I lived in a caucus state and can attest to what a chaotic, stressful, and exhausting process it can be at the best of times.
Iowa has become a farce.
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And it is so easy to fuck them up, and even the slightest error leads to instant conspiracy theories that can always be "verified" by eyewitness accounts.
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If he wins, surrogates will claim victory despite obvious shenanigans by the state party. If he loses, they will claim the process was outright rigged.
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