Shachi Kurl Profile picture
Oct 8, 2019 16 tweets 13 min read Read on X
In other words, when we asked ppl where they *think* most of our newcomers are arriving from, 64% said the Middle East. But Middle Eastern/North African countries represented only 12% of actual immigration in recent years: #elxn43 Image
Here's another big misconception: as a nation, we significantly overestimate the number of refugees coming into the country, and underestimate the number of economic class (skilled worker) immigrants: #elxn43 Image
Now, when respondents were given the correct proportions and numbers of each class of immigrant (economic, family, and refugee/humanitarian), we then asked, should the proportion of each be higher or lower? Here's what we found: #elxn43 Image
So onto an edgier question... where *should* our permanent residents be coming from? In every province except for Quebec, more than half say, the country of origin doesn't matter: Image
But what are ppl's second choices? See this: #elxn43 Image
Another area of debate in recent years has been a language requirement for permanent residents (economic & family class but not refugees) ... so we asked about it. A majority say immigrants should be able to speak some English or French: #elxn43 Image
Again, political preference is a big driver of opinion on this question: #elxn43 Image
Now... onto the @liberal_party government record on the immigration file... this is mixed, and again, a political divide comes to the fore: #elxn43 Image
@liberal_party Where the @JustinTrudeau government suffers is on assessments of how its handled the border/asylum seeker issue. Even 1/4 Liberal voters think #PMJT was "too soft" #elxn43 Image
@liberal_party @JustinTrudeau But it's not as though any one leader is a clear, hands down choice to lead the immigration file better. @AndrewScheer edges the others, but hardly a majority or consensus choice: #elxn43 Image
@liberal_party @JustinTrudeau @AndrewScheer One of the arguments in favour of immigration to Canada is the economic one. That is, we can't have nice things like healthcare without a tax base, and we aren't making enough babies to maintain that base, so, we need immigration. For the most part, Canadians agree: #elxn43 Image
@liberal_party @JustinTrudeau @AndrewScheer One of the arguments against immigration is also the economic one. That is, immigrants take jobs away from people already living here. For the most part, Canadians disagree with this: #elxn43 Image
@liberal_party @JustinTrudeau @AndrewScheer Should province have more say in who comes, and how many? Certainly that is the view of the CAQ government in Quebec. What does the rest of the country think about their own provinces having more control? See below: #elxn43 Image
@liberal_party @JustinTrudeau @AndrewScheer There's more... this is a very comprehensive survey. The intent is to help inform a respectful conversation on an important issue. The level of misinformation I must say was a "bazinga!" moment for me.... but anyway, those are the highlights.
@liberal_party @JustinTrudeau @AndrewScheer Once again, you can read the entirety of the report, see the questionnaire, download the datasets and dig into the methodology here: angusreid.org/election-2019-… #elxn43
@liberal_party @JustinTrudeau @AndrewScheer And thanks, as always, for following along. I very much appreciate it. Kurl out.

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More from @ShachiKurl

Jun 23, 2023
Hello. Today, June 23, is commemorated as National Day of Remembrance for Victims of Terrorism. How many Canadians know why? The answer, very sadly, is very few. But I'm going to make a thread about this that I hope will be informative ... I invite you to follow along. #airindia
Last year, I mused out loud in this op-ed for @ottawacitizen about how many Canadians would know why June 23 is important in our history....ottawacitizen.com/opinion/column…
As a pollster, I am uniquely positioned to ask Canadians. So I decided to find out.
Read 21 tweets
Jun 23, 2022
Hi. This is the National Day of Remembrance of Victims of Terrorism. I must remember next year to poll on what Canadians think originated this day.

A thread ... I invite you to follow along.
If I was guessing, I'd guess significant numbers of people in this country think the worst incident of terrorism perpetrated on Canadian citizens was 9/11. Others might think of the Nova Scotia shootings, the attack on Parliament Hill, or something else.
It was in fact, the bombings of Air India Flight 182 (and the coordinated bombing of a CP jetliner in Tokyo). These attacks killed 331 people.

268 were Canadian.
Read 18 tweets
Oct 2, 2020
Busy day but never too late to say I'm honoured to moderate the BC leaders debate on Oct 13 630-8pm.

Here's a few thoughts via a mini thread...

#BCvotes2020
First, here's more info about how to access and watch:
Lots of conscientious planning + work goes into producing these debates. I'm the public face of it, but seasoned, smart, passionate BC political journalists are doing a lot of heavy lifting. This amazing team will be come together to discuss & decide on the q's leaders will face.
Read 6 tweets
Sep 2, 2020
Hey Hey Happy Wednesday everyone. We've been working hard at @angusreidorg and can show you our latest federal vote intention numbers. Follow along as I walk you through them.
To begin, you can read the full report, download detailed tables, read up on methodology and fielding dates here: angusreid.org/federal-politi…
This was a survey of more than 5000 Cdns coast to coast so we can look at lots of different data cuts, (& we will) but here's the main story: 3 weeks from a Throne Speech & possible election, @liberal_party & @CPC_HQ are tied in voter intention among decided voters: #cdnpoli Image
Read 17 tweets
Aug 31, 2020
Gooooood Day Happy Monday everyone! Especially happy to share our fresh new data on premiers' approvals from coast to coast.

I'm going to do a little thread here, feel free to follow along!
First off, you can read the whole report, get information about fielding dates, sample size and methodology by following this link:

angusreid.org/premier-approv…
Secondly, it's time for my usual disclaimer. Yes, PEI we ❤️you. Yes, you are DEFINITELY a part of Canada. No we didn't forget you. No, we can't include your premier due to small sample sizes based on small population. Same as we can't include territorial leaders for that reason.
Read 16 tweets
Aug 7, 2020
Heartbroken and apoplectic at the same time...
theglobeandmail.com/life/first-per…
The summer I finished university, I worked on a documentary project in and around the Saguenay. Beautiful country, kind people BUT...
That's because they generally assumed I was white, with "Latin" roots. I didn't always bother to correct or explain.
Read 5 tweets

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