability #Physics #Math Read more: mdpi.com/1099-4300/23/1… Image
What entropy is: If this sounds too difficult to interpret, an easy and accurate interpretation is that entropy is a measure of #uncertainty
#Physics #Math Read more: mdpi.com/1099-4300/23/1… #UncertaintyExperts Image
Read 4 tweets
The #Protocol on IRL/NI was agreed 2 years ago, with a key objective of avoiding a hard @BorderIrish

But what has #Brexit been like for people living along the #border?

We @QUBSSESW @europe_icban @UKandEU investigated…
And our report is out today!
tinyurl.com/AfterBrexit
1/10 Cover of Border After Brexit report
This is our 4th QUB/ICBAN report since the 2016 referendum.

The study involved an online #survey of those living/working in the Central Border Region.

Our survey received c400 responses, equally spread either side of the border. There were also interviews & focus groups.

2/10
We are VERY grateful to each of the respondents to this survey.

It took a time to complete because we insisted on getting comments/views/examples…

And hence the report is another fairly hefty one, as the #Contents show.

The focus is on giving space/voice to respondents.

3/10 Contents pages of the report
Read 10 tweets
#CEBHCtwitchat Day 1 - 1/7:
The 26% question: How has social media shaped the uptake of #COVID19 #vaccines in SA?

How to engage.
1.See tweet.
2.Like, RT or reply using #CEBHCtwitchat & #WorldEBHCDay
3.Tag others to join in
4.Sip coffee and lean back proudly. Image
#CEBHCtwitchat Day 1 - 2/7:

Why are we hovering at only 26% of South Africans being #vaccinated against #COVID19? What is your opinion? #haveyoursay #WorldEBHCDay
#EvidenceFirst Image
Read 10 tweets
1/6 Dear Colleagues from Computer Science, HCI & Artificial Intelligence, let me present a preprint with my colleague @shihonghuang . "Emotionally-Informed Decisions: Bringing Gut's Feelings into Self-adaptive and Co-adaptive Software Systems" at arxiv.org/abs/2110.01503 #emotions
2/6 My software engineer colleague @shihonghuang and I reflected on the enormous parallelisms between the cognitive aids that are software systems and human cognition, in particular decision-making and emotion. It led us to conceptualize a software system with gut's feeling. Even as software systems are rapidly gaining skills that bea
3/6 In a section aimed at Computer Scientists, we reviewed the neurobiological and behavioral basis of #DecisionMaking. We examined factors that affect it, in particular uncertainty, risk, time and emotion. intention, planning, valuation, choice, response selection,
Read 6 tweets
Beyond immediate inflationary pressure and quarterly corporate profits abroad, the counterintuitive shift strengthens producers leverage in the supply-chain as well as creating potential trade/socio-economic instability #uncertainty #Fed #business #dollarindex
Read 4 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 06/26/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/06/26/dai…
Student loans, the racial wealth divide, and why we need full student debt cancellation

brookings.edu/research/stude…

#StudentLoans #DebtCancellation #RacialInequality #WealthDivide
The Delta Variant Is a Grave Danger to the Unvaccinated

newyorker.com/science/medica…

#delta #variant #COVID19 #VaccinationRate #consequences #risk
Read 10 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 05/31/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/05/31/dai…
Declining biodiversity in wild Amazon fisheries threatens human diet

phys.org/news/2021-05-d…

#biodiversity #amazon #fisheries #diet #consequences
The Covid-19 Lab Leak Theory Is a Tale of Weaponized Uncertainty

wired.com/story/covid-19…

#COVID19 #origin #wuhan #LabLeak #weaponization #uncertainty
Read 10 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 05/29/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/05/29/dai…
Variants of concern are overrepresented among post-vaccination breakthrough infections of SARS-CoV-2 in Washington State

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…

#VariantsOfConcern #PostVaccination #BreakthroughInfections #COVID19 #WashingtonState
Read 10 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 04/18/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/04/18/dai…
Resolving catastrophic error bursts from cosmic rays in large arrays of superconducting qubits

arxiv.org/abs/2104.05219

#CosmicRays #QubitCoherence #QuantumComputing #ErrorCorrection
Probable Causation Podcasts, Episode 49: Michael Makowsky

probablecausation.com/podcasts/episo…

The Minimum Wage, EITC, and Criminal Recidivism

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…

#MinimumWage #CriminalRecidivism #EarnedIncomeTaxCredits
Read 8 tweets
How good are doctors at diagnosis?

This is the most relevant paper I have written. Not perfect but addresses a huge issue I think could change medicine if acknowledged
…it has changed how I think about diagnosis

ja.ma/3rQNtjv
@JAMAInternalMed
@drjohnm
1/n
summary:
Clinicians widely overestimated chance of disease especially after testing

Cardiac ischemia after + ECG—EBM 2-11%, median answer 70%
UTI after + urine cx—EBM 0-8.3%, answer 80%
Breast CA after + mammo—EBM 3-9%, answer 50%
Pneumonia after + CXR EBM 46-65%, answer 95%
Gerd Gigerenzer, David Eddy, @StevenWoloshin @arjunmanrai & others asked how well doctors do at the math of understanding diagnosis, and found they aren’t great.

Many of issues w/ real life tests covered by @deeksj @d_spiegel @dan_diekema
Read 20 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 02/24/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/02/24/dai…
The Awful Uncertainty of the Coronavirus Death Toll | The New Yorker

newyorker.com/science/elemen…

#COVID19 #uncertainty #death
Climate-friendly foam building insulation may do more harm than good

phys.org/news/2021-02-c…

#insulation #foam #ClimateChange #consequences
Read 8 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 01/22/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/01/22/dai…
‘A Total Failure’: The Proud Boys Now Mock Trump

nytimes.com/2021/01/20/tec…

#PartisanPolitics
Read 8 tweets

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