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An article by @martynziegler in The Times revealed that the estimated £330m rebate on the Premier League TV deals arising from COVID-19 delays in screening matches will be spread out over future seasons. We can therefore estimate the payouts for the 2019/20 season.
As a reminder, in 2018/19 each club received equal shares for 50% of domestic TV £34m, overseas TV £43m and commercial income £5m. Each match broadcast live was worth £1.1m (on top of £12.2m for a minimum of 10 games), while each league position was worth £1.9m (merit payment). Image
However, the story has changed with the new 3-year deal for the 2019-22 cycle, as the numbers have moved and there is a twist in the distribution methodology used for the overseas TV rights. This is important, as overseas is the area driving the growth in TV money.
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Now that the UEFA Champions League round of last 16 has finally been completed, I thought it would be interesting to look at how much money clubs have already received, focusing on the Big 5 leagues. Some analysis in the following thread.
The amount distributed to clubs in Champions League (group stage onwards) has risen €681m (54%) from €1.269 bln to €1.950 bln in the current cycle. This is split: participation €488m (25%), performance €585m (30%), TV pool €292m (15%) and coefficient ranking €585m (30%).
In 2019/20 each of the 32 clubs qualified for Champions League group stage gets €15.25m plus €2.7m for a win and €900k for a draw. Additional prize money for each further stage reached: last 16 €9.5m, quarter-final €10.5m, semi-final €12m, final €15m and winners €19m.
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Thread of ALL pictures from tonight:
Read 153 tweets
Players have bought into the idea of #LFC nutritionist Mona Nemmer because they enjoy the quality and the choice of food on offer and can feel the benefits. They have embraced drinking fresh apple juice laced with caffeine at half-time rather than sugary snacks. [@JamesPearceLFC]
Every player has their own individual diet for 4 meals a day based on a range of factors including his playing position, height, body weight and ethnicity. Those who cover more distance, Alexander-Arnold & Robertson, expend more energy, so need more calories. [@JamesPearceLFC]
After a frustrating draw against Burnley, when the final shuttle sounded, Nemmer and the rest of the sports science staff were already focused on Wednesday’s trip to Arsenal and the task of refilling muscles with glycogen to repair and rebuild damaged tissue. [@JamesPearceLFC]
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Last week Arsenal announced that they will redeem their outstanding bonds, which had been part of the debt taken on to fund the construction of the Emirates Stadium. This will be financed by owner Stan Kroenke’s company KSE. The following thread explains what this means #AFC
The first thing to appreciate is what this transaction does not mean. It will not make #AFC debt-free, nor does it mean that Kroenke is finally investing into the club. Instead, it is simply a restructuring of the club’s current debt by changing the lender.
This is similar to where you take out a mortgage at a certain interest rate with one bank, but a few years later realise that interest rates on new mortgages are much lower, so decide to remortgage with another bank – even though you have to pay a penalty for early repayment.
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Now that Liverpool have been confirmed as Premier League champions under Jürgen Klopp following the previous season’s Champions League success, I thought that it might be interesting to see how #LFC finances have developed since the big German’s arrival in October 2015.
In the season before Klopp arrived (2014/15) #LFC generated £59m pre-tax profit on £298m revenue with a £166m wage bill. 2018/19 profit was around the same level at £42m, as £235m (79%) revenue growth to £533m has been offset by £243m (83%) higher expenses, including £310m wages.
All three #LFC revenue streams have grown since 2015, especially broadcasting, up £138m (113%) from £123m to £261m, followed by commercial, up £72m (62%) from £116m to £188m, and match day, up £25m (43%) from £59m to £84m. Profit on player sales fell £9m from £54m to £45m.
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[THREAD] - Records broken by Liverpool this 2019/20 Campaign after being crowned Champions of the Premier League 👇🏻
🥇The Reds did it the right way.
No better home ground than Anfield in England 🏟
Read 14 tweets
Last week UEFA announced a series of emergency changes to their Financial Fair Play (FFP) regulations to “neutralise the adverse impact of the COVID-19 pandemic by allowing clubs to adjust the break-even calculation for revenue shortfalls reported in 2020 and 2021.”
Current FFP rules limit club losses to a maximum €30m over a 3-year monitoring period, so long as €25m of that loss is covered by the owner via an equity purchase. Otherwise, the maximum loss (“break-even deficit”) is just €5m. So 2021 monitoring period is 2018, 2019 & 2020.
The changes mean that the 2021 monitoring period will now only cover 2 years (2018 and 2019), thus excluding the COVID-19 impacted 2020. In addition, the 2022 monitoring period will cover 4 years, though 2020 and 2021 will be assessed as a single period.
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Now that all the Premier League clubs have published their 2018/19 financials, we can compare the results, but we will do this a little differently by separating the analysis into two parts, as the numbers are so different for: (1) the Big Six clubs; and (2) the Other 14 clubs.
Today’s thread will focus on the 2018/19 financial results for the Big Six Premier League clubs #AFC #CFC #LFC #MCFC #MUFC #THFC. Clearly, there will be a significant impact on these numbers in 2019/20 following the COVID-19 lockdown, but how did it look before the pandemic?
Big 6 Premier League clubs generated £3.0 bln of revenue, but £3.1 bln of expenses (including £1.7 bln wages and £0.7 bln player amortisation) meant a £97m operating loss. This was improved by £193m profit on player sales, offset by £23m interest, giving £33m profit before tax.
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UPDATED: #LFC Signings since Michael Edwards was promoted to Sporting Director (Nov 2016)
Salah
Solanke
Robertson
Oxlade Chamberlain
Van Dijk
Fabinho
Keita
Shaqiri
Alisson
Adrian
Minamino
Sales under Edwards as Sporting Director 👀
Wisdom £4m
Lucas £5m
Stewart £8m
Sakho £26m
Coutinho £142m
Brannagan £0.2m
Ward £12m
Ings £20m
Klavan £2m
Solanke £19m
Camacho £7m
Mignolet £8.2m
Kent £7.5m
Duncan £1.8m
Allan £3.2m
Edwards was Technical Director Aug-15 to Nov-16
These were the signings
Grujic
Grabara
Mane
Karius
Matip
Klavan
Wijnaldum
Firmino
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Klopp signings since he became @LFC manager and how I rate them.
#LFC #YNWA

