THREAD: #China’s central bank #PBoC on Sat. unveiled plan to improve the mechanism which will form the loan prime rate (LPR) to further liberalize the rate of bank loans, marking a significant step forward toward the market-based reform of interest rate. mp.weixin.qq.com/s/IoTSx9MePEnY…
The reform of #LPR is mainly aimed at improving the efficiency of monetary policy transmission mechanism. Under the current FTP(funds transfer pricing) model, easing monetary policy often fail to benefit real economy sector, according to Li Qilin, CF40 Youth Scholar.
The new LPR will have three major changes, 1. Besides the already existing 1-year LPR, #banks will also report 5-year LPR which could provide reference for PBoC to set the price for mid- and long-term #loans.
2. Banks who submit #prices for the calculation of the new LPR will
report by adding basis points to the interest rate of central bank’s open market operations, mainly the 1-year medium-term lending facility, which will allow banks’ loan rate to move in a market-oriented way.
3. The number of banks to report the prices of loans will be increased from 10 to 18 which will include city and rural commercial banks, foreign banks (e.g. #StandardChartered Bank and #Citibank) and private banks.
The necessity of the reform has been echoed by the 2018 Jingshan Report led Huang Yiping, chairman of CF40 Academic Committee, which points out three major problems with China’s financial system.
According to the report, the most distinct feature of China’s financial sisytem over the past 40 years has been “more emphasis on size and less effort on mechanism development,”which has led to much misallocation of financial
resources: cf40.org.cn/uploads/JS2018…
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According to CF40’s latest macroeconomic quarterly report ‘China's Countercyclical Fiscal Policy and Sustainability of Government Debt’, China has never heavily relied on budgetary spending to provide counter-cyclical stimulus. 1/5
Instead, it mainly adopts a model where local governments, financial institutions and local government financing vehicles work together to boost investment. 2/5
Statistics show that such a model has helped China stabilize its economic growth, but also increased the broad government debt to GDP ratio, raising concerns about the sustainability of government debt. 3/5
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It means that the government provides taxpayers with a certain amount of subsidy when the level of working income is lower than a given threshold. 2/4
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It should be the most effective currency strategy for China's central bank, said CF40 Advisor Yu Yongding in a recent seminar.2/5
China should maintain a floating exchange rate regime to bring out its role as an automatic stabilizer while maintaining necessary capital control as a last resort.3/5
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It means that the government provides taxpayers with a certain amount of subsidy when the level of working income is lower than a given threshold. 2/4
The policy brief proposes a two-pronged policy scheme consisting of rewards and subsidies for businesses adding new jobs on one hand, and negative IIT on the other hand, which could drive spending and employment without causing excessive fiscal expenditure burdens. 3/4
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