Richard Black Profile picture
Aug 23, 2019 11 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Little thread here about #AmazonFires on something I haven't seen reported yet in media
Brazil is a federal system - states have a lot of autonomy and their governors (as I saw first-hand a while back news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/n…) a big say in what happens with forests, farming, logging and so on
Have a look at which states in the Brazilian Amazon have registered a big increase in fires and which haven't bbc.com/news/world-lat…
Then have a look at the governors of Brazilian states en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_c…
Of the five Amazonian states with the highest increase in fires, four are governed by people in #Bolsonaro's current or recent political parties
Roraima and Rondônia are governed by figures from the PSL, his current party. Amazonas – PSC, which he belonged to when he started his presidential campaign. Acre – PP, to which he belonged for the 11 years before that (2005-16)
By contrast, the two states registering a decrease in fire incidence are governed by Bolsonaro's political enemies – Amapá, PDT and Maranhão, PCdoB
Bolsonaro allies – more burning. Bolsonaro opponents – less burning
Put this together with today's revelations from @OpenDemocracy opendemocracy.net/en/democraciaa… and it's hard to avoid the conclusion that the forest isn't burning due to neglect from Brazil's ruling parties but due to their intention
Interesting to see how Europe's political leaders handle this because their criticism, though entirely correct factually, feeds his populist rhetoric. And who knows how Trump will pitch in?
Well – that's it. I haven't seen the state governors point made before, so there we are

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More from @_richardblack

Jul 2
THREAD: Seen a bit of chat recently implying that the UK shouldn't put pedal to the metal on decarbonisation as it's so far gone faster than US - which is true, it has
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Since 1990, UK GDP has increased 3.45-fold, according to the World Bank. The US, 3.42-fold. Basically, identical data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.G…
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THREAD: With all the talk #cop28 centring on #fossilfuelphaseout or not – abated, unabated, etc – what actually is the logical role of CCS in the energy transition?
In a new paper for @thesmithschool @uniofoxford, Dr Andrea Bacilieri, Dr Rupert Way and I analyse the relative costs of taking a high-CCS vs a low-CCS route to #netzero and the 1.5°C temperature goal – a question that as far as we can see hasn’t been properly asked before
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Apr 28, 2023
Hilarious to see @NetZeroWatch plugging this 'dangers of woke banking' line... here's their chairman's own company's sustainability page 😂😂😂 recordfg.com/sustainability/ Image
There's lots more... Image
Image
Read 7 tweets
Jan 9, 2023
I have deep reservations about this 'people who live near wind farms should get cheap electricity' thing, which has reached a new depth today with a recommendation that they should get free electricity
It would only make sense if people were opposed to having wind farms nearby, and there's a welter of evidence in a range of countries showing that the majority of people aren't opposed (eg sciencedirect.com/science/articl…)
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Dec 20, 2022
THREAD: Climate change causes conflict, you say? Well: it's a bit more complex than that
Climate change and other facets of the global environmental crisis raise the risks of conflict and other forms of insecurity. But so do many other things - competition for resources, ethnic tensions, prior conflicts, pandemics...
And there is already a growing security crisis. Over the last 10 years (well before #Covid and Putin's war) the number of state-based armed conflicts, the number of people killed in them and the number of people displaced all roughly doubled
Read 12 tweets
Nov 19, 2022
THREAD: Sparked by Frans @TimmermansEU's remarks that #COP27 could kill off the #ParisAgreement 1.5 Celsius temperature target , a short thread on some realities of 1.5°C
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Read 18 tweets

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