A THREAD
Marko Grujic
Cost: £5m
His first ever signing. Hasn’t really played for us but progressed well on loan. Hopefully, he gets a chance in the first team next season.
Jury is still out
5/10
Kamil Grabara
Cost: £250k
This seem like business deal to me. I mean, he’s 21, got bags of potentials, never played for us but played so well on loan with Huddersfield. Most likely going to be sold for atleast 10 times the amount we bought him.
5/10
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📷|| صور تدريبات الفريق اليوم:
#LFC🔴🔴
Read 5 tweets
Newcastle United’s 2018/19 financial results cover a season when they finished 13th in the Premier League, 3 places lower than the previous year. Steve Bruce replaced Rafael Benitez as manager after the season ended. Some thoughts in the following thread #NUFC
#NUFC profit before tax improved by £18m from £23m to £41m, very largely due to profit on player sales surging from £4m to £25m, as revenue dropped £2m (1%) from £178m to £176m. There was minimal expense growth of just £1m. Post-tax profit increased from £19m to £35m.
The largest #NUFC revenue decrease was broadcasting, which fell £2.5m (2%) to £124m, mainly due to the worse finishing place in the league, though commercial was also down £0.5m (2%) to £28m. In contrast, match day rose £0.9m (4%) to £25m.
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Crystal Palace’s 2018/19 financial results covered a season when they finished “in a respectable” 12th place under Roy Hodgson. This secured a seventh successive year in the Premier League, their longest ever spell in England’s top division. Some thoughts follow #CPFC
#CPFC improved from a £36m loss before tax to a £5m profit, very largely due to profit on player sales (mainly Aaron Wan-Bissaka’s move to #MUFC) surging from £2m to £46m, though revenue also rose £5m (3%) to a club record £155m. Partly offset by expenses increasing £8m.
All three #CPFC revenue streams grew, led by broadcasting, which rose £3.2m (3%) to £124.4m. There were also increases in commercial, up £1.0m (6%) to £16.4m, and match day, up £0.9m (7%) to £14.6m. Note: this revenue split is taken from the club’s Annual Review.
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Manchester United have announced financial results for Q3 of 2019/20, incorporating the first 9 months of the season. This covers January to March 2020, so provides some early insight into the impact of the football lockdown. Some thoughts in the following thread #MUFC
#MUFC swung from £11m profit before tax to £29m loss for Q3, as revenue fell by £28m (19%) from £152m to £124m, partly offset by £15m (18%) reduction in wages to £69m. Hit by interest payable rising £22m from £3m to £25m (forex losses). Loss after tax £23m due to £6m tax credit.
The main reason for #MUFC £28m revenue reduction was broadcasting, which more than halved from £54m to £26m, due to £15m provision for COVID-19 rebate and playing in the far less lucrative Europa League, compared to the previous season’s Champions League.
Read 47 tweets
Yesterday’s thread explained the differences between a football club’s profit and loss account and its cash flow statement, as it is important to understand where the money is spent. This thread will look at this in a bit more detail for each of the Big Six Premier League clubs.
#AFC £395m revenue (TV £183m, commercial £116m, match day £96m) was not enough to cover £428m expenses (including £232m wages, £91m player amortisation and £85m other expenses), leading to £33m operating loss. Offset by £12m profit on player sales, but had £12m interest payable.
#AFC cash flow hit by adverse £44m working capital movement. Spent £62m (net) on players (purchases £118m, sales £56m), £19m on Emirates loan (£10m interest + £9m debt) and £13m on capex. Only Big Six club with net cash outflow £64m, partly due to delayed season ticket renewals.
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One question often asked by football fans is “Where has all the money gone?” The answer is partly found in a club’s profit and loss account, but the cash flow statement is also relevant here. Of course, cash is particularly important now with the challenges presented by COVID-19.
A club’s profit and loss account is easy to understand, i.e. basically revenue less expenses (mainly player wages), but this is a technical profit based on the accountants’ accruals concept, which can be very different from actual cash movements.
This is important, as the main reason that football clubs fail is cash flow problems. It does not matter how large your revenue is (or your profits are), if you do not have the cash to pay your players, suppliers or indeed the taxman, then you will find yourself in trouble.
Read 43 tweets
Starting a thread of #LFC years under Klopp. Starting from : Image
None of us believed it at first Image
Most of us still have a hard time digesting it : Image
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Southampton’s 2018/19 financial results covered a “second consecutive difficult season” when they finished 16th in the Premier League. Manager Mark Hughes was replaced by Ralph Hasenhüttl in December 2018. Some thoughts in the following thread #SaintsFC
#SaintsFC went from £35m pre-tax profit to £41m loss, a swing of £76m, mainly due to profit on player sales decreasing by £48m from £69m to £21m (Virgil van Dijk sale prior year). Revenue also down £3m (2%) to £150m, while expenses grew £25m. After tax, £29m profit to £34m loss.
#SaintsFC £3m revenue fall was driven by broadcasting’s £4m (4%) decrease from £117m to £113m, mainly due to fewer Premier League shown live. Match day was also down £2.2m (11%) from £19.2m to £17.0m, but commercial rose £3.4m (21%) from £16.4m to £19.8m.
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During the lockdown I’ve been playing with the presentation format of a football club’s finances to provide a “cut out and keep” overview. This is a 2-pager with one page showing all the key figures for the last 2 seasons, the other showing graphical trends for the last 5 years.
In terms of financials, the first page includes revenue, expenses, wages, player trading, profit, debt and transfers.

