The #extremes are extremely difficult to digest and accept. I remember buying at 10k sensex , nifty 3000 in oct 2008 and seeing 8000 and 2250 in next 4 sessions. Vix hit 85. The crazy moves break all price levels but do not stay there forever. Was back to 3000 in 5 sessions.
This time around all sentiment indicators rsi, vix, stocks below demas, max fall etc are near to readings of 2008 but that happened after a 50% fall and then another 20. This is happening after a 20% fall from highs in quick time.
The trigger this time around is #coronavirus is not a financial one and that will take its time to resolve as no one #fed or #ecb #rbi can come and cool the nerves. What bottoming was expected in 2-4 weeks can now happen in 2-4 days. The best thing to sometimes is to nothing!!

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Nooresh Merani

Nooresh Merani Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @nooreshtech

Dec 9, 2022
Small PSU Banks & Yes Bank - Future multibaggers or just a frenzy?

One will think that it is the best time for PSU bank investors given the recent rally in psu banking stocks!!

Is it really the best time? Let’s find out !!

#yesbank #psubanks #multibagger #frenzy
First of all let me get this clear, if you are a new investor in PSU bank stocks who bought it 50-100% lower , then you have clearly made money and kudos to you for that…The question now to ask is whether the rally is sustainable or not
But, over the last 10-12 years the stocks have fallen a lot. From 50-80% even after such a rally.

But the next thought that comes to mind is will they regain their lost glory and go back to prices of 2020/2018/2015/2010.
Read 12 tweets
Jun 20, 2022
Google Trends - A Thread

1) Bear Market - Nearing 2020 Highs

#bearmarket
2) Recession -

Reaching previous peak levels of 2008/2020

#recession
3) Stock Market Crash - Yet to gain significance traction

#stockmarketcrash
Read 7 tweets
Jan 3, 2022
#NiftyCalculator #Thread Interesting Observations -

Top 5 stocks – Reliance, Infosys, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, HDFC, = 41.49% of Nifty.

Top 10 stocks constitute 58.39% of Nifty

Top 20 stocks constitute 77.07% of Nifty

HDFC Twins together constitutes 14.71% of Nifty
Reliance is the top weight at 10.77%, followed by HDFC Bank at 8.54%. 20% of the Index.

Reliance + HDFC Twins = 26.09% of Nifty (Hope you get why Nifty does not depict GDP. 26% of India GDP not equal to Reliance +HDFC)

Bottom 24 stocks have less than 1% weight
Sectoral Observations

Banks and Financials are now reduced to 35-36% from 37-38% a few months back. It has seen a bottom of 33.16 in July 2020.

Oil and Gas from 16.18% in July 2020 to 12.31%
Power at just 1.7%. After a long time Media at 0. Metals from 2.15 to 3.34%
Read 4 tweets
Nov 13, 2020
#TweetStorm - Nifty up But Stocks are Down !!. Time for Stocks to Catch Up in coming years. Read the Full Post on this link - nooreshtech.co.in/2020/11/nifty-… Another Post - March 24th 2020 nooreshtech.co.in/2020/03/equity…
2020 move did some things very differently. No euphoric move in end of 2020 like 2007. The fall has seen no relief rallies of any sort. If this is the case the historical expectation of a sideways consolidation & a retest may not happen. So the recovery can even be very ferocious
Nifty was at 10730 on 15th January 2020.

Nifty made a top on 20th Jan 2020 hitting a high of 12430.

Nifty made a bottom on 24th March 2020 hitting a low of 7511.

Nifty made a new high on 2 days back on 9th Nov 2020 and is today (11th Nov 2020) trading at new highs at 12749
Read 15 tweets
Oct 5, 2020
This #TweetStorm is just an itch to write about ITC Limited which everyone has spoken about :). Pardon me if its totally useless. 1) FII shareholding in December 2016 Peaked at 20.89%. Reducing Every Quarter since then !! Down to 14.6% in June 2020.
2) Mutual Funds have gone from 2.65% to 9.45%. Insurance Companies mainly - LIC,GIC etc continue to own 20-22% in the same period. Even SUUTI has gone down from 11.13% to 7.94%.
3) #Retail below 2 lakh capital has gone from 8.73% to 9.2% to 9.47% in last 2 qtrs and no of #shareholders from 10.57 lakhs to 12.7 lakhs to 14.61 lakhs between Dec 2019 to June 2020. Should be more higher in Sept 2020 !!
Read 5 tweets
Sep 13, 2020
The big implication of new rules in #multicap fund category by SEBI. An impromptu attempt at rambling up some thoughts. Would love comments and feedback no how to benefit from this trend. Some points i cover in tweets below 1/5
1) 18-20% of the Total Equity AUM is in Multicap Funds - Suddenly the rules of the game have changed. Will lead to merger and other creative solutions but not mad buying of smallcaps.
#FunFact - There are 35 schemes of #MultiCap Fund and 29 of #LargeCap & 27 of #LargeandMidcap Fund. #Multicap AUM = 1.46 lakh cr. #Largecap = 1.48 lakh cr. The regulator has a problem in principle and true to label issues. Why did they not notice till now? Source -AMFI site
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(