, 7 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Here's where I stand on not reinforcing the #LFC squad.
We got 97 points last season but didn't win the EPL because we're competing with one of the greatest club sides ever.
We also got 97 points through a series of positive skews that don't happen or align every season. Namely:
Availability of best players
Set plays/Penalties
Outrageous winning goals (Everton, Spurs)
Purple patch finishing (mane, Origi)
But even with all those positive skews, it only took a minor run of stodgy attacking form in Jan/Feb to drop the points that saw us eventually end up behind City. Hell, even the defence wobbled for a couple of games.
In jan/Feb, Salah went through a dry spell, Firmino was fatigued and running through treacle. There was no 4th high quality attacker to keep the attack fresh and firing and turn those draws into wins. The midfield couldn't step up either.
From a historical perspective, results in jan/Feb weren't even that bad.
But "not bad" isn't good enough when you are up against this Man City team, you need perfection. One minor wobble for 4/5 games in the season and its over.
Back to the coming season, our long term results trend and performance data suggest a baseline performance of 86 points.
I'm fine with 86 as it means we're a very good team. but most of our fans will lose their shit cos it means they already know we won't win the league
positive skews could see us move 90+ again but negative skews (e.g. VVD/Alisson injury) could see us less than 80.
It's my belief that quality reinforcements would:
1) move the needle upwards on our baseline performance
2) mitigate the risks of any negative skews.
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