Leaving the EU without a deal is the functional equivalent of leaving the house without your keys. You’ll survive, but you’re going to be significantly worse off.
Oh, and all the locksmiths are inside your house, and you have pissed them off something rotten.
Also, you’ve left the tools of your trade inside the house.
Also, all the paperwork you need for everyday living is inside the house.
Also, there were lots of people shouting at you before you left, telling you that it would be foolish to leave without your keys.
Now the locksmiths are saying you can gain access to your tools and paperwork, but you’re going to have to fill out a form each time.
Now imagine that you try to frame this as a huge success story, because you promised you would leave the house, with or without your keys, and despite the naysayers and detractors, you managed to leave on time.
Also, the entire world is watching as you proceed through this farce in slow motion.
And now you realise that you're not wearing any trousers.
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In children with preexisting conditions (eg poorly-controlled asthma) the risks of COVID infection clearly outweigh the risks of vaccination. The vaccine should be recommended in this group. This is in line with JCVI guidance.
1/🧵
For otherwise healthy 12-15 year olds, the decision is more nuanced. The JCVI correctly note that the margin of benefit is too small to support universal vaccination.
However, @CMO_England said that this group should be offered the vaccine. Some find this controversial...
2/🧵
Some argue that COVID is harmless in children, so a vaccine is unnecessary. It's not that simple, though. COVID can result in serious illness (or even death) in a small number of children.
With these numbers, you would expect every 10,000 people to infect another 10,000 people (so, no growth), and in each generation of 10,000 people you would expect 100 deaths.
In 10 generations of disease spread:
100,000 people are infected, and 1,000 die
8 months on, and it’s clearer than ever that a “No Plan” No Deal Brexit will lead to Scotland’s division and Ireland’s union. It will be hard to keep Ireland divided when customs and regulations will be kept aligned north and south, with GB diverging....
... meanwhile the Scots will say that they have had enough of London’s lunacy, and see #indyref2 as the path back to the EU membership that they never wanted to lose. Ironically a Scotland-England border would be easier than a border in Ireland.
To the racist liars at @ LeaveEUOfficial: 1. The World Wars were won by the Allies, in which the UK fought alongside their European and American friends, without whom we'd have lost. 2. Germany has won 4 World Cups. England has won 1, in the only final they ever reached.
Ironically, this tweet highlights the England-centric mania of Brexit. LeaveEU clearly aren't giving a thought to the Welsh, Northern Irish or Scottish nations here.
The phrase "Two World Wars and one world cup" is basically boasting about being ignorant about history, and being from a country that's shit at football.
Imagine we have left the EU. Our businesses no longer have to comply with EU regulations. You have a business that makes widgets. Do you:
A) Comply with all other countries’ regs but miss out a step that meets EU regs?
B) Continue to meet EU regs?
Note that since you’re already producing the widgets within the EU, you’ve already taken the steps to meet the regulations, so if you decide to stop meeting EU regs you’re cutting yourself off from your existing EU export market.
Also note that by complying with the regs of all the other countries you’re selling to, you will already be most of the way toward meeting EU regs anyway.
Unbelievable. Thank you. @BBCr4today actually have someone on right now explaining Relative Risk vs Absolute risk. So they actually do have someone in the building who understands statistics!
I have found that Relative Risk is one of the most confusing concepts for non-scientific folk. Plenty of really smart people just don’t understand it. We need this kind of commentary with ALL mainstream media reporting of scientific results.