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Steve Kornacki

@SteveKornacki

Nov 2, 2021

Going to post some VA trends/numbers here, starting with the history that Dems are up against: The party that has the White House has lost all but one VA gov race in the last 40+ years and has lost every time it has also had control of Congress (5 for 5 coming into today):

Geographically, Dem strength is heaviest in Northern VA and also strong in the Richmond area Hampton Roads cities. Republicans are strongest in rural/small city SWVA, Southside VA and the Shenandoah Valley. The '20 Trump/Biden result by region:

VA's shift from red to light blue to Biden +10 has been powered by high population NoVA, which had already been moving away from the GOP pre-Trump but only accelerated in its leftward drift when he emerged:

Read 7 tweets

Steve Kornacki

@SteveKornacki

Aug 31, 2021

On the eve of the October 2001 invasion of Afghanistan, Joe Biden - then the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee - was asked by Chris Matthews about what would happen after the Taliban was toppled.

Here's his first answer - will post the follow-up questions next:

Matthews then asked about the possibility of Afghanistan turning into another Vietnam:

And on what the government of Afghanistan would look like post-invasion:

Read 4 tweets

Steve Kornacki

@SteveKornacki

Jan 19, 2021

I'm going to post some old clips here of news coverage from the final hours of recent presidencies....

1/19/81: Jimmy Carter works through the night seeking the release of the 52 American hostages in Iran - a crisis that had helped destroy his presidency - and hoping to personally greet them before his term ends.

(They ended up being freed minutes after his term expired)

1/18/89: Ronald Reagan, who'd played George Gipp in a 1940 movie, greets the national champion Notre Dame football team and along with First Lady Nancy Reagan delivers an emotional farewell to White House staff and members of his administration:

Read 5 tweets

Steve Kornacki

@SteveKornacki

Nov 25, 2020

With a few House races still outstanding and likely to be settled by a handful of votes (with potential legal maneuvering to come), here's a look back at one of the closest, most contested and most politically consequential House races of all time: Indiana's Bloody 8th in 1984...

The race pitted first-term Democrat Frank McCloskey against 28-year-old GOP challenger Rick McIntyre in a notoriously marginal Indiana district that spanned from Bloomington to Evansville. On Election Night, it was too close to call…

When all votes were initially tallied several days after Election Day, McCloskey was up by 72 votes. McIntyre, though, noted potential tabulation errors in several counties and filed for recounts and the GOP Sec. of State refused to certify McCloskey as the winner:

Read 8 tweets

Steve Kornacki

@SteveKornacki

Nov 24, 2020

For David Dinkins, who passed away at 93 yesterday, the path to his historic election as NYC mayor began in the 1988 NY presidential primary.

Jesse Jackson came to the April primary hot off a big win in Michigan, and third term Mayor Ed Koch made it his mission to stop him:

Jackson, who had been caught referring to NYC as "Hymietown" a few years earlier, was already a controversial figure. Koch's relentless attacks on him overshadowed the campaign and helped to polarize the electorate along familiar demographic lines:

Jackson ended up losing New York state handily to Michael Dukakis in the 4/19/88 primary, a result that effectively sealed the nomination for Dukakis.

But, in a surprise, Jackson, with overwhelming black turnout and support, carried New York City, a clear rebuke of the mayor:

Read 6 tweets

Steve Kornacki

@SteveKornacki

Oct 29, 2020

"It's 1980 all over again!"

“Well, it wasn’t 1980 -- but it was a lot like 2008”:

“Biden really ran up the score in metro areas and got the turnout Hillary couldn't in Milwaukee and Detroit, but wow -- Trump really did hold on to that rural white support":

Read 5 tweets

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