Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #elxn43

Most recents (24)

I want to provide some thoughts on the @CPC_HQ leadership of @ErinOTooleMP might mean for #cdnpoli but first a few disclaimers and background

#CPCLeadership
Let me start by saying congratulations to @ErinOTooleMP for the win, and to his team who worked hard under difficult circumstances

#cdnpoli #cpcldr
I’ve known Erin for more than 10 years and always had respect for his service and dedication to his family and community, despite ideological divides

#cdnpoli
Read 12 tweets
@nationalpost "Even his climate change plan was better than most give him credit for. The Liberals created a false political narrative that any climate agenda that didn’t involve carbon taxes was necessarily deficient."
@nationalpost Worth recalling that during #elxn43, Andrew Scheer's campaign vowed not only to scrap the federal carbon tax (the least big-government, least intrusive, least regulatory approach to CO2 mitigation, widely endorsed by free-market economists), the revenues of which were returned...
@nationalpost ... to the populations of the 4 provinces to which the CT applied, but also the 2022 federal clean fuel standard, and EV subsidies. So those were 3 policy tools, carbon-pricing, subsidies & regs, that Conservatives took off the table for addressing climate change. When asked,...
Read 16 tweets
B1/22 - Continuing Thread from A24
THE NOTWITHSTANDING CLAUSE

THAT SAID - AND «only if necessary» - it could be argued that High Treason does in fact rise to the threshold of justification to invoke the Notwithstanding Clause.

THAT SAID ...

#BrianCOX
cbc.ca/news/opinion/c…
B2/22
The use of the conspiracy provisions of the Criminal Code reduces the likelihood of such a consideration.

There is an estimation by Canadians that justice is being sidestepped and there has been an 'escape (exemption) from punishment.' The thought of impunity for those who
B3/22
committed/participated in genocide, crimes against humanity or war crimes will not sit well with the values and sensibilities of the Canadian public.

Open trials can serve as means by which to lay bare ISIS’ narrative and to help counter violent extremism. In addition to
Read 24 tweets
In April 2020, the Special Committee on the #COVID19 Pandemic, held it’s first meeting.

Since then, they have met twenty five times to discuss our nations response the pandemic.

My Member of Parliament, @MichaelChongMP has a dismal record of attendance at just 16%.

#cdnpoli
That means that since the launch of committee @MichaelChongMP has attended only FOUR of TWENTY FIVE meetings.

This is the same Michael Chong who just weeks ago, was righteously calling for Parliament to remain sitting amidst the #COVID19 pandemic. #cdnpoli
This is the same Michael Chong who was the sole dissenting voice on the original COVID-19 aid package, which is responsible for holding the economy steady amidst a global economic crisis. #cdnpoli
Read 49 tweets
1/3
I was present on many occasions during #Elxn42 & #ELxn43 when

@MarkGerretsen MP Kingston and the Islands #LPC #YGK

touted his supposed feminist credentials. His silence now with respect to @marwantabbaramp is deafening,... AND telling.

#cdnpoli
nationalpost.com/opinion/michel…
2/3
@denisebatters (commenting on a Tweet by @MichelleRempel) has hit the nail squarely on its head.

NOW, over to Mr. GERRETSEN @MarkGerretsen ...
3/3
@MarkGerretsen, you rarely - IF EVER - miss an opportunity throw stones at others.

BTW - Your last Tweet posted was 3:31 ・May 22, 2020 (with a comment at 4:45). THAT'S IT!

37 Days

Serious Question: Is #YGK #Kingston expecting too much to see a little more from you?
#PPC
Read 6 tweets
1/4
Using the phraseology of @CommrRCMPGRC Brenda LUCKI - namely, "painful to hear" - Madame, you have shown yourself «UNFIT TO LEAD» @rcmpgrcpolice.

NEVER BEFORE has #RCMP relinquished its independence from political interference, not until you did so.

theglobeandmail.com/politics/artic…
2/4
28 May 2020 🚨 My original Call for the Resignation of @CommrRCMPGRC LUCKI - two weeks before she capitulated to the false #LPC narrative of "systemic racism" within #RCMP.

☞ In it, I identify the first steps of a road map for what is required.

3/4
15 June 2020 🚨 My reaction to the sudden decision by #RCMP @CommrRCMPGRC LUCKI to yield to political interference.

Read 6 tweets
I’m genuinely baffled at how the Conservative establishment can conclude that the only shortcoming with the party’s climate change “plan” in #elxn43 was that they didn’t talk about it (well) enough. e.g. Hamish Marshall on @TheHerleBurly 1/ #cdnpoli
@LisaRaitt on @CANADALAND @OPPOcast canadalandshow.com/podcast/49-lis… ). I wonder whether @Baird review will challenge the merits (or lack thereof) of the CPC approach more substantively? I hope so. The plan was poorly conceived talking more about it would have simply... 2/ #cdnpoli
@OPPOcast @Baird …shone a brighter light on the fact it would INCREASE carbon pollution per @MarkJaccard analysis (amongst others) policyoptions.irpp.org/magazines/augu… #elxn43 results—& plenty of opinion research (e.g. see threadreaderapp.com/thread/1192884…)—suggests a credible #climatechange plan is a pre-req 3/
Read 4 tweets
A thread worth reading & reflecting on for #cdnpoli watchers - this was, in effect, how Canada behaved on #climatechange until 2015, & for similar reasons (major fossil fuel exporter). We dodged a bullet in #elxn43 with Canadians clearly voting for parties that aim to do more 1/
& rejecting the Conservatives, in part because they effectively wanted to undo climate policy progress since 2015 & replace it with, well, not much. A big Q in 2020 will be who replaces Andrew Scheer as leader of the CPC & whether he or she takes #climatechange seriously & 2/
invests significant effort in bringing their base around to support genuine climate policy solutions. I’ll be watching with great interest (might also be of interest to folks in Australia @davidfickling ). 3/3
Read 3 tweets
These early #cpcldr polls of the general population do tell us a bit about what candidates might be viable and which are unlikely to compete, but I need to make a point about the “winability” measure that most are attempting to measure

#cdnpoli nationalpost.com/news/politics/…
Like the #elxn43 polls, I need to point out the importance of “where” instead of “how much”

An overwhelming approval or favourability in AB,BC &/or SK could make it appear one candidate has an advantage, while trailing among the remaining 2/3rds of the ridings in #cpcldr
So #cdnmedia should be cautious about #cpcldr polls that don’t provide regional breakouts

And Conservatives examining these with regards to “winability” should consider this same factor

#cdnpoli
Read 5 tweets
ICYMI, yesterday @cleanenergycan & @Pollara released an #elxn43 exit poll that explored (amongst other things) how #climatechange factored in & #climateaction priorities for the LPC minority gov’t. cleanenergycanada.org/wp-content/upl… A quick recap: 1/ #cdnpoli
67% of Canadian voters want the new Liberal gov't to either “enact the climate change policies they campaigned on” (37%) or to “enact stronger climate change policies than they campaigned on—to do more at a faster pace on this issue” (30%). A clear mandate for more #ClimateAction
The desire for stronger action is popular across party lines. Even 33% of Liberal voters want stronger climate policies than what was in the party’s platform, and majorities of Bloc (51%), Green (64%) or NDP (49%) voters share this sentiment. Stark contrast w CPC voters. 3/
Read 13 tweets
1/4 Points Of Contention #CDNpoli

RE #Scheer's Post #Elxn43 Caucus Statement

Conservatives appointed John Baird to analyze failed campaign strategy

Baird works for Eurasia Group

Eurasia Group colluded w Time magazine to run #ForeignInterference in elxn
freethepresscanada.org/2019/09/23/dir…
2/4 Points Of Contention

RE #Scheer's Post #Elxn43 Caucus Statement

#CDNmedia failed to challenge Scheer & distributed #FakeNews based on his false claims

This is not the strongest opposition + weakest govt in #CDNpoli history

2004: CPC 99 vs LPC 135
2006: CPC 124 vs LPC 103
3/4 Points Of Contention

RE #Scheer's Post #Elxn43 Caucus Statement

Everyone knows #CDNmedia fails at math

But difference of 36 seats between CPC & LPC in 2004 is identical to current govt

1979 was weakest govt & strongest opposition in #CDNpoli history:

Tory 136 vs Lib 114
Read 4 tweets
1/28 #CDNpoli #CDNmedia #Elxn43 #ForeignInterference

As some of you already know, my blockbuster investigation RE dubious interference in #Elxn43 (mostly via social media) is now being censored by Twitter, so it says "tweet unavailable" in RTs & threads

2/28 #CDNpoli #CDNmedia #Elxn43 #ForeignInterference

Several of you have sent screencaps to prove this censorship is happening

I thank @TrippettaRaffe for being the 1st to let me know, especially because Twitter doesn't notify account holders when it censors individual posts
.
3/28 #CDNpoli #CDNmedia #Elxn43 #ForeignInterference

An hour after @TrippettaRaffe notified that my investigation is being censored by Twitter, my fiancé was able to confirm the same issue

Of note, he's a federal govt scientist who now can't see my post

Read 30 tweets
1/9 #CDNpoli #USpoli #UKpoli #ForeignInterference

So, I set out to find contact info for Twitter to get in touch RE incidental censorship of political journos due to new company policy

Upon digging through the SEC I discovered theres a #TwitterPAC & I'm too busy to deal with it
2/9 #CDNpoli #USpoli #UKpoli #ForeignInterference

The #TwitterPAC is interesting enough to share though, in case any American journos wish to inspect

A few highlights:

- Twitter uses Deutsche Bank
- They donated to Chuck Grassley
- They also donated to the Tea Party's Mike Lee
3/9 #CDNpoli #USpoli #UKpoli #ForeignInterference

Today Dorsey stated

"We've made the decision to stop all political advertising on Twitter globally. We believe political message reach should be earned, not bought"

Yet this conflicts with a #TwitterPAC

cnn.com/2019/10/30/tec…
Read 11 tweets
1/3 I'm informed my pinned tweet is being censored by @Twitter @TwitterSupport

This is the post RE my investigation into #CDNpoli #Elxn43 & #ForeignInterference

It had 1.1K retweets & 1.3K likes before they killed it


See photo for how it appears now
. Image
2/3 I tested with help of others & although my pinned tweet RE #CDNpoli #Elxn43 #ForeignInterference appears on my page, it shows 'tweet unavailable' to those who RT'd & its erased from public view entirely

This @Twitter @TwitterSupport censorship is an affront to #PressFreedom
@Twitter @TwitterSupport 3/3 It's also disturbing that @Twitter is preventing a member of the #CDNmedia from reporting about #CDNpoli #Elxn43 & #ForeignInterference, especially because the tweet they censored encouraged further investigation by the RCMP & @ElectionsCan_E

Please amend, @TwitterSupport
Read 6 tweets
1. Before he was elected, @FordNation promised he would see the Basic Income Pilot through...

Once elected, he killed it.

Before the #Elxn43 vote was held, he said he wouldn't fight the #CarbonTax in court if the @CPC_HQ lost.

He's going ahead with it anyway

#cdnpoli #ONpoli
2. Before the #Elxn43 vote was held, NB Premier @BlaineHiggs he said he wouldn't fight the #CarbonTax in court if the @CPC_HQ lost.

While he will go ahead with a Made in NB carbon pricing scheme, he is still involved in the court case.

#NBPoli #CdnPoli
3. Before he was elected, AB Premier @JKenney promised cuts wouldn't go beyond a certain point and that he'd respect city charters.

He waited until the #Elxn43 vote was held to drop a buget in which he betrayed those promises and many more.

#ABPoli #CdnPoli
Read 6 tweets
This essential #elxn43 piece by @DrCherylT got me thinking about the connection between politeness and racism in Canada.

I’ve tried to distill some recent learning & reflections, informed by Robin DiAngelo’s ‘White Fragility’. 1/12
nytimes.com/2019/10/23/opi…
The idea that a person who is polite is not racist, or that racism is somehow connected to politeness, is deeply entrenched.

We are hardwired to think that because we are ‘good people’, we are not racist. 2/12
Racism is understood as something committed by ‘bad people’ with ill intent.

Robin DiAngelo calls this the “good/bad binary”: the idea that racism is a question of good and bad people, and good people aren’t racist. 3/12
Read 12 tweets
A big picture /thread for the 🧢 team to consider.

Not on #elxn43 but the go forward ⏩⏩.

12 simple questions and ideas. Nothing more or less.

So we can win a 🇨🇦 majority next 🗳 #cdnpoli
1. In pursuit of 40% popular vote, have Conservatives accidentally become a minority proposition with voters? What ever happened to the Silent Majority. Make a broader appeal and fall short instead of trying to tack on extra voters to the 1/3 who are with us. #cdnpoli
2. Values and emotions build political brands. Conservatives mostly stuck on taxes and finances (cognitive arguments). Why do we think values and emotions are the exclusive territory of Liberals or Trudeau?
Read 15 tweets
Eric Grenier does not have a degree in math or statistics. Is that why he misinterprets data for personal promotion? I'm not sure. But let's read this together.
cbc.ca/news/politics/…
We're going to talk about this table, and what Grenier thinks it means.
I openly invite @VoiceOfFranky to criticize my take.
Read 17 tweets
This is a fantastic simulation of #proportionalrepresentation.
The key question is: "Now that Canadians have elected a minority govt, will the Liberals be influenced by the NDP and the Greens, who both have called for #electoralreform?"

#elxn43
ici.radio-canada.ca/info/2019/elec…
You can help! Please SIGN AND SHARE out petition calling for cooperation and a National Citizens' Assembly on #ElectoralReform!!
act.newmode.net/action/fair-vo…
1/ The headline inside the article is misleading, suggesting the Conservatives could have "won" the election, since every simulation here has their seat count changing hardly at all.
Read 9 tweets
THREAD: Some preliminary insights into the dynamics of #elxn43 as observed from the 1.9 million responses to @VoteCompass.

The data are weighted to control for selection bias and thus permit representative inferences as to the population of Canadian voters.

#cdnpoli [1/12]
@VoteCompass The findings from @VoteCompass differ from #elxn43 polls both in terms of the size of the sample and the fact that it is continuously accrued across the course of the campaign. [2/12]
@VoteCompass Among voters who voted differently in #elxn43 than they did in #elxn42, the highest level of vote switching was from the @NDP to the @liberal_party.

In 2019, the Liberals lost a roughly equivalent share of their 2015 voters to the @NDP and @CPC_HQ.

#cdnpoli @VoteCompass [3/12]
Read 12 tweets
A leader has a duty to unite. Scott Moe’s letter to the Prime Minister this morning does the opposite. #skpoli #cdnpoli #elxn43

cbc.ca/news/canada/sa…
A leader doesn’t just get angry and point fingers. A leader does the work to find solutions to the challenges we are facing. And the challenges Saskatchewan faces are significant.
Saskatchewan’s resource sector is key to our economic prosperity. A leader would get down to work with whoever is in power in Ottawa to ensure market access and competitiveness for those industries.
Read 8 tweets
With a wonderful #ScheerlessTuesday, Canada has shown the world we will not fall to the .@CPC_HQ's shameful and divisive rhetoric. Well done Canada.

I have put together an analysis of the ridings which were split but would've gone progressive.

#cdnpoli🇨🇦 #elxn43
We begin in the riding of West Nova, NS, where the CPC is gifted a seat by the NDP and the GRN. This seat was a tossup according to @338Canada.

This seat should've been LPC.
Fundy Royal, NB looks like a landslide but CPC+PPC still wouldn't have been able to keep up with the LPC/GRN/NDP. This seat was a statistical tie on 338CA.

the Anti-choice CPC receives another gift from the progressives.

Anti-choicers: 22,966.
Progressives: 23,735.
Read 48 tweets
An example of why election reform matters.

I live in Simcoe North, a historically Conservative riding with @bruce_stanton holding office since 2006 and confirmed for another term yesterday.

The problem starts when you look at the actual numbers.
While Stanton is fairly well respected in the riding, he actually pulled in a minority of votes and even combining the 3 conservative parties running locally still nets a minority of the vote.
The majority of the riding voted for one of the progressive candidates but, because of how the votes split up, none of the progressives won. This happened because the progressive candidates polled closer together while Stanton polled far better than other conservative candidates
Read 11 tweets

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