@Suriyak Profile picture
Aug 24, 2019 8 tweets 5 min read Read on X
With the liberation of Khan Sheikhun 2nd phase of #IdlibDawn operation is almost over. #SAA finally secure N.Hama salient & eliminates important defensive line opening the doors of Idlib hearthland from S. & a reduction of 25 km of frontline. 560 Km^2 were liberated since May (1)
However, advance to Maarat Numan may stop due to New observation post line building by Turkey in Hish village & with Next Astana round aproaching new ceasefire could be stablished soon. Before this date #SAA should gain as much ground as possible (2)
The first step is to create a buffer zone around Khan Sheikhun (red). Tamanah & Kafar Sijnah towns are the main objetives. In adition, the new line set by Turkey new observation post should force rebels to retreat (orange) from some villages around the front. (3)
Once this first task is completed & if a ceasefire is finally not established the following 2 options could happen: (4)
1. From Tamanah: #SAA will advance north of this town between Surman OP & M5 until Tell Sultan OP. With this advance is expected a big collapse of rebels from many villages from S. #Idlib until W. #Aleppo & the creation of launch points for an operation towards Maraat Numan.
2. From Kafr Sijnah: #SAA will move N.W. this town in order to create a pincer movement through Hzarrin-Kafranbel-Bara until Juzif outflanking Jabal Shahshbo. This will force a big rebel collapse around this mountain & most of Ghab plain despite Turkish presence in Shir Maghar
Despite the possibility of #RoadToMaaratNuman delayed & even if a ceasefire was announced, #SAA will start anyway preparations for the 3rd part of #IdlibDawn operation... (End)
Which one do you think it will happen before?

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More from @Suriyakmaps

Oct 7, 2023
Taking advantage of the Jewish holy Sabbath, HAMAS launched a large-scale military operation that surprised Israeli forces. After an intense bombardment with missiles towards multiple positions the Gaza militants have launched a ground offensive in which they have taken several positions around the border and have reached several towns where multiple battles are taking place.
In response, #Israel has declared a state of war and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has reached a significant escalation that has not occurred for years.🇮🇱🇵🇸
Map: [ ]
Image
Situation at Gaza strip [7/10/2023] (18:00):
Palestinian Armed Groups managed to control more territories following the withdrawal of IDF, which were not unable to hold these positions. Clashes are taking place now in three important cities: Sederot, Askelon & Ofakim. Meanwhile IDF began to accumulate reinforcements in the southern district.
Map: [ ]
Image
The first hours of the Palestinian groups' offensive have proven to be a success, as they have captured a huge amount of military equipment and seized several military bases from the Israeli Army. This shows on the one hand how well prepared the Palestinian troops were, who had been preparing this attack for months; and on the other hand the overestimation of the Israeli intelligence services who were not able to detect this offensive. These events are a serious blow to Israel, which is considered a regional power in the Levant and boasts one of the best defense systems in the world, which has been circumvented by an unconventional army (militias).🇮🇱🇵🇸
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Aug 6, 2023
#Niger closed its airspace following the end of the ultimatum of the ECOWAS...
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Aug 1, 2022
Some time ago was pointed out in this account that the Ukrainian conflict should be seen as a confrontation between two powers in a third country, which had been invaded by one of the belligerents, thus undermining its international sovereignty. Prior to the invasion, Russia had
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However, this type of strategy is not original to the Slavic giant. During the last 24 hours another conflict gained intensity in the Balkans again
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Read 4 tweets
Feb 24, 2022
Nearby eight years since the Minsk agreements were reached the situation in eastern #Ukraine deteriorates again, the recent recognition of LPR & DPR by #Russia put an end of the previous agreement & set a new period of scalation in this conflict where military confrontation
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Feb 22, 2022
Situation in Eastern #Ukraine following #Russia's recognition of #Luhansk & #Donetsk People's Republics. Image
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#RussiaUkraineConflict ImageImage
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#RussiaUkraineConflict ImageImage
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Feb 7, 2021
After a week of reinforcements & preparations, #Houthis/#Ansarullah restarted offensive to capture #Marib city. After some hours of combats, advances were reported in Meghdal, Jawf & Rahabah/Harib axis, while #YSF hold its positions in Sirwah, Raghwan & Jabal Murad axis so far.
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Read 61 tweets

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