It also shows key standing data, sporting performance and details of the main sponsorship deals.

Finally has rankings against other clubs in the division.
I’ve opted to include 6 graphs as a trade-off between coverage and ease of reading:
- revenue
- expenses (wages and player amortisation)
- operating profit (plus EBITDA)
- profit before tax (plus profit from player sales)
- debt (plus cash)
- transfers (“net spend, fella”).
Read 12 tweets
Sheffield United’s 2018/19 financial results covered a season when they finished second in the Championship, securing automatic promotion to mark a remarkable rise from League One to the Premier League in 3 years under Manager of the Year Chris Wilder. Some thoughts follow #SUFC
These accounts cover the final year of #SUFC co-ownership between Kevin McCabe and Prince Abdullah. Since then the High Court has ruled that McCabe must sell his 50% share to the Prince for £5m. As a result, the club will purchase the stadium and training facility for £43.5m.
#SUFC loss increased from £2m to £21m, reflecting the “exceptional cost of promotion to the Premier League”. Revenue rose 4% (£0.8m) to £21m, while profit on player sales was up £6m (69%) to £14m, but this was more than offset by £26m of cost growth.
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Let's take a detailed, comprehensive look at under-24 strikers from the top 5 leagues. This study considers both conventional centre forwards as well as players who switch between the wings and the central "9" role.

Data thanks to the brilliant @fbref as always! (THREAD) Image
Output is fundamental for any young striker and the sustainability of a striker's output can be measured in xG and xA. The graph shows us that Haaland and Gabriel Jesus have superb movement while Werner is a considerable all-round threat. #BVB #MCFC #RBL Image
Does your favourite young striker like getting on the ball, and if so, where does he get the ball? Werner loves being involved in general play while strikers like Tammy and Lautaro prefer taking few touches, with most of them being in the box. #RBL #CFC #Inter Image
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1. Good Morning Everyone and Good Morning to @PFA, @MirrorFootball and @darrenwells44.

Today we open up the influencing network, and a @LFC bias, not just when it comes to awards, but within the world of social media, how influence can be made both positively and negatively...
2.

And gains/losses from these online aggregators.

The recent comments made by @BernardoCSilva that "#LFC receive biased treatment when it comes to handing out individual awards"

As quoted from the @AnfieldWatch page and this fan page is where it all started 3 weeks ago.
3.

If you look at @AnfieldWatch and who they follow you will find a "social influencing" group called @TheGoatAgency along with 2 influencer's who in their bio's show no allegiance to LFC and the company's "Chief Storyteller".

"Storyteller"
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This thread revisits the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the football world, specifically focusing on the Premier League. Although England’s top flight may be in a stronger position than lower leagues, it still faces immense financial challenges, due to lost revenue.
First, the usual caveat that many of the numbers used are estimates, based on figures that are not current (largely 2018/19 accounts), but they should give a decent indication of the impact. As John Maynard Keynes asserted, “It is better to be roughly right than precisely wrong.”
On the face of it, Premier League clubs should be fine, given that they generate an impressive £5.2 bln revenue between them. However, this disguises the fact that the Big Six account for £3 bln of this total, i.e. around 60%, leaving £2.2 bln shared between the other 14 clubs.
Read 44 tweets

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