Viruses have funny ways of surprising us
H1N1 Swine Flu turned out less deadly than originally feared
Ebola—known to science for decades—caught the global community off guard in the 2014-16 epidemic
Predicting what'll happen with new #coronavirus is a fool's errand 1/
H1N1 Swine Flu turned out less deadly than originally feared
Ebola—known to science for decades—caught the global community off guard in the 2014-16 epidemic
Predicting what'll happen with new #coronavirus is a fool's errand 1/
But @JenniferNuzzo @DrTomFrieden @NIAIDNews Anthony Fauci @SaadOmer3 @RonaldKlain and others humored me...
Spelling out the things to watch for that could cause this outbreak to get worse — or better.
2/
Spelling out the things to watch for that could cause this outbreak to get worse — or better.
2/
Most felt we're heading for a pandemic — & @JenniferNuzzo increasingly believes we're already in one.
But what that'll look like is an open question.
For ex: if #2019nC0V spreads in a resource-poor country in Africa, we're in trouble. Or... maybe it'll behave differently.
3/
But what that'll look like is an open question.
For ex: if #2019nC0V spreads in a resource-poor country in Africa, we're in trouble. Or... maybe it'll behave differently.
3/
Dr. Fauci explained that coronas tend to be winter viruses. They don't do well in hot and humid climates.
Unclear how it'll fare outside a cold/dry environment, which might help curb spread in the global south.
For more, full story here:
vox.com/2020/2/5/21122…
4/4
Unclear how it'll fare outside a cold/dry environment, which might help curb spread in the global south.
For more, full story here:
vox.com/2020/2/5/21122…
4/4